Sunday, July 10, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Jake Odorizzi vs. David Price
The Tampa Bay Rays visit Fenway Park on Sunday to play the Boston Red Sox. The probable starters are Jake Odorizzi for the Rays and David Price for the Red Sox. The opening line for this matchup has Tampa Bay at +207 and Boston at -225. The over/under was set at 9.5. The Rays have a 39-41-6 over/under record and a 35-51-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 41% of the time. The Red Sox are 42-43-0 against the run line and have a 47-33-5 over/under record. They cover the spread 49% of the time.
The Rays head into this matchup with a 34-52 record, including 16-24 on the road. Starting pitcher Jake Odorizzi has a 3-4 record with an earned run average of 4.33 and a WHIP of 1.26. He has 94 strikeouts over his 99.2 innings pitched and he has given up 93 hits so far this season. He has allowed 8.4 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.37. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 4.88 and they have given up 273 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .269 against the bullpen while being struck out 228 times and walking 95 times this season. As a team, Tampa Bay has allowed 9.11 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.54 batters per nine. They are 24th in the league in team earned run average at 4.60. The Rays pitchers have collectively given up 767 base hits and 387 earned runs. They have allowed 114 home runs this season and they allow 1.4 homers per nine innings as a staff. Tampa Bay as a pitching staff has walked 264 batters and struck out 719. They walk 3.1 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.5 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.36 and their FIP as a unit is 4.36.
As a team, Tampa Bay is batting .241, good for 26th in the league while putting together a .252 average away from home. The Rays hold a .423 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .308 which is good for 25th in baseball. They rank 24th in baseball with 8.14 hits per game. Evan Longoria comes into this game hitting .287 and his on-base percentage is at .336. He has 96 hits this season along with 47 runs scored and 47 runs batted in. He's struck out 81 times and has walked 25 times. Logan Forsythe is hitting .289 and he has an on-base percentage of .352. He has totaled 66 hits so far while scoring 34 runs and he's driven in 21. He has walked 19 times and has struck out 53 times. The Rays have 700 hits, including 148 doubles and 117 home runs. They've stolen 31 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 20 times. Tampa Bay has walked 251 times this season and they've struck out 793 times as a unit. They've left 581 men on base and have a team OPS of .731. They score 3.99 runs per contest and have scored a total of 343 runs so far this year.
Boston comes into this matchup with a 28-20 home record and a 47-38 overall mark. With an earned run average of 4.64, David Price has a 8-6 record and a 1.23 WHIP. He has 130 strikeouts over the 116.1 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 117 hits. He has allowed 9.1 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.53. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 3.92 and they have given up 235 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .234 against the Red Sox bullpen while being struck out 295 times and walking 107 times this season. As a team, Boston has allowed 8.85 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.62 batters per nine. They are 21st in the league in team earned run average at 4.52. The Red Sox pitchers as a team have surrendered 747 base knocks and 382 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 104 home runs this year and they give up 1.2 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Boston as a staff has walked 281 hitters and struck out 728. They give up a walk 3.3 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.6 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.35 while their FIP as a staff is 4.31.
As a team, they are batting .293, good for 1st in the league while putting together a .305 average at home. The Red Sox hold a .476 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .360 which is good for 1st in baseball. They rank 1st in baseball with 10.44 hits per contest. Xander Bogaerts comes into this matchup batting .331 and he has an OBP of .391. He has 116 hits this year along with 64 runs scored and 53 RBI. He's struck out 57 times and has walked on 33 occasions. Mookie Betts is hitting .300 and he has an OBP of .341. He has collected 113 hits so far while he's scored 73 runs and drove in 58. He has earned a walk 24 times and has punched out 55 times. The Red Sox as a unit have 887 base hits, including 213 doubles and 101 homers. They have 59 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 10 times. Boston as a team has walked 303 times this year and they have struck out 602 times. They've had 646 men left on base and have an OPS of .836. They score 5.67 runs per game and have totaled 482 runs so far this season.
Tampa Bay Rays Betting Trends
The Tampa Bay Rays are 39-41-6 against the over/under so far this season
The Tampa Bay Rays are 35-51-0 against the run line so far this season
Boston Red Sox Betting Trends
The Boston Red Sox are 47-33-5 against the over/under so far this season
The Boston Red Sox are 42-43-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
Tampa Bay Rays
07/09/16 C Curt Casali Head is upgraded to expected to be in the starting lineup Saturday vs. Boston Red Sox
07/04/16 LF Desmond Jennings Hamstring 15-day DL (7/1)
06/21/16 CF Mike Mahtook Hand 15-day DL (6/21)
06/21/16 2B Steve Pearce Hamstring 15-day DL (6/21)
06/02/16 P Brad Boxberger Oblique 15-day DL (6/1)
05/23/16 CF Kevin Kiermaier Hand 15-day DL (5/22)
04/10/16 P Chase Whitley Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
04/01/16 P Alex Cobb Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
Boston Red Sox
07/09/16 P Craig Kimbrel Knee 15-day DL (7/7)
07/09/16 1B Hanley Ramirez Shin is downgraded to not expected to be in the starting lineup Saturday vs. Tampa Bay Rays
07/09/16 3B Travis Shaw Foot is upgraded to expected to be in the starting lineup Saturday vs. Tampa Bay Rays
06/24/16 LF Chris Young Hamstring 15-day DL (6/23)
06/17/16 2B Josh Rutledge Knee 15-day DL (6/15)
06/07/16 P Carson Smith Elbow 60-day DL (5/15)
06/06/16 C Blake Swihart Ankle 60-day DL (6/5)
05/03/16 3B Pablo Sandoval Shoulder 60-day DL (4/11); out for season
04/04/16 P Brandon Workman Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
Josh's Pick: Take the Rays
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