Saturday, July 9, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Matt Moore vs. Rick Porcello
The Tampa Bay Rays head to Fenway Park on Saturday to take on the Boston Red Sox. The probable pitchers are Matt Moore for the Rays and Rick Porcello for the Red Sox. The opening line for this game has Tampa Bay at +156 and Boston at -166. The over/under is 10.5. The Rays have a 38-41-6 over/under mark and a 34-51-0 run line record, meaning they cover 40% of the time. The Red Sox are 42-42-0 against the run line and have a 46-33-5 over/under record. They cover the spread 50% of the time.
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The Rays head into this game with a 34-51 record, and they are 16-23 on the road. Starting pitcher Matt Moore has a 5-5 record with an ERA of 4.54 and a WHIP of 1.31. He has 93 strikeouts during his 103 innings pitched and he has given up 105 hits so far this year. He has surrendered 9.2 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.53. The bullpen this season has an earned run average of 4.89 and they have allowed 269 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .268 against the pen while they've been struck out 226 times and walked 95 times this year. As a unit, Tampa Bay has given up 9.08 base hits per nine innings while striking out 8.57 hitters per nine. They are 25th in the Majors in team earned run average at 4.57. The Rays pitchers have collectively given up 756 base hits and 381 earned runs. They have allowed 113 home runs this season and they allow 1.4 homers per nine innings as a staff. Tampa Bay as a pitching staff has walked 262 batters and struck out 714. They walk 3.1 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.6 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.36 and their FIP as a unit is 4.36.
As a team, Tampa Bay is hitting .241, good for 26th in the league while putting together a .251 average on the road. The Rays have a .422 team slugging percentage and an OBP of .308 which is good for 25th in the league. They rank 25th in baseball with 8.12 hits per contest. Evan Longoria comes into this game hitting .280 and his on-base percentage is at .330. He has 92 hits this season along with 46 runs scored and 45 runs batted in. He's struck out 80 times and has walked 25 times. Logan Forsythe is hitting .290 and he has an on-base percentage of .351. He has totaled 65 hits so far while scoring 32 runs and he's driven in 20. He has walked 18 times and has struck out 52 times. The Rays have 690 hits, including 147 doubles and 115 home runs. They've stolen 28 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 20 times. Tampa Bay has walked 249 times this season and they've struck out 783 times as a unit. They've left 573 men on base and have a team OPS of .730. They score 3.98 runs per contest and have scored a total of 338 runs so far this year.
Boston comes into this game with a 27-20 home mark and a 46-38 overall record. With an ERA of 3.82, Rick Porcello has a 10-2 record and a 1.19 WHIP. He has 92 strikeouts over the 106 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 105 hits. He has allowed 8.9 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.88. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 3.95 and they have given up 232 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .234 against the Red Sox bullpen while being struck out 289 times and walking 106 times this season. As a team, Boston has allowed 8.83 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.6 batters per nine. They are 21st in the league in team earned run average at 4.52. The Red Sox pitchers as a team have surrendered 737 base knocks and 377 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 102 home runs this year and they give up 1.2 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Boston as a staff has walked 279 hitters and struck out 718. They give up a walk 3.3 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.6 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.35 while their FIP as a staff is 4.30.
As a team, they are batting .292, good for 1st in the league while putting together a .305 average at home. The Red Sox hold a .476 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .360 which is good for 1st in baseball. They rank 1st in baseball with 10.43 hits per contest. Xander Bogaerts comes into this matchup batting .332 and he has an OBP of .393. He has 115 hits this year along with 64 runs scored and 52 RBI. He's struck out 56 times and has walked on 33 occasions. Mookie Betts is hitting .299 and he has an OBP of .339. He has collected 112 hits so far while he's scored 72 runs and drove in 58. He has earned a walk 23 times and has punched out 54 times. The Red Sox as a unit have 876 base hits, including 213 doubles and 100 homers. They have 55 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 9 times. Boston as a team has walked 301 times this year and they have struck out 597 times. They've had 640 men left on base and have an OPS of .836. They score 5.67 runs per game and have totaled 476 runs so far this season.
Tampa Bay Rays Betting Trends
The Tampa Bay Rays are 38-41-6 against the over/under so far this season
The Tampa Bay Rays are 34-51-0 against the run line so far this season
Boston Red Sox Betting Trends
The Boston Red Sox are 46-33-5 against the over/under so far this season
The Boston Red Sox are 42-42-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
Tampa Bay Rays
07/07/16 C Curt Casali Head "?" Friday vs. Boston Red Sox
07/04/16 LF Desmond Jennings Hamstring 15-day DL (7/1)
06/21/16 CF Mike Mahtook Hand 15-day DL (6/21)
06/21/16 2B Steve Pearce Hamstring 15-day DL (6/21)
06/02/16 P Brad Boxberger Oblique 15-day DL (6/1)
05/23/16 CF Kevin Kiermaier Hand 15-day DL (5/22)
04/10/16 P Chase Whitley Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
04/01/16 P Alex Cobb Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
Boston Red Sox
07/07/16 3B Travis Shaw Foot injured last game, "?" Friday vs. Tampa Bay Rays
06/24/16 LF Chris Young Hamstring 15-day DL (6/23)
06/17/16 2B Josh Rutledge Knee 15-day DL (6/15)
06/07/16 P Carson Smith Elbow 60-day DL (5/15)
06/06/16 C Blake Swihart Ankle 15-day DL (6/5)
05/03/16 3B Pablo Sandoval Shoulder 60-day DL (4/11); out for season
04/04/16 P Brandon Workman Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
Tony's Pick: Take the Red Sox
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