Monday, August 29, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Matt Andriese vs. Rick Porcello
The Tampa Bay Rays head to Fenway Park on Monday to take on the Boston Red Sox. The probable pitchers are Matt Andriese for the Rays and Rick Porcello for the Red Sox. The opening line for this game has Tampa Bay at +167 and Boston at -177. The over/under is 8.5. The Rays have a 60-61-7 over/under mark and a 57-71-0 run line record, meaning they cover 45% of the time. The Red Sox are 64-65-0 against the run line and have a 63-60-6 over/under record. They cover the spread 50% of the time.
The Rays head into this game with a 54-74 record, and they are 22-37 on the road. Starting pitcher Matt Andriese has a 6-5 record with an ERA of 3.71 and a WHIP of 1.13. He has 82 strikeouts during his 97 innings pitched and he has given up 89 hits so far this year. He has surrendered 8.3 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.75. The bullpen this season has an earned run average of 4.15 and they have allowed 383 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .257 against the pen while they've been struck out 360 times and walked 138 times this year. As a unit, Tampa Bay has given up 8.74 base hits per nine innings while striking out 8.67 hitters per nine. They are 14th in the Majors in team earned run average at 4.08. The Rays pitchers have collectively given up 1,097 base hits and 512 earned runs. They have allowed 164 home runs this season and they allow 1.3 homers per nine innings as a staff. Tampa Bay as a pitching staff has walked 379 batters and struck out 1,088. They walk 3 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.7 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.31 and their FIP as a unit is 4.19.
As a team, Tampa Bay is hitting .241, good for 28th in the league while putting together a .250 average on the road. The Rays have a .425 team slugging percentage and an OBP of .308 which is good for 27th in the league. They rank 26th in baseball with 8.12 hits per contest. Evan Longoria comes into this game hitting .286 and his on-base percentage is at .338. He has 142 hits this season along with 68 runs scored and 79 runs batted in. He's struck out 115 times and has walked 39 times. Logan Forsythe is hitting .271 and he has an on-base percentage of .335. He has totaled 104 hits so far while scoring 60 runs and he's driven in 41. He has walked 32 times and has struck out 91 times. The Rays have 1,040 hits, including 229 doubles and 169 home runs. They've stolen 47 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 30 times. Tampa Bay has walked 373 times this season and they've struck out 1,161 times as a unit. They've left 840 men on base and have a team OPS of .733. They score 4.15 runs per contest and have scored a total of 531 runs so far this year.
Boston comes into this game with a 39-28 home mark and a 72-57 overall record. With an ERA of 3.23, Rick Porcello has a 17-3 record and a 1.05 WHIP. He has 145 strikeouts over the 172.2 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 153 hits. He has allowed 8 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.65. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 3.86 and they have given up 334 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .235 against the Red Sox bullpen while being struck out 401 times and walking 153 times this season. As a team, Boston has allowed 8.58 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.45 batters per nine. They are 16th in the league in team earned run average at 4.15. The Red Sox pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,094 base knocks and 529 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 145 home runs this year and they give up 1.1 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Boston as a staff has walked 398 hitters and struck out 1,077. They give up a walk 3.1 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.5 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.30 while their FIP as a staff is 4.10.
As a team, they are batting .284, good for 1st in the league while putting together a .304 average at home. The Red Sox hold a .466 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .350 which is good for 1st in baseball. They rank 1st in baseball with 10 hits per contest. Xander Bogaerts comes into this matchup batting .310 and he has an OBP of .366. He has 162 hits this year along with 91 runs scored and 74 RBI. He's struck out 91 times and has walked on 43 occasions. Mookie Betts is hitting .320 and he has an OBP of .359. He has collected 174 hits so far while he's scored 100 runs and drove in 94. He has earned a walk 35 times and has punched out 72 times. The Red Sox as a unit have 1,290 base hits, including 284 doubles and 164 homers. They have 71 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 17 times. Boston as a team has walked 435 times this year and they have struck out 924 times. They've had 932 men left on base and have an OPS of .815. They score 5.43 runs per game and have totaled 700 runs so far this season.
Tampa Bay Rays Betting Trends
The Tampa Bay Rays are 60-61-7 against the over/under so far this season
The Tampa Bay Rays are 57-71-0 against the run line so far this season
Boston Red Sox Betting Trends
The Boston Red Sox are 63-60-6 against the over/under so far this season
The Boston Red Sox are 64-65-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
Tampa Bay Rays
08/28/16 P Blake Snell Foot "?" for next scheduled start
08/07/16 LF Desmond Jennings Knee 15-day DL (8/3); out for season
08/07/16 P Enny Romero Back 15-day DL (8/4)
04/01/16 P Alex Cobb Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
Boston Red Sox
08/25/16 LF Andrew Benintendi Knee 15-day DL (8/25)
08/06/16 C Ryan Hanigan Ankle 15-day DL (8/5)
07/20/16 P Koji Uehara Pectoral 15-day DL (7/20)
06/17/16 2B Josh Rutledge Knee 60-day DL (6/15)
06/07/16 P Carson Smith Elbow 60-day DL (5/15)
06/06/16 C Blake Swihart Ankle 60-day DL (6/5)
05/03/16 3B Pablo Sandoval Shoulder 60-day DL (4/11); out for season
04/04/16 P Brandon Workman Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
Josh's Pick: Take the Red Sox
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