Tuesday, August 30, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Jake Odorizzi vs. Drew Pomeranz
The Tampa Bay Rays visit Fenway Park on Tuesday to play the Boston Red Sox. The probable starters are Jake Odorizzi for the Rays and Drew Pomeranz for the Red Sox. The opening line for this matchup has Tampa Bay at +165 and Boston at -175. The over/under was set at 9. The Rays have a 61-61-7 over/under record and a 58-71-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 45% of the time. The Red Sox are 64-66-0 against the run line and have a 64-60-6 over/under record. They cover the spread 49% of the time.
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The Rays head into this matchup with a 55-74 record, including 23-37 on the road. Starting pitcher Jake Odorizzi has a 9-5 record with an earned run average of 3.53 and a WHIP of 1.21. He has 139 strikeouts over his 155.2 innings pitched and he has given up 143 hits so far this season. He has allowed 8.3 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.11. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 4.15 and they have given up 386 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .257 against the bullpen while being struck out 363 times and walking 139 times this season. As a team, Tampa Bay has allowed 8.73 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.7 batters per nine. They are 15th in the league in team earned run average at 4.08. The Rays pitchers have collectively given up 1,104 base hits and 516 earned runs. They have allowed 165 home runs this season and they allow 1.3 homers per nine innings as a staff. Tampa Bay as a pitching staff has walked 382 batters and struck out 1,101. They walk 3 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.7 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.31 and their FIP as a unit is 4.18.
As a team, Tampa Bay is batting .243, good for 27th in the league while putting together a .252 average away from home. The Rays hold a .427 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .309 which is good for 27th in baseball. They rank 26th in baseball with 8.18 hits per game. Evan Longoria comes into this game hitting .289 and his on-base percentage is at .340. He has 145 hits this season along with 68 runs scored and 80 runs batted in. He's struck out 116 times and has walked 39 times. Logan Forsythe is hitting .271 and he has an on-base percentage of .335. He has totaled 104 hits so far while scoring 60 runs and he's driven in 41. He has walked 32 times and has struck out 91 times. The Rays have 1,055 hits, including 232 doubles and 172 home runs. They've stolen 48 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 30 times. Tampa Bay has walked 375 times this season and they've struck out 1,165 times as a unit. They've left 847 men on base and have a team OPS of .736. They score 4.19 runs per contest and have scored a total of 541 runs so far this year.
Boston comes into this matchup with a 39-29 home record and a 72-58 overall mark. With an earned run average of 2.95, Drew Pomeranz has a 10-10 record and a 1.15 WHIP. He has 161 strikeouts over the 146.1 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 111 hits. He has allowed 6.8 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.56. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 3.94 and they have given up 340 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .236 against the Red Sox bullpen while being struck out 402 times and walking 153 times this season. As a team, Boston has allowed 8.6 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.4 batters per nine. They are 16th in the league in team earned run average at 4.20. The Red Sox pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,104 base knocks and 539 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 146 home runs this year and they give up 1.1 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Boston as a staff has walked 402 hitters and struck out 1,079. They give up a walk 3.1 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.4 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.30 while their FIP as a staff is 4.11.
As a team, they are batting .284, good for 1st in the league while putting together a .303 average at home. The Red Sox hold a .465 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .350 which is good for 1st in baseball. They rank 1st in baseball with 9.99 hits per contest. Xander Bogaerts comes into this matchup batting .309 and he has an OBP of .365. He has 163 hits this year along with 91 runs scored and 76 RBI. He's struck out 92 times and has walked on 43 occasions. Mookie Betts is hitting .321 and he has an OBP of .360. He has collected 176 hits so far while he's scored 100 runs and drove in 94. He has earned a walk 35 times and has punched out 73 times. The Red Sox as a unit have 1,299 base hits, including 284 doubles and 165 homers. They have 71 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 17 times. Boston as a team has walked 439 times this year and they have struck out 929 times. They've had 938 men left on base and have an OPS of .815. They score 5.42 runs per game and have totaled 704 runs so far this season.
Tampa Bay Rays Betting Trends
The Tampa Bay Rays are 61-61-7 against the over/under so far this season
The Tampa Bay Rays are 58-71-0 against the run line so far this season
Boston Red Sox Betting Trends
The Boston Red Sox are 64-60-6 against the over/under so far this season
The Boston Red Sox are 64-66-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
Tampa Bay Rays
08/28/16 P Blake Snell Foot "?" for next scheduled start
08/07/16 LF Desmond Jennings Knee 15-day DL (8/3); out for season
08/07/16 P Enny Romero Back 15-day DL (8/4)
04/01/16 P Alex Cobb Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
Boston Red Sox
08/28/16 2B Dustin Pedroia Personal "?" Monday vs. Tampa Bay Rays
08/25/16 LF Andrew Benintendi Knee 15-day DL (8/25)
08/06/16 C Ryan Hanigan Ankle 15-day DL (8/5)
07/20/16 P Koji Uehara Pectoral 15-day DL (7/20)
06/17/16 2B Josh Rutledge Knee 60-day DL (6/15)
06/07/16 P Carson Smith Elbow 60-day DL (5/15)
06/06/16 C Blake Swihart Ankle 60-day DL (6/5)
05/03/16 3B Pablo Sandoval Shoulder 60-day DL (4/11); out for season
04/04/16 P Brandon Workman Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
Tony's Pick: Take the Rays
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