Monday, June 20, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Drew Smyly vs. Josh Tomlin
The Tampa Bay Rays head to Progressive Field on Monday to take on the Cleveland Indians. The probable pitchers are Drew Smyly for the Rays and Josh Tomlin for the Indians. The opening line for this game has Tampa Bay at +109 and Cleveland at -119. The over/under is 8. The Rays have a 30-31-5 over/under mark and a 30-36-0 run line record, meaning they cover 46% of the time. The Indians are 33-34-0 against the run line and have a 34-27-6 over/under record. They cover the spread 49% of the time.
The Rays head into this game with a 31-35 record, and they are 16-16 on the road. Starting pitcher Drew Smyly has a 2-7 record with an ERA of 4.75 and a WHIP of 1.19. He has 89 strikeouts during his 77.2 innings pitched and he has given up 73 hits so far this year. He has surrendered 8.5 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.17. The bullpen this season has an earned run average of 3.69 and they have allowed 189 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .246 against the pen while they've been struck out 185 times and walked 75 times this year. As a unit, Tampa Bay has given up 8.61 base hits per nine innings while striking out 8.79 hitters per nine. They are 10th in the Majors in team earned run average at 4.03. The Rays pitchers have collectively given up 560 base hits and 262 earned runs. They have allowed 87 home runs this season and they allow 1.3 homers per nine innings as a staff. Tampa Bay as a pitching staff has walked 199 batters and struck out 572. They walk 3.1 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.8 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.30 and their FIP as a unit is 4.22.
As a team, Tampa Bay is hitting .240, good for 25th in the league while putting together a .258 average on the road. The Rays have a .434 team slugging percentage and an OBP of .312 which is good for 21st in the league. They rank 24th in baseball with 8.12 hits per contest. Evan Longoria comes into this game hitting .278 and his on-base percentage is at .336. He has 71 hits this season along with 39 runs scored and 41 runs batted in. He's struck out 66 times and has walked 22 times. Logan Forsythe is hitting .299 and he has an on-base percentage of .377. He has totaled 43 hits so far while scoring 21 runs and he's driven in 15. He has walked 16 times and has struck out 33 times. The Rays have 536 hits, including 114 doubles and 98 home runs. They've stolen 24 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 15 times. Tampa Bay has walked 210 times this season and they've struck out 617 times as a unit. They've left 457 men on base and have a team OPS of .745. They score 4.17 runs per contest and have scored a total of 275 runs so far this year.
Cleveland comes into this game with a 19-12 home mark and a 37-30 overall record. With an ERA of 3.27, Josh Tomlin has a 8-1 record and a 1.12 WHIP. He has 50 strikeouts over the 74.1 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 76 hits. He has allowed 9.2 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.39. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 3.43 and they have given up 168 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .229 against the Indians bullpen while being struck out 188 times and walking 77 times this season. As a team, Cleveland has allowed 8.21 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.45 batters per nine. They are 7th in the league in team earned run average at 3.74. The Indians pitchers as a team have surrendered 548 base knocks and 250 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 76 home runs this year and they give up 1.1 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Cleveland as a staff has walked 186 hitters and struck out 564. They give up a walk 2.8 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.4 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.22 while their FIP as a staff is 3.90.
As a team, they are batting .253, good for 15th in the league while putting together a .288 average at home. The Indians hold a .417 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .320 which is good for 18th in baseball. They rank 14th in baseball with 8.64 hits per contest. Jason Kipnis comes into this matchup batting .265 and he has an OBP of .324. He has 69 hits this year along with 34 runs scored and 34 RBI. He's struck out 62 times and has walked on 24 occasions. Francisco Lindor is hitting .311 and he has an OBP of .369. He has collected 80 hits so far while he's scored 42 runs and drove in 35. He has earned a walk 24 times and has punched out 38 times. The Indians as a unit have 579 base hits, including 113 doubles and 79 homers. They have 49 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 13 times. Cleveland as a team has walked 225 times this year and they have struck out 538 times. They've had 441 men left on base and have an OPS of .737. They score 4.73 runs per game and have totaled 317 runs so far this season.
Tampa Bay Rays Betting Trends
The Tampa Bay Rays are 30-31-5 against the over/under so far this season
The Tampa Bay Rays are 30-36-0 against the run line so far this season
Cleveland Indians Betting Trends
The Cleveland Indians are 34-27-6 against the over/under so far this season
The Cleveland Indians are 33-34-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
Tampa Bay Rays
06/17/16 RF Steven Souza Hip 15-day DL (6/15)
06/06/16 LF Brandon Guyer Hamstring 15-day DL (6/4)
06/02/16 P Brad Boxberger Oblique 15-day DL (6/1)
05/31/16 P Ryan Webb Pectoral 15-day DL (5/27)
05/23/16 CF Kevin Kiermaier Hand 15-day DL (5/22)
04/10/16 P Chase Whitley Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
04/01/16 P Alex Cobb Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
06/01/16 LF Marlon Byrd Suspension out for season
05/14/16 LF Michael Brantley Shoulder 15-day DL (5/10)
05/02/16 C Roberto Perez Thumb 60-day DL (5/2)
Josh's Pick: Take the Indians
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