Monday, May 23, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Matt Moore vs. Wei-Yin Chen
The Tampa Bay Rays visit Marlins Park on Monday to play the Miami Marlins. The probable starters are Matt Moore for the Rays and Wei-Yin Chen for the Marlins. The opening line for this matchup has Tampa Bay at +107 and Miami at -117. The over/under was set at 7.5. The Rays have a 16-20-5 over/under record and a 20-21-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 49% of the time. The Marlins are 21-22-0 against the run line and have a 22-20-1 over/under record. They cover the spread 49% of the time.
The Rays head into this matchup with a 20-21 record, including 10-10 on the road. Starting pitcher Matt Moore has a 1-3 record with an earned run average of 5.09 and a WHIP of 1.37. He has 46 strikeouts over his 46 innings pitched and he has given up 48 hits so far this season. He has allowed 9.4 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.44. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 3.55 and they have given up 103 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .221 against the bullpen while being struck out 113 times and walking 41 times this season. As a team, Tampa Bay has allowed 7.71 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.55 batters per nine. They are 8th in the league in team earned run average at 3.70. The Rays pitchers have collectively given up 304 base hits and 146 earned runs. They have allowed 55 home runs this season and they allow 1.4 homers per nine innings as a staff. Tampa Bay as a pitching staff has walked 112 batters and struck out 337. They walk 2.8 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.6 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.17 and their FIP as a unit is 4.19.
As a team, Tampa Bay is batting .233, good for 25th in the league while putting together a .254 average away from home. The Rays hold a .433 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .305 which is good for 24th in baseball. They rank 25th in baseball with 7.85 hits per game. Evan Longoria comes into this game hitting .258 and his on-base percentage is at .303. He has 42 hits this season along with 24 runs scored and 20 runs batted in. He's struck out 42 times and has walked 10 times. Steven Souza is hitting .268 and he has an on-base percentage of .327. He has totaled 37 hits so far while scoring 19 runs and he's driven in 18. He has walked 11 times and has struck out 50 times. The Rays have 314 hits, including 74 doubles and 61 home runs. They've stolen 19 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 11 times. Tampa Bay has walked 119 times this season and they've struck out 374 times as a unit. They've left 264 men on base and have a team OPS of .737. They score 4.25 runs per contest and have scored a total of 170 runs so far this year.
Miami comes into this matchup with a 9-12 home record and a 22-21 overall mark. With an earned run average of 4.22, Wei-Yin Chen has a 3-2 record and a 1.25 WHIP. He has 42 strikeouts over the 49 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 52 hits. He has allowed 9.6 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.49. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 3.56 and they have given up 131 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .243 against the Marlins bullpen while being struck out 131 times and walking 67 times this season. As a team, Miami has allowed 8.42 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.2 batters per nine. They are 14th in the league in team earned run average at 3.87. The Marlins pitchers as a team have surrendered 348 base knocks and 160 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 31 home runs this year and they give up 0.8 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Miami as a staff has walked 168 hitters and struck out 339. They give up a walk 4.1 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.2 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.39 while their FIP as a staff is 3.79.
As a team, they are batting .273, good for 3rd in the league while putting together a .264 average at home. The Marlins hold a .420 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .334 which is good for 6th in baseball. They rank 6th in baseball with 9.33 hits per contest. Giancarlo Stanton comes into this matchup batting .210 and he has an OBP of .325. He has 30 hits this year along with 20 runs scored and 25 RBI. He's struck out 58 times and has walked on 24 occasions. Christian Yelich is hitting .320 and he has an OBP of .420. He has collected 47 hits so far while he's scored 24 runs and drove in 20. He has earned a walk 24 times and has punched out 29 times. The Marlins as a unit have 392 base hits, including 72 doubles and 39 homers. They have 13 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 7 times. Miami as a team has walked 127 times this year and they have struck out 325 times. They've had 321 men left on base and have an OPS of .754. They score 3.95 runs per game and have totaled 166 runs so far this season.
Tampa Bay Rays Betting Trends
The Tampa Bay Rays are 16-20-5 against the over/under so far this season
The Tampa Bay Rays are 20-21-0 against the run line so far this season
Miami Marlins Betting Trends
The Miami Marlins are 22-20-1 against the over/under so far this season
The Miami Marlins are 21-22-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
Tampa Bay Rays
05/14/16 2B Logan Forsythe Shoulder 15-day DL (5/10)
04/10/16 P Chase Whitley Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Brad Boxberge Abdominal 15-day DL (3/25)
04/01/16 P Alex Cobb Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
05/21/16 LF Christian Yelich Back "?" Sunday vs. Washington Nationals
05/15/16 P Kendry Flores Shoulder 15-day DL (5/15)
04/29/16 2B Dee Gordon Suspension expected to miss 80 games
04/04/16 P Raudel Lazo Shoulder 15-day DL (3/25)
04/03/16 P Carter Capps Arm 60-day DL; out for season
04/03/16 P Mike Dunn Forearm 15-day DL (3/25)
Josh's Pick: Take the Rays
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