Saturday, June 4, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Matt Andriese vs. Ervin Santana
The Tampa Bay Rays head to Target Field on Saturday to take on the Minnesota Twins. The probable pitchers are Matt Andriese for the Rays and Ervin Santana for the Twins. The opening line for this game has Tampa Bay at -113 and Minnesota at +103. The over/under is 8.5. The Rays have a 23-24-5 over/under mark and a 23-29-0 run line record, meaning they cover 44% of the time. The Twins are 23-30-0 against the run line and have a 29-21-3 over/under record. They cover the spread 43% of the time.
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The Rays head into this game with a 22-30 record, and they are 11-15 on the road. Starting pitcher Matt Andriese has a 3-0 record with an ERA of 2.36 and a WHIP of 0.93. He has 20 strikeouts during his 34.1 innings pitched and he has given up 24 hits so far this year. He has surrendered 6.3 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.13. The bullpen this season has an earned run average of 4.12 and they have allowed 152 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .254 against the pen while they've been struck out 136 times and walked 48 times this year. As a unit, Tampa Bay has given up 8.63 base hits per nine innings while striking out 8.34 hitters per nine. They are 17th in the Majors in team earned run average at 4.18. The Rays pitchers have collectively given up 438 base hits and 212 earned runs. They have allowed 70 home runs this season and they allow 1.4 homers per nine innings as a staff. Tampa Bay as a pitching staff has walked 142 batters and struck out 423. They walk 2.8 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.3 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.27 and their FIP as a unit is 4.27.
As a team, Tampa Bay is hitting .239, good for 22nd in the league while putting together a .258 average on the road. The Rays have a .425 team slugging percentage and an OBP of .309 which is good for 21st in the league. They rank 22nd in baseball with 8.08 hits per contest. Evan Longoria comes into this game hitting .273 and his on-base percentage is at .319. He has 57 hits this season along with 28 runs scored and 29 runs batted in. He's struck out 55 times and has walked 14 times. Steven Souza is hitting .258 and he has an on-base percentage of .323. He has totaled 46 hits so far while scoring 23 runs and he's driven in 20. He has walked 15 times and has struck out 69 times. The Rays have 420 hits, including 94 doubles and 73 home runs. They've stolen 23 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 12 times. Tampa Bay has walked 155 times this season and they've struck out 492 times as a unit. They've left 357 men on base and have a team OPS of .734. They score 4.1 runs per contest and have scored a total of 213 runs so far this year.
Minnesota comes into this game with a 9-15 home mark and a 16-37 overall record. With an ERA of 4.13, Ervin Santana has a 1-4 record and a 1.46 WHIP. He has 41 strikeouts over the 48 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 52 hits. He has allowed 9.8 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.9. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 4.37 and they have given up 201 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .274 against the Twins bullpen while being struck out 188 times and walking 60 times this season. As a team, Minnesota has allowed 10.13 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.07 batters per nine. They are 28th in the league in team earned run average at 5.00. The Twins pitchers as a team have surrendered 525 base knocks and 259 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 72 home runs this year and they give up 1.4 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Minnesota as a staff has walked 150 hitters and struck out 418. They give up a walk 2.9 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.1 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.45 while their FIP as a staff is 4.40.
As a team, they are batting .242, good for 20th in the league while putting together a .251 average at home. The Twins hold a .387 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .308 which is good for 23rd in baseball. They rank 18th in baseball with 8.25 hits per contest. Joe Mauer comes into this matchup batting .283 and he has an OBP of .392. He has 53 hits this year along with 18 runs scored and 18 RBI. He's struck out 35 times and has walked on 33 occasions. Eduardo Nunez is hitting .331 and he has an OBP of .358. He has collected 56 hits so far while he's scored 23 runs and drove in 21. He has earned a walk 5 times and has punched out 30 times. The Twins as a unit have 437 base hits, including 88 doubles and 54 homers. They have 33 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 11 times. Minnesota as a team has walked 158 times this year and they have struck out 467 times. They've had 372 men left on base and have an OPS of .695. They score 3.74 runs per game and have totaled 198 runs so far this season.
Tampa Bay Rays Betting Trends
The Tampa Bay Rays are 23-24-5 against the over/under so far this season
The Tampa Bay Rays are 23-29-0 against the run line so far this season
Minnesota Twins Betting Trends
The Minnesota Twins are 29-21-3 against the over/under so far this season
The Minnesota Twins are 23-30-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
Tampa Bay Rays
06/02/16 P Brad Boxberger Oblique 15-day DL (6/1)
05/31/16 P Ryan Webb Pectoral 15-day DL (5/27)
05/23/16 CF Kevin Kiermaier Hand 15-day DL (5/22)
05/14/16 2B Logan Forsythe Shoulder 15-day DL (5/10)
04/10/16 P Chase Whitley Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
04/01/16 P Alex Cobb Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
05/31/16 CF Danny Santana Hamstring 15-day DL (5/31)
05/31/16 3B Miguel Sano Hamstring 15-day DL (5/31)
05/25/16 RF Darin Mastroianni Oblique 15-day DL (5/22)
04/27/16 P Kyle Gibson Back 15-day DL (4/23)
04/13/16 P Glen Perkins Shoulder 60-day DL (4/11)
Josh's Pick: Take the Twins
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