Sunday, April 24, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Drew Smyly vs. Michael Pineda
The Tampa Bay Rays visit Yankee Stadium on Sunday to play the New York Yankees. The probable starters are Drew Smyly for the Rays and Michael Pineda for the Yankees. The opening line for this matchup has Tampa Bay at +108 and New York at -118. The over/under was set at 8. The Rays have a 4-10-3 over/under record and a 7-10-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 41% of the time. The Yankees are 6-10-0 against the run line and have a 6-8-2 over/under record. They cover the spread 38% of the time.
The Rays head into this matchup with a 7-10 record, including 2-5 on the road. Starting pitcher Drew Smyly has a 0-2 record with an earned run average of 2.91 and a WHIP of 0.65. He has 27 strikeouts over his 21.2 innings pitched and he has given up 10 hits so far this season. He has allowed 4.2 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 2.89. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 3.06 and they have given up 43 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .229 against the bullpen while being struck out 44 times and walking 15 times this season. As a team, Tampa Bay has allowed 8.23 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.57 batters per nine. They are 14th in the league in team earned run average at 3.77. The Rays pitchers have collectively given up 129 base hits and 59 earned runs. They have allowed 20 home runs this season and they allow 1.3 homers per nine innings as a staff. Tampa Bay as a pitching staff has walked 37 batters and struck out 150. They walk 2.4 men per 9 innings while striking out 9.6 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.18 and their FIP as a unit is 3.62.
As a team, Tampa Bay is batting .222, good for 26th in the league while putting together a .236 average away from home. The Rays hold a .373 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .290 which is good for 27th in baseball. They rank 26th in baseball with 7.31 hits per game. Evan Longoria comes into this game hitting .269 and his on-base percentage is at .300. He has 18 hits this season along with 9 runs scored and 9 runs batted in. He's struck out 11 times and has walked 3 times. Logan Forsythe is hitting .298 and he has an on-base percentage of .375. He has totaled 17 hits so far while scoring 11 runs and he's driven in 7. He has walked 7 times and has struck out 16 times. The Rays have 117 hits, including 25 doubles and 17 home runs. They've stolen 7 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 5 times. Tampa Bay has walked 41 times this season and they've struck out 144 times as a unit. They've left 103 men on base and have a team OPS of .661. They score 3.67 runs per contest and have scored a total of 55 runs so far this year.
New York comes into this matchup with a 5-6 home record and a 7-9 overall mark. With an earned run average of 5.29, Michael Pineda has a 1-1 record and a 1.41 WHIP. He has 18 strikeouts over the 17 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 20 hits. He has allowed 10.6 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.09. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 2.96 and they have given up 39 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .203 against the Yankees bullpen while being struck out 70 times and walking 14 times this season. As a team, New York has allowed 9.2 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.74 batters per nine. They are 19th in the league in team earned run average at 4.23. The Yankees pitchers as a team have surrendered 137 base knocks and 63 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 15 home runs this year and they give up 1 home runs per nine innings as a staff. New York as a staff has walked 35 hitters and struck out 145. They give up a walk 2.4 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9.7 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.28 while their FIP as a staff is 3.19.
As a team, they are batting .244, good for 16th in the league while putting together a .259 average at home. The Yankees hold a .388 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .323 which is good for 9th in baseball. They rank 16th in baseball with 8.2 hits per contest. Jacoby Ellsbury comes into this matchup batting .276 and he has an OBP of .311. He has 16 hits this year along with 5 runs scored and 7 RBI. He's struck out 12 times and has walked on 3 occasions. Mark Teixeira is hitting .216 and he has an OBP of .375. He has collected 11 hits so far while he's scored 10 runs and drove in 8. He has earned a walk 13 times and has punched out 14 times. The Yankees as a unit have 123 base hits, including 18 doubles and 17 homers. They have 16 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 4 times. New York as a team has walked 58 times this year and they have struck out 110 times. They've had 111 men left on base and have an OPS of .711. They score 4.43 runs per game and have totaled 62 runs so far this season.
Tampa Bay Rays Betting Trends
The Tampa Bay Rays are 4-10-3 against the over/under so far this season
The Tampa Bay Rays are 7-10-0 against the run line so far this season
New York Yankees Betting Trends
The New York Yankees are 6-8-2 against the over/under so far this season
The New York Yankees are 6-10-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
Tampa Bay Rays
04/10/16 P Chase Whitley Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Brad Boxberge Abdominal 15-day DL (3/25)
04/01/16 P Alex Cobb Elbow 15-day DL (3/25)
New York Yankees
04/13/16 P Aroldis Chapman Suspension 30-game suspension, eligible to return May 9 vs Kansas City Royals
04/03/16 RF Mason Williams Shoulder 15-day DL (3/25)
03/31/16 P Bryan Mitchell Toe 15-day DL (3/31)
03/31/16 1B Gregory Bird Shoulder 15-day DL (3/25); out for season
Tony's Pick: Take the Rays
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