Sunday, August 14, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Jake Odorizzi vs. Luis Severino
The Tampa Bay Rays head to Yankee Stadium on Sunday to take on the New York Yankees. The probable pitchers are Jake Odorizzi for the Rays and Luis Severino for the Yankees. The opening line for this game has Tampa Bay at -108 and New York at -102. The over/under is 8.5. The Rays have a 50-57-7 over/under mark and a 48-66-0 run line record, meaning they cover 42% of the time. The Yankees are 55-60-0 against the run line and have a 49-57-9 over/under record. They cover the spread 48% of the time.
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The Rays head into this game with a 46-68 record, and they are 21-34 on the road. Starting pitcher Jake Odorizzi has a 6-5 record with an ERA of 3.69 and a WHIP of 1.22. He has 125 strikeouts during his 136.2 innings pitched and he has given up 127 hits so far this year. He has surrendered 8.4 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.01. The bullpen this season has an earned run average of 4.45 and they have allowed 349 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .263 against the pen while they've been struck out 307 times and walked 117 times this year. As a unit, Tampa Bay has given up 8.86 base hits per nine innings while striking out 8.54 hitters per nine. They are 15th in the Majors in team earned run average at 4.19. The Rays pitchers have collectively given up 989 base hits and 468 earned runs. They have allowed 142 home runs this season and they allow 1.3 homers per nine innings as a staff. Tampa Bay as a pitching staff has walked 333 batters and struck out 953. They walk 3 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.5 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.32 and their FIP as a unit is 4.14.
As a team, Tampa Bay is hitting .239, good for 29th in the league while putting together a .249 average on the road. The Rays have a .417 team slugging percentage and an OBP of .308 which is good for 25th in the league. They rank 29th in baseball with 8.04 hits per contest. Logan Forsythe comes into this game hitting .281 and his on-base percentage is at .345. He has 97 hits this season along with 55 runs scored and 34 runs batted in. He's struck out 80 times and has walked 29 times. Evan Longoria is hitting .283 and he has an on-base percentage of .335. He has totaled 125 hits so far while scoring 58 runs and he's driven in 66. He has walked 35 times and has struck out 106 times. The Rays have 916 hits, including 196 doubles and 147 home runs. They've stolen 42 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 26 times. Tampa Bay has walked 344 times this season and they've struck out 1,033 times as a unit. They've left 763 men on base and have a team OPS of .725. They score 4.01 runs per contest and have scored a total of 457 runs so far this year.
New York comes into this game with a 33-24 home mark and a 59-56 overall record. With an ERA of 6.42, Luis Severino has a 1-7 record and a 1.47 WHIP. He has 40 strikeouts over the 47.2 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 57 hits. He has allowed 10.8 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.52. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 3.27 and they have given up 278 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .212 against the Yankees bullpen while being struck out 420 times and walking 112 times this season. As a team, New York has allowed 8.6 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.9 batters per nine. They are 16th in the league in team earned run average at 4.21. The Yankees pitchers as a team have surrendered 967 base knocks and 473 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 147 home runs this year and they give up 1.3 home runs per nine innings as a staff. New York as a staff has walked 303 hitters and struck out 1,001. They give up a walk 2.7 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.9 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.26 while their FIP as a staff is 4.06.
As a team, they are batting .250, good for 19th in the league while putting together a .249 average at home. The Yankees hold a .393 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .311 which is good for 23rd in baseball. They rank 23rd in baseball with 8.37 hits per contest. Didi Gregorius comes into this matchup batting .286 and he has an OBP of .316. He has 112 hits this year along with 49 runs scored and 50 RBI. He's struck out 54 times and has walked on 14 occasions. Brett Gardner is hitting .263 and he has an OBP of .352. He has collected 104 hits so far while he's scored 61 runs and drove in 29. He has earned a walk 50 times and has punched out 86 times. The Yankees as a unit have 963 base hits, including 171 doubles and 116 homers. They have 51 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 16 times. New York as a team has walked 329 times this year and they have struck out 817 times. They've had 760 men left on base and have an OPS of .704. They score 4.14 runs per game and have totaled 476 runs so far this season.
Tampa Bay Rays Betting Trends
The Tampa Bay Rays are 50-57-7 against the over/under so far this season
The Tampa Bay Rays are 48-66-0 against the run line so far this season
New York Yankees Betting Trends
The New York Yankees are 49-57-9 against the over/under so far this season
The New York Yankees are 55-60-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
Tampa Bay Rays
08/13/16 CF Kevin Kiermaier Flu "?" Saturday vs. New York Yankees
08/07/16 LF Desmond Jennings Knee 15-day DL (8/3)
08/07/16 P Enny Romero Back 15-day DL (8/4)
07/31/16 RF Oswaldo Arcia Elbow 15-day DL (7/27)
07/29/16 1B Logan Morrison Forearm 15-day DL (7/28)
04/10/16 P Chase Whitley Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
04/01/16 P Alex Cobb Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
New York Yankees
08/13/16 P Nathan Eovaldi Elbow 15-day DL (8/11)
06/10/16 1B Chris Parmelee Hamstring 15-day DL (6/10)
05/31/16 LF Dustin Ackley Shoulder 60-day DL (5/29), out for season
03/31/16 P Bryan Mitchell Toe 60-day DL (3/31)
03/31/16 1B Gregory Bird Shoulder 60-day DL (3/25); out for season
Guy's Pick: Take the Yankees
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