Saturday, September 10, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Chris Archer vs. Masahiro Tanaka
The Tampa Bay Rays visit Yankee Stadium on Saturday to play the New York Yankees. The probable starters are Chris Archer for the Rays and Masahiro Tanaka for the Yankees. The opening line for this matchup has Tampa Bay at +134 and New York at -144. The over/under was set at 7.5. The Rays have a 70-62-7 over/under record and a 63-76-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 45% of the time. The Yankees are 68-71-0 against the run line and have a 61-69-9 over/under record. They cover the spread 49% of the time.
The Rays head into this matchup with a 59-80 record, including 24-40 on the road. Starting pitcher Chris Archer has a 8-17 record with an earned run average of 4.06 and a WHIP of 1.26. He has 211 strikeouts over his 175.1 innings pitched and he has given up 159 hits so far this season. He has allowed 8.2 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.62. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 4.18 and they have given up 419 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .255 against the bullpen while being struck out 397 times and walking 160 times this season. As a team, Tampa Bay has allowed 8.81 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.7 batters per nine. They are 19th in the league in team earned run average at 4.22. The Rays pitchers have collectively given up 1,191 base hits and 571 earned runs. They have allowed 176 home runs this season and they allow 1.3 homers per nine innings as a staff. Tampa Bay as a pitching staff has walked 418 batters and struck out 1,181. They walk 3.1 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.7 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.32 and their FIP as a unit is 4.19.
As a team, Tampa Bay is batting .245, good for 27th in the league while putting together a .255 average away from home. The Rays hold a .429 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .310 which is good for 27th in baseball. They rank 26th in baseball with 8.26 hits per game. Evan Longoria comes into this game hitting .280 and his on-base percentage is at .329. He has 150 hits this season along with 71 runs scored and 85 runs batted in. He's struck out 126 times and has walked 39 times. Logan Forsythe is hitting .280 and he has an on-base percentage of .350. He has totaled 116 hits so far while scoring 67 runs and he's driven in 47. He has walked 40 times and has struck out 96 times. The Rays have 1,136 hits, including 244 doubles and 184 home runs. They've stolen 51 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 33 times. Tampa Bay has walked 399 times this season and they've struck out 1,247 times as a unit. They've left 904 men on base and have a team OPS of .737. They score 4.24 runs per contest and have scored a total of 585 runs so far this year.
New York comes into this matchup with a 41-28 home record and a 74-65 overall mark. With an earned run average of 3.11, Masahiro Tanaka has a 12-4 record and a 1.08 WHIP. He has 150 strikeouts over the 179.1 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 163 hits. He has allowed 8.2 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.26. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 3.45 and they have given up 349 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .215 against the Yankees bullpen while being struck out 507 times and walking 148 times this season. As a team, New York has allowed 8.57 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.92 batters per nine. They are 16th in the league in team earned run average at 4.18. The Yankees pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,158 base knocks and 567 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 178 home runs this year and they give up 1.3 home runs per nine innings as a staff. New York as a staff has walked 365 hitters and struck out 1,208. They give up a walk 2.7 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.9 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.25 while their FIP as a staff is 4.08.
As a team, they are batting .253, good for 19th in the league while putting together a .257 average at home. The Yankees hold a .405 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .313 which is good for 25th in baseball. They rank 20th in baseball with 8.54 hits per contest. Brett Gardner comes into this matchup batting .257 and he has an OBP of .347. He has 118 hits this year along with 67 runs scored and 35 RBI. He's struck out 95 times and has walked on 60 occasions. Didi Gregorius is hitting .280 and he has an OBP of .309. He has collected 135 hits so far while he's scored 62 runs and drove in 62. He has earned a walk 16 times and has punched out 72 times. The Yankees as a unit have 1,177 base hits, including 209 doubles and 153 homers. They have 62 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 17 times. New York as a team has walked 397 times this year and they have struck out 1,009 times. They've had 928 men left on base and have an OPS of .717. They score 4.25 runs per game and have totaled 586 runs so far this season.
Tampa Bay Rays Betting Trends
The Tampa Bay Rays are 70-62-7 against the over/under so far this season
The Tampa Bay Rays are 63-76-0 against the run line so far this season
New York Yankees Betting Trends
The New York Yankees are 61-69-9 against the over/under so far this season
The New York Yankees are 68-71-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
Tampa Bay Rays
09/09/16 1B Brad Miller Elbow "?" Friday vs. New York Yankees
09/07/16 SS Matt Duffy Achilles out for season
08/07/16 LF Desmond Jennings Knee 15-day DL (8/3); out for season
08/07/16 P Enny Romero Back 15-day DL (8/4)
New York Yankees
09/08/16 P Chad Green Elbow 15-day DL (9/3)
09/06/16 RF Aaron Hicks Hamstring 15-day DL (9/1)
08/13/16 P Nathan Eovaldi Elbow 15-day DL (8/11)
05/31/16 LF Dustin Ackley Shoulder 60-day DL (5/29), out for season
03/31/16 1B Gregory Bird Shoulder 60-day DL (3/25); out for season
Guy's Pick: Take the Rays
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