Tuesday, May 10, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Drew Smyly vs. Wade Miley
The Tampa Bay Rays visit Safeco Field on Tuesday to play the Seattle Mariners. The probable starters are Drew Smyly for the Rays and Wade Miley for the Mariners. The opening line for this matchup has Tampa Bay at -115 and Seattle at -105. The over/under was set at 7.5. The Rays have a 7-19-3 over/under record and a 14-15-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 48% of the time. The Mariners are 16-15-0 against the run line and have a 10-18-3 over/under record. They cover the spread 52% of the time.
The Rays head into this matchup with a 15-14 record, including 6-5 on the road. Starting pitcher Drew Smyly has a 1-3 record with an earned run average of 2.72 and a WHIP of 0.78. He has 47 strikeouts over his 39.2 innings pitched and he has given up 23 hits so far this season. He has allowed 5.2 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.02. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 3.49 and they have given up 69 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .220 against the bullpen while being struck out 72 times and walking 30 times this season. As a team, Tampa Bay has allowed 7.51 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.8 batters per nine. They are 6th in the league in team earned run average at 3.46. The Rays pitchers have collectively given up 215 base hits and 99 earned runs. They have allowed 33 home runs this season and they allow 1.2 homers per nine innings as a staff. Tampa Bay as a pitching staff has walked 77 batters and struck out 252. They walk 2.7 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.8 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.13 and their FIP as a unit is 3.75.
As a team, Tampa Bay is batting .228, good for 28th in the league while putting together a .245 average away from home. The Rays hold a .405 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .296 which is good for 25th in baseball. They rank 29th in baseball with 7.48 hits per game. Logan Forsythe comes into this game hitting .311 and his on-base percentage is at .397. He has 33 hits this season along with 16 runs scored and 12 runs batted in. He's struck out 26 times and has walked 14 times. Evan Longoria is hitting .237 and he has an on-base percentage of .272. He has totaled 28 hits so far while scoring 14 runs and he's driven in 15. He has walked 5 times and has struck out 29 times. The Rays have 217 hits, including 49 doubles and 39 home runs. They've stolen 14 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 8 times. Tampa Bay has walked 77 times this season and they've struck out 273 times as a unit. They've left 190 men on base and have a team OPS of .700. They score 3.52 runs per contest and have scored a total of 102 runs so far this year.
Seattle comes into this matchup with a 5-7 home record and a 18-13 overall mark. With an earned run average of 4.74, Wade Miley has a 2-2 record and a 1.32 WHIP. He has 28 strikeouts over the 38 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 42 hits. He has allowed 9.9 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.02. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 2.50 and they have given up 60 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .180 against the Mariners bullpen while being struck out 102 times and walking 31 times this season. As a team, Seattle has allowed 7.67 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.48 batters per nine. They are 5th in the league in team earned run average at 3.08. The Mariners pitchers as a team have surrendered 237 base knocks and 95 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 29 home runs this year and they give up 0.9 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Seattle as a staff has walked 88 hitters and struck out 262. They give up a walk 2.8 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.5 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.17 while their FIP as a staff is 3.59.
As a team, they are batting .242, good for 18th in the league while putting together a .200 average at home. The Mariners hold a .408 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .315 which is good for 18th in baseball. They rank 15th in baseball with 8.23 hits per contest. Nelson Cruz comes into this matchup batting .268 and he has an OBP of .371. He has 30 hits this year along with 13 runs scored and 16 RBI. He's struck out 25 times and has walked on 14 occasions. Robinson Cano is hitting .305 and he has an OBP of .355. He has collected 39 hits so far while he's scored 20 runs and drove in 33. He has earned a walk 9 times and has punched out 17 times. The Mariners as a unit have 256 base hits, including 40 doubles and 42 homers. They have 11 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 8 times. Seattle as a team has walked 100 times this year and they have struck out 242 times. They've had 207 men left on base and have an OPS of .727. They score 4.35 runs per game and have totaled 135 runs so far this season.
Tampa Bay Rays Betting Trends
The Tampa Bay Rays are 7-19-3 against the over/under so far this season
The Tampa Bay Rays are 14-15-0 against the run line so far this season
Seattle Mariners Betting Trends
The Seattle Mariners are 10-18-3 against the over/under so far this season
The Seattle Mariners are 16-15-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
Tampa Bay Rays
04/10/16 P Chase Whitley Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Brad Boxberge Abdominal 15-day DL (3/25)
04/01/16 P Alex Cobb Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
05/08/16 RF Nelson Cruz Forearm "?" Monday vs. Tampa Bay Rays
05/07/16 P Taijuan Walker Neck "?" for next scheduled start
05/04/16 P Tony Zych Rotator Cuff 15-day DL (5/2)
04/25/16 P Joaquin Benoit Shoulder 15-day DL (4/25)
04/04/16 P Charlie Furbush Bicep 15-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Evan Scribner Oblique 15-day DL (3/25)
03/30/16 C Jesus Sucre Leg 60-day DL (3/1)
03/30/16 P Ryan Cook Shoulder 60-day DL (3/12)
Guy's Pick: Take the Mariners
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