Monday, May 9, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Matt Moore vs. Felix Hernandez
The Tampa Bay Rays visit Safeco Field on Monday to play the Seattle Mariners. The probable starters are Matt Moore for the Rays and Felix Hernandez for the Mariners. The opening line for this matchup has Tampa Bay at +145 and Seattle at -155. The over/under was set at 7. The Rays have a 7-18-3 over/under record and a 13-15-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 46% of the time. The Mariners are 16-14-0 against the run line and have a 10-17-3 over/under record. They cover the spread 53% of the time.
The Rays head into this matchup with a 14-14 record, including 5-5 on the road. Starting pitcher Matt Moore has a 1-3 record with an earned run average of 4.95 and a WHIP of 1.21. He has 37 strikeouts over his 36.1 innings pitched and he has given up 34 hits so far this season. He has allowed 8.4 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.18. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 3.58 and they have given up 68 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .221 against the bullpen while being struck out 70 times and walking 30 times this season. As a team, Tampa Bay has allowed 7.6 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.94 batters per nine. They are 7th in the league in team earned run average at 3.55. The Rays pitchers have collectively given up 210 base hits and 98 earned runs. They have allowed 33 home runs this season and they allow 1.2 homers per nine innings as a staff. Tampa Bay as a pitching staff has walked 74 batters and struck out 247. They walk 2.7 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.9 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.14 and their FIP as a unit is 3.78.
As a team, Tampa Bay is batting .228, good for 28th in the league while putting together a .248 average away from home. The Rays hold a .404 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .296 which is good for 25th in baseball. They rank 28th in baseball with 7.5 hits per game. Evan Longoria comes into this game hitting .228 and his on-base percentage is at .264. He has 26 hits this season along with 14 runs scored and 15 runs batted in. He's struck out 27 times and has walked 5 times. Logan Forsythe is hitting .320 and he has an on-base percentage of .402. He has totaled 33 hits so far while scoring 16 runs and he's driven in 12. He has walked 13 times and has struck out 26 times. The Rays have 210 hits, including 48 doubles and 37 home runs. They've stolen 14 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 7 times. Tampa Bay has walked 73 times this season and they've struck out 258 times as a unit. They've left 184 men on base and have a team OPS of .699. They score 3.54 runs per contest and have scored a total of 99 runs so far this year.
Seattle comes into this matchup with a 5-7 home record and a 18-12 overall mark. With an earned run average of 2.21, Felix Hernandez has a 2-2 record and a 1.26 WHIP. He has 29 strikeouts over the 36.2 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 28 hits. He has allowed 6.9 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.11. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 2.48 and they have given up 58 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .180 against the Mariners bullpen while being struck out 99 times and walking 30 times this season. As a team, Seattle has allowed 7.6 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.37 batters per nine. They are 5th in the league in team earned run average at 3.03. The Mariners pitchers as a team have surrendered 228 base knocks and 91 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 29 home runs this year and they give up 1.1 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Seattle as a staff has walked 85 hitters and struck out 251. They give up a walk 2.8 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.4 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.16 while their FIP as a staff is 3.66.
As a team, they are batting .245, good for 17th in the league while putting together a .200 average at home. The Mariners hold a .413 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .319 which is good for 14th in baseball. They rank 14th in baseball with 8.33 hits per contest. Nelson Cruz comes into this matchup batting .268 and he has an OBP of .371. He has 30 hits this year along with 13 runs scored and 16 RBI. He's struck out 25 times and has walked on 14 occasions. Robinson Cano is hitting .306 and he has an OBP of .358. He has collected 38 hits so far while he's scored 19 runs and drove in 32. He has earned a walk 9 times and has punched out 16 times. The Mariners as a unit have 251 base hits, including 40 doubles and 41 homers. They have 11 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 8 times. Seattle as a team has walked 99 times this year and they have struck out 236 times. They've had 202 men left on base and have an OPS of .735. They score 4.47 runs per game and have totaled 134 runs so far this season.
Tampa Bay Rays Betting Trends
The Tampa Bay Rays are 7-18-3 against the over/under so far this season
The Tampa Bay Rays are 13-15-0 against the run line so far this season
Seattle Mariners Betting Trends
The Seattle Mariners are 10-17-3 against the over/under so far this season
The Seattle Mariners are 16-14-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
Tampa Bay Rays
04/10/16 P Chase Whitley Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Brad Boxberge Abdominal 15-day DL (3/25)
04/01/16 P Alex Cobb Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
05/07/16 P Taijuan Walker Neck "?" for next scheduled start
05/04/16 P Tony Zych Rotator Cuff 15-day DL (5/2)
04/25/16 P Joaquin Benoit Shoulder 15-day DL (4/25)
04/04/16 P Charlie Furbush Bicep 15-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Evan Scribner Oblique 15-day DL (3/25)
03/30/16 C Jesus Sucre Leg 60-day DL (3/1)
03/30/16 P Ryan Cook Shoulder 60-day DL (3/12)
Guy's Pick: Take the Mariners
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