Tuesday, August 9, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Drew Smyly vs. Marco Estrada
The Tampa Bay Rays head to Rogers Centre on Tuesday to take on the Toronto Blue Jays. The probable pitchers are Drew Smyly for the Rays and Marco Estrada for the Blue Jays. The opening line for this game has Tampa Bay at +155 and Toronto at -165. The over/under is 9. The Rays have a 47-56-7 over/under mark and a 47-63-0 run line record, meaning they cover 43% of the time. The Blue Jays are 57-55-0 against the run line and have a 43-64-5 over/under record. They cover the spread 51% of the time.
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The Rays head into this game with a 45-65 record, and they are 20-31 on the road. Starting pitcher Drew Smyly has a 3-11 record with an ERA of 5.14 and a WHIP of 1.30. He has 128 strikeouts during his 124.1 innings pitched and he has given up 129 hits so far this year. He has surrendered 9.3 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.3. The bullpen this season has an earned run average of 4.48 and they have allowed 340 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .266 against the pen while they've been struck out 293 times and walked 112 times this year. As a unit, Tampa Bay has given up 8.84 base hits per nine innings while striking out 8.54 hitters per nine. They are 13th in the Majors in team earned run average at 4.18. The Rays pitchers have collectively given up 954 base hits and 451 earned runs. They have allowed 137 home runs this season and they allow 1.3 homers per nine innings as a staff. Tampa Bay as a pitching staff has walked 318 batters and struck out 922. They walk 2.9 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.5 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.31 and their FIP as a unit is 4.11.
As a team, Tampa Bay is hitting .239, good for 29th in the league while putting together a .249 average on the road. The Rays have a .418 team slugging percentage and an OBP of .307 which is good for 26th in the league. They rank 28th in baseball with 8.03 hits per contest. Logan Forsythe comes into this game hitting .273 and his on-base percentage is at .335. He has 90 hits this season along with 51 runs scored and 30 runs batted in. He's struck out 77 times and has walked 26 times. Evan Longoria is hitting .281 and he has an on-base percentage of .330. He has totaled 120 hits so far while scoring 55 runs and he's driven in 61. He has walked 32 times and has struck out 103 times. The Rays have 883 hits, including 185 doubles and 144 home runs. They've stolen 42 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 26 times. Tampa Bay has walked 328 times this season and they've struck out 993 times as a unit. They've left 734 men on base and have a team OPS of .725. They score 4 runs per contest and have scored a total of 440 runs so far this year.
Toronto comes into this game with a 32-24 home mark and a 63-49 overall record. With an ERA of 2.92, Marco Estrada has a 7-4 record and a 0.99 WHIP. He has 115 strikeouts over the 123.1 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 80 hits. He has allowed 5.8 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.81. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 3.98 and they have given up 297 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .246 against the Blue Jays bullpen while being struck out 307 times and walking 86 times this season. As a team, Toronto has allowed 8.16 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.91 batters per nine. They are 6th in the league in team earned run average at 3.75. The Blue Jays pitchers as a team have surrendered 924 base knocks and 424 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 128 home runs this year and they give up 1.1 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Toronto as a staff has walked 304 hitters and struck out 895. They give up a walk 2.7 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7.9 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.21 while their FIP as a staff is 4.03.
As a team, they are batting .246, good for 22nd in the league while putting together a .260 average at home. The Blue Jays hold a .430 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .326 which is good for 12th in baseball. They rank 20th in baseball with 8.4 hits per contest. Edwin Encarnacion comes into this matchup batting .261 and he has an OBP of .351. He has 108 hits this year along with 68 runs scored and 91 RBI. He's struck out 98 times and has walked on 56 occasions. Josh Donaldson is hitting .296 and he has an OBP of .408. He has collected 123 hits so far while he's scored 90 runs and drove in 77. He has earned a walk 73 times and has punched out 83 times. The Blue Jays as a unit have 941 base hits, including 194 doubles and 159 homers. They have 35 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 15 times. Toronto as a team has walked 424 times this year and they have struck out 952 times. They've had 763 men left on base and have an OPS of .756. They score 4.78 runs per game and have totaled 535 runs so far this season.
Tampa Bay Rays Betting Trends
The Tampa Bay Rays are 47-56-7 against the over/under so far this season
The Tampa Bay Rays are 47-63-0 against the run line so far this season
Toronto Blue Jays Betting Trends
The Toronto Blue Jays are 43-64-5 against the over/under so far this season
The Toronto Blue Jays are 57-55-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
Tampa Bay Rays
08/07/16 LF Desmond Jennings Knee 15-day DL (8/3)
08/07/16 P Enny Romero Back 15-day DL (8/4)
07/31/16 RF Oswaldo Arcia Elbow 15-day DL (7/27)
07/29/16 1B Logan Morrison Forearm 15-day DL (7/28)
06/21/16 3B Matt Duffy Achilles 15-day DL (6/19)
04/10/16 P Chase Whitley Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
04/01/16 P Alex Cobb Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
Toronto Blue Jays
08/02/16 RF Ezequiel Carrera Achilles 15-day DL (8/1)
06/27/16 P Gavin Floyd Shoulder 60-day DL (6/26)
Tony's Pick: Take the Blue Jays
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