Tuesday, September 13, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Drew Smyly vs. Marcus Stroman
The Tampa Bay Rays head to Rogers Centre on Tuesday to take on the Toronto Blue Jays. The probable pitchers are Drew Smyly for the Rays and Marcus Stroman for the Blue Jays. The opening line for this game has Tampa Bay at +175 and Toronto at -185. The over/under is 9. The Rays have a 71-64-7 over/under mark and a 64-78-0 run line record, meaning they cover 45% of the time. The Blue Jays are 72-70-0 against the run line and have a 59-77-6 over/under record. They cover the spread 51% of the time.
The Rays head into this game with a 60-82 record, and they are 25-42 on the road. Starting pitcher Drew Smyly has a 6-11 record with an ERA of 5.05 and a WHIP of 1.28. He has 155 strikeouts during his 158.2 innings pitched and he has given up 158 hits so far this year. He has surrendered 9 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.53. The bullpen this season has an earned run average of 4.20 and they have allowed 425 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .253 against the pen while they've been struck out 405 times and walked 169 times this year. As a unit, Tampa Bay has given up 8.8 base hits per nine innings while striking out 8.66 hitters per nine. They are 19th in the Majors in team earned run average at 4.23. The Rays pitchers have collectively given up 1,223 base hits and 588 earned runs. They have allowed 184 home runs this season and they allow 1.3 homers per nine innings as a staff. Tampa Bay as a pitching staff has walked 432 batters and struck out 1,204. They walk 3.1 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.7 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.32 and their FIP as a unit is 4.23.
As a team, Tampa Bay is hitting .245, good for 27th in the league while putting together a .255 average on the road. The Rays have a .430 team slugging percentage and an OBP of .310 which is good for 27th in the league. They rank 26th in baseball with 8.27 hits per contest. Logan Forsythe comes into this game hitting .281 and his on-base percentage is at .353. He has 121 hits this season along with 68 runs scored and 48 runs batted in. He's struck out 102 times and has walked 42 times. Evan Longoria is hitting .275 and he has an on-base percentage of .323. He has totaled 152 hits so far while scoring 71 runs and he's driven in 85. He has walked 39 times and has struck out 129 times. The Rays have 1,175 hits, including 249 doubles and 194 home runs. They've stolen 52 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 33 times. Tampa Bay has walked 404 times this season and they've struck out 1,288 times as a unit. They've left 935 men on base and have a team OPS of .740. They score 4.22 runs per contest and have scored a total of 599 runs so far this year.
Toronto comes into this game with a 41-30 home mark and a 78-64 overall record. With an ERA of 4.55, Marcus Stroman has a 9-7 record and a 1.30 WHIP. He has 151 strikeouts over the 178 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 188 hits. He has allowed 9.5 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.7. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 4.10 and they have given up 397 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .250 against the Blue Jays bullpen while being struck out 418 times and walking 116 times this season. As a team, Toronto has allowed 8.41 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.11 batters per nine. They are 8th in the league in team earned run average at 3.93. The Blue Jays pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,196 base knocks and 559 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 167 home runs this year and they give up 1.2 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Toronto as a staff has walked 395 hitters and struck out 1,153. They give up a walk 2.8 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.1 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.24 while their FIP as a staff is 4.09.
As a team, they are batting .249, good for 23rd in the league while putting together a .264 average at home. The Blue Jays hold a .432 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .328 which is good for 9th in baseball. They rank 23rd in baseball with 8.48 hits per contest. Edwin Encarnacion comes into this matchup batting .269 and he has an OBP of .358. He has 142 hits this year along with 90 runs scored and 115 RBI. He's struck out 121 times and has walked on 72 occasions. Josh Donaldson is hitting .284 and he has an OBP of .400. He has collected 147 hits so far while he's scored 112 runs and drove in 92. He has earned a walk 95 times and has punched out 103 times. The Blue Jays as a unit have 1,204 base hits, including 245 doubles and 202 homers. They have 44 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 20 times. Toronto as a team has walked 536 times this year and they have struck out 1,207 times. They've had 964 men left on base and have an OPS of .760. They score 4.85 runs per game and have totaled 689 runs so far this season.
Tampa Bay Rays Betting Trends
The Tampa Bay Rays are 71-64-7 against the over/under so far this season
The Tampa Bay Rays are 64-78-0 against the run line so far this season
Toronto Blue Jays Betting Trends
The Toronto Blue Jays are 59-77-6 against the over/under so far this season
The Toronto Blue Jays are 72-70-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
Tampa Bay Rays
09/07/16 SS Matt Duffy Heel out for season
08/07/16 LF Desmond Jennings Knee 15-day DL (8/3); out for season
08/07/16 P Enny Romero Back 15-day DL (8/4)
Toronto Blue Jays
06/27/16 P Gavin Floyd Shoulder 60-day DL (6/26)
Guy's Pick: Take the Blue Jays
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