Tuesday, August 23, 2016
Great American Ball Park
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Probable Pitchers: Derek Holland vs. Dan Straily
The Texas Rangers head to Great American Ball Park on Tuesday to take on the Cincinnati Reds. The probable pitchers are Derek Holland for the Rangers and Dan Straily for the Reds. The opening line for this game has Texas at -113 and Cincinnati at +103. The over/under is 9. The Rangers have a 60-58-7 over/under mark and a 67-58-0 run line record, meaning they cover 54% of the time. The Reds are 66-57-0 against the run line and have a 67-46-10 over/under record. They cover the spread 54% of the time.
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The Rangers head into this game with a 73-52 record, and they are 34-32 on the road. Starting pitcher Derek Holland has a 5-5 record with an ERA of 5.20 and a WHIP of 1.42. He has 43 strikeouts during his 72.2 innings pitched and he has given up 78 hits so far this year. He has surrendered 9.7 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.83. The bullpen this season has an earned run average of 4.78 and they have allowed 415 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .269 against the pen while they've been struck out 317 times and walked 140 times this year. As a unit, Texas has given up 9.11 base hits per nine innings while striking out 6.96 hitters per nine. They are 19th in the Majors in team earned run average at 4.35. The Rangers pitchers have collectively given up 1,127 base hits and 538 earned runs. They have allowed 161 home runs this season and they allow 1.3 homers per nine innings as a staff. Texas as a pitching staff has walked 406 batters and struck out 861. They walk 3.3 men per 9 innings while striking out 7 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.38 and their FIP as a unit is 4.69.
As a team, Texas is hitting .263, good for 7th in the league while putting together a .250 average on the road. The Rangers have a .431 team slugging percentage and an OBP of .321 which is good for 17th in the league. They rank 10th in baseball with 8.96 hits per contest. Adrian Beltre comes into this game hitting .290 and his on-base percentage is at .344. He has 132 hits this season along with 62 runs scored and 79 runs batted in. He's struck out 53 times and has walked 34 times. Ian Desmond is hitting .292 and he has an on-base percentage of .340. He has totaled 145 hits so far while scoring 85 runs and he's driven in 74. He has walked 34 times and has struck out 132 times. The Rangers have 1,120 hits, including 195 doubles and 161 home runs. They've stolen 72 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 28 times. Texas has walked 329 times this season and they've struck out 932 times as a unit. They've left 794 men on base and have a team OPS of .752. They score 4.66 runs per contest and have scored a total of 582 runs so far this year.
Cincinnati comes into this game with a 31-31 home mark and a 53-70 overall record. With an ERA of 3.72, Dan Straily has a 9-6 record and a 1.14 WHIP. He has 118 strikeouts over the 145.1 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 114 hits. He has allowed 7.1 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.51. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 4.93 and they have given up 421 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .247 against the Reds bullpen while being struck out 406 times and walking 230 times this season. As a team, Cincinnati has allowed 9.06 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.7 batters per nine. They are 27th in the league in team earned run average at 4.91. The Reds pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,106 base knocks and 599 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 195 home runs this year and they give up 1.6 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Cincinnati as a staff has walked 492 hitters and struck out 940. They give up a walk 4 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7.7 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.45 while their FIP as a staff is 5.25.
As a team, they are batting .249, good for 22nd in the league while putting together a .254 average at home. The Reds hold a .406 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .310 which is good for 24th in baseball. They rank 24th in baseball with 8.4 hits per contest. Joey Votto comes into this matchup batting .306 and he has an OBP of .432. He has 125 hits this year along with 78 runs scored and 68 RBI. He's struck out 107 times and has walked on 90 occasions. Zack Cozart is hitting .263 and he has an OBP of .313. He has collected 109 hits so far while he's scored 61 runs and drove in 46. He has earned a walk 30 times and has punched out 71 times. The Reds as a unit have 1,032 base hits, including 206 doubles and 134 homers. They have 110 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 37 times. Cincinnati as a team has walked 345 times this year and they have struck out 1,007 times. They've had 732 men left on base and have an OPS of .716. They score 4.46 runs per game and have totaled 548 runs so far this season.
Texas Rangers Betting Trends
The Texas Rangers are 60-58-7 against the over/under so far this season
The Texas Rangers are 67-58-0 against the run line so far this season
Cincinnati Reds Betting Trends
The Cincinnati Reds are 67-46-10 against the over/under so far this season
The Cincinnati Reds are 66-57-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
08/22/16 P Derek Holland Shoulder 60-day DL (6/21); expected to be activated Tuesday vs. Cincinnati Reds
08/18/16 P Lucas Harrell Groin 15-day DL (8/17)
08/15/16 RF Shin-Soo Choo Forearm 15-day DL (8/15)
07/20/16 DH Prince Fielder Neck 15-day DL (7/19), out for season
06/26/16 P Colby Lewis Back 60-day DL (6/22)
05/28/16 P Tanner Scheppers Knee 60-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 RF Josh Hamilton Knee 60-day DL (3/25)
08/21/16 SS Zack Cozart Knee "?" Monday vs. Los Angeles Dodgers
08/04/16 P A.J. Morris Shoulder 15-day DL (6/16)
06/23/16 P Alfredo Simon Trapezius 15-day DL (6/22)
06/01/16 P Caleb Cotham Shoulder 15-day DL (5/29)
05/02/16 C Devin Mesoraco Shoulder 60-day DL (5/1); out for season
04/10/16 CF Yorman Rodriguez Hamstring 60-day DL (3/27)
Guy's Pick: Take the Reds
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