Saturday, May 7, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: A.J. Griffin vs. Mike Pelfrey
The Texas Rangers visit Comerica Park on Saturday to play the Detroit Tigers. The probable starters are A.J. Griffin for the Rangers and Mike Pelfrey for the Tigers. The opening line for this matchup has Texas at -105 and Detroit at -105. The over/under was set at 9. The Rangers have a 13-15-1 over/under record and a 15-14-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 52% of the time. The Tigers are 15-12-0 against the run line and have a 18-9-0 over/under record. They cover the spread 56% of the time.
The Rangers head into this matchup with a 15-14 record, including 5-9 on the road. Starting pitcher A.J. Griffin has a 3-0 record with an earned run average of 2.32 and a WHIP of 1.00. He has 26 strikeouts over his 31 innings pitched and he has given up 20 hits so far this season. He has allowed 5.8 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.31. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 4.78 and they have given up 94 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .276 against the bullpen while being struck out 71 times and walking 32 times this season. As a team, Texas has allowed 8.81 hits per nine innings while striking out 6.69 batters per nine. They are 16th in the league in team earned run average at 4.01. The Rangers pitchers have collectively given up 253 base hits and 115 earned runs. They have allowed 40 home runs this season and they allow 1.4 homers per nine innings as a staff. Texas as a pitching staff has walked 100 batters and struck out 192. They walk 3.5 men per 9 innings while striking out 6.7 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.37 and their FIP as a unit is 4.91.
As a team, Texas is batting .253, good for 11th in the league while putting together a .235 average away from home. The Rangers hold a .385 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .311 which is good for 20th in baseball. They rank 12th in baseball with 8.41 hits per game. Adrian Beltre comes into this game hitting .278 and his on-base percentage is at .328. He has 30 hits this season along with 12 runs scored and 16 runs batted in. He's struck out 10 times and has walked 9 times. Elvis Andrus is hitting .293 and he has an on-base percentage of .323. He has totaled 27 hits so far while scoring 9 runs and he's driven in 13. He has walked 5 times and has struck out 11 times. The Rangers have 244 hits, including 52 doubles and 23 home runs. They've stolen 14 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 8 times. Texas has walked 75 times this season and they've struck out 211 times as a unit. They've left 179 men on base and have a team OPS of .696. They score 4.14 runs per contest and have scored a total of 120 runs so far this year.
Detroit comes into this matchup with a 5-6 home record and a 14-13 overall mark. With an earned run average of 5.68, Mike Pelfrey has a 0-4 record and a 2.05 WHIP. He has 12 strikeouts over the 25.1 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 37 hits. He has allowed 13.1 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 5.45. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 2.67 and they have given up 87 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .256 against the Tigers bullpen while being struck out 65 times and walking 24 times this season. As a team, Detroit has allowed 9.42 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.07 batters per nine. They are 17th in the league in team earned run average at 4.05. The Tigers pitchers as a team have surrendered 249 base knocks and 107 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 22 home runs this year and they give up 0.8 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Detroit as a staff has walked 90 hitters and struck out 187. They give up a walk 3.4 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7.1 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.42 while their FIP as a staff is 3.90.
As a team, they are batting .264, good for 8th in the league while putting together a .251 average at home. The Tigers hold a .420 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .317 which is good for 16th in baseball. They rank 7th in baseball with 9.15 hits per contest. Nick Castellanos comes into this matchup batting .383 and he has an OBP of .390. He has 36 hits this year along with 13 runs scored and 22 RBI. He's struck out 23 times and has walked on 3 occasions. Ian Kinsler is hitting .295 and he has an OBP of .333. He has collected 33 hits so far while he's scored 22 runs and drove in 15. He has earned a walk 6 times and has punched out 20 times. The Tigers as a unit have 247 base hits, including 44 doubles and 32 homers. They have 8 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 3 times. Detroit as a team has walked 70 times this year and they have struck out 237 times. They've had 180 men left on base and have an OPS of .737. They score 4.52 runs per game and have totaled 122 runs so far this season.
Texas Rangers Betting Trends
The Texas Rangers are 13-15-1 against the over/under so far this season
The Texas Rangers are 15-14-0 against the run line so far this season
Detroit Tigers Betting Trends
The Detroit Tigers are 18-9-0 against the over/under so far this season
The Detroit Tigers are 15-12-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
05/06/16 SS Elvis Andrus Back probable Friday vs. Detroit Tigers
04/21/16 P Keone Kela Elbow 15-day DL (4/20)
04/11/16 C Robinson Chirinos Forearm 60-day DL (4/9)
04/10/16 RF Shin-Soo Choo Calf 15-day DL (4/9)
04/10/16 P Tanner Schepper Knee 60-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 RF Josh Hamilton Knee 15-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Luke Jackson Back 15-day DL (3/25)
04/03/16 P Yu Darvish Elbow 15-day DL (3/25)
04/28/16 P Shane Greene Finger 15-day DL (4/25)
04/04/16 CF Cameron Maybin Shoulder 15-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Daniel Norris Back 15-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Jeff Ferrell Shoulder 15-day DL (3/25)
04/01/16 P Angel Nesbitt Ankle 15-day DL (3/25)
Guy's Pick: Take the Rangers
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