Saturday, July 2, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Chi Chi Gonzalez vs. Tyler Duffey
The Texas Rangers head to Target Field on Saturday to take on the Minnesota Twins. The probable pitchers are Chi Chi Gonzalez for the Rangers and Tyler Duffey for the Twins. The opening line for this game has Texas at +108 and Minnesota at -118. The over/under is 9.5. The Rangers have a 41-35-4 over/under mark and a 52-28-0 run line record, meaning they cover 65% of the time. The Twins are 35-43-0 against the run line and have a 48-26-4 over/under record. They cover the spread 45% of the time.
The Rangers head into this game with a 51-29 record, and they are 23-17 on the road. Starting pitcher Chi Chi Gonzalez has a 0-0 record with an ERA of 9.00 and a WHIP of 2.40. He has 2 strikeouts during his 5 innings pitched and he has given up 10 hits so far this year. He has surrendered 18 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.56. The bullpen this season has an earned run average of 4.81 and they have allowed 268 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .274 against the pen while they've been struck out 195 times and walked 91 times this year. As a unit, Texas has given up 8.76 base hits per nine innings while striking out 6.63 hitters per nine. They are 11th in the Majors in team earned run average at 3.99. The Rangers pitchers have collectively given up 700 base hits and 319 earned runs. They have allowed 98 home runs this season and they allow 1.2 homers per nine innings as a staff. Texas as a pitching staff has walked 259 batters and struck out 530. They walk 3.2 men per 9 innings while striking out 6.6 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.33 and their FIP as a unit is 4.66.
As a team, Texas is hitting .266, good for 8th in the league while putting together a .249 average on the road. The Rangers have a .429 team slugging percentage and an OBP of .323 which is good for 18th in the league. They rank 10th in baseball with 9.04 hits per contest. Ian Desmond comes into this game hitting .318 and his on-base percentage is at .372. He has 99 hits this season along with 59 runs scored and 51 runs batted in. He's struck out 80 times and has walked 25 times. Nomar Mazara is hitting .287 and he has an on-base percentage of .338. He has totaled 78 hits so far while scoring 35 runs and he's driven in 35. He has walked 21 times and has struck out 50 times. The Rangers have 723 hits, including 124 doubles and 100 home runs. They've stolen 50 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 19 times. Texas has walked 211 times this season and they've struck out 584 times as a unit. They've left 496 men on base and have a team OPS of .752. They score 4.94 runs per contest and have scored a total of 395 runs so far this year.
Minnesota comes into this game with a 15-25 home mark and a 25-53 overall record. With an ERA of 5.59, Tyler Duffey has a 3-6 record and a 1.42 WHIP. He has 57 strikeouts over the 67.2 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 82 hits. He has allowed 10.9 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.5. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 4.54 and they have given up 291 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .273 against the Twins bullpen while being struck out 264 times and walking 87 times this season. As a team, Minnesota has allowed 10.38 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.61 batters per nine. They are 29th in the league in team earned run average at 5.18. The Twins pitchers as a team have surrendered 794 base knocks and 396 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 110 home runs this year and they give up 1.4 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Minnesota as a staff has walked 211 hitters and struck out 582. They give up a walk 2.8 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7.6 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.46 while their FIP as a staff is 4.55.
As a team, they are batting .245, good for 23rd in the league while putting together a .258 average at home. The Twins hold a .403 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .310 which is good for 23rd in baseball. They rank 20th in baseball with 8.4 hits per contest. Joe Mauer comes into this matchup batting .264 and he has an OBP of .362. He has 73 hits this year along with 33 runs scored and 26 RBI. He's struck out 56 times and has walked on 43 occasions. Eduardo Nunez is hitting .319 and he has an OBP of .347. He has collected 87 hits so far while he's scored 39 runs and drove in 32. He has earned a walk 10 times and has punched out 38 times. The Twins as a unit have 655 base hits, including 129 doubles and 88 homers. They have 51 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 16 times. Minnesota as a team has walked 232 times this year and they have struck out 681 times. They've had 537 men left on base and have an OPS of .713. They score 4.06 runs per game and have totaled 317 runs so far this season.
Texas Rangers Betting Trends
The Texas Rangers are 41-35-4 against the over/under so far this season
The Texas Rangers are 52-28-0 against the run line so far this season
Minnesota Twins Betting Trends
The Minnesota Twins are 48-26-4 against the over/under so far this season
The Minnesota Twins are 35-43-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
06/26/16 P Colby Lewis Back 15-day DL (6/22)
06/22/16 P Derek Holland Shoulder 15-day DL (6/21)
06/14/16 P Yu Darvish Shoulder 15-day DL (6/9)
05/28/16 P Tanner Scheppers Knee 60-day DL (3/25)
05/24/16 CF Drew Stubbs Toe 60-day DL (5/23)
04/21/16 P Keone Kela Elbow 60-day DL (4/20)
04/04/16 RF Josh Hamilton Knee 60-day DL (3/25)
06/10/16 P Phil Hughes Knee 60-day DL (6/10); out for season
06/10/16 P Trevor May Back 15-day DL (6/10)
05/31/16 3B Miguel Sano Hamstring 15-day DL (6/1)
05/25/16 RF Darin Mastroianni Oblique 15-day DL (5/22)
04/13/16 P Glen Perkins Shoulder 60-day DL (4/11); out for season
Josh's Pick: Take the Twins
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