Saturday, June 11, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Colby Lewis vs. James Paxton
The Texas Rangers visit Safeco Field on Saturday to play the Seattle Mariners. The probable starters are Colby Lewis for the Rangers and James Paxton for the Mariners. The opening line for this matchup has Texas at +118 and Seattle at -128. The over/under was set at 8. The Rangers have a 31-28-1 over/under record and a 36-24-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 60% of the time. The Mariners are 28-32-0 against the run line and have a 28-27-5 over/under record. They cover the spread 47% of the time.
The Rangers head into this matchup with a 37-23 record, including 13-13 on the road. Starting pitcher Colby Lewis has a 5-0 record with an earned run average of 3.20 and a WHIP of 1.16. He has 51 strikeouts over his 76 innings pitched and he has given up 71 hits so far this season. He has allowed 8.4 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.38. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 4.93 and they have given up 200 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .276 against the bullpen while being struck out 155 times and walking 69 times this season. As a team, Texas has allowed 8.73 hits per nine innings while striking out 6.97 batters per nine. They are 10th in the league in team earned run average at 3.88. The Rangers pitchers have collectively given up 524 base hits and 233 earned runs. They have allowed 74 home runs this season and they allow 1.2 homers per nine innings as a staff. Texas as a pitching staff has walked 195 batters and struck out 418. They walk 3.3 men per 9 innings while striking out 7 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.33 and their FIP as a unit is 4.56.
As a team, Texas is batting .265, good for 8th in the league while putting together a .245 average away from home. The Rangers hold a .421 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .320 which is good for 15th in baseball. They rank 9th in baseball with 9 hits per game. Adrian Beltre comes into this game hitting .271 and his on-base percentage is at .324. He has 61 hits this season along with 30 runs scored and 40 runs batted in. He's struck out 25 times and has walked 17 times. Elvis Andrus is hitting .279 and he has an on-base percentage of .330. He has totaled 55 hits so far while scoring 26 runs and he's driven in 21. He has walked 15 times and has struck out 25 times. The Rangers have 540 hits, including 104 doubles and 65 home runs. They've stolen 39 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 9 times. Texas has walked 152 times this season and they've struck out 422 times as a unit. They've left 373 men on base and have a team OPS of .741. They score 4.77 runs per contest and have scored a total of 286 runs so far this year.
Seattle comes into this matchup with a 14-16 home record and a 33-27 overall mark. With an earned run average of 3.72, James Paxton has a 0-2 record and a 1.76 WHIP. He has 17 strikeouts over the 9.2 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 15 hits. He has allowed 14 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.27. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 2.97 and they have given up 142 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .210 against the Mariners bullpen while being struck out 196 times and walking 58 times this season. As a team, Seattle has allowed 8.23 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.53 batters per nine. They are 6th in the league in team earned run average at 3.64. The Mariners pitchers as a team have surrendered 490 base knocks and 217 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 70 home runs this year and they give up 1.2 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Seattle as a staff has walked 171 hitters and struck out 508. They give up a walk 2.9 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.5 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.23 while their FIP as a staff is 4.00.
As a team, they are batting .262, good for 9th in the league while putting together a .252 average at home. The Mariners hold a .444 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .331 which is good for 5th in baseball. They rank 10th in baseball with 8.98 hits per contest. Nelson Cruz comes into this matchup batting .288 and he has an OBP of .376. He has 63 hits this year along with 34 runs scored and 43 RBI. He's struck out 57 times and has walked on 27 occasions. Robinson Cano is hitting .298 and he has an OBP of .352. He has collected 73 hits so far while he's scored 46 runs and drove in 50. He has earned a walk 17 times and has punched out 38 times. The Mariners as a unit have 539 base hits, including 87 doubles and 89 homers. They have 21 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 15 times. Seattle as a team has walked 192 times this year and they have struck out 450 times. They've had 393 men left on base and have an OPS of .775. They score 5.05 runs per game and have totaled 303 runs so far this season.
Texas Rangers Betting Trends
The Texas Rangers are 31-28-1 against the over/under so far this season
The Texas Rangers are 36-24-0 against the run line so far this season
Seattle Mariners Betting Trends
The Seattle Mariners are 28-27-5 against the over/under so far this season
The Seattle Mariners are 28-32-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
06/10/16 P Yu Darvish Shoulder "?" for next scheduled start
06/09/16 3B Adrian Beltre Hamstring "?" Friday vs. Seattle Mariners
05/28/16 P Tanner Scheppers Knee 60-day DL (3/25)
05/24/16 CF Drew Stubbs Toe 15-day DL (5/23)
05/24/16 RF Shin-Soo Choo Hamstring 15-day DL (5/21)
05/08/16 P AJ Griffin Shoulder 15-day DL (5/8)
04/21/16 P Keone Kela Elbow 60-day DL (4/20)
04/04/16 RF Josh Hamilton Knee 60-day DL (3/25)
06/01/16 P Felix Hernandez Calf 15-day DL (5/28)
05/28/16 CF Leonys Martin Hamstring 15-day DL (5/26)
05/04/16 P Tony Zych Rotator Cuff 15-day DL (5/2)
04/04/16 P Charlie Furbush Bicep 15-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Evan Scribner Oblique 60-day DL (3/25)
03/30/16 C Jesus Sucre Leg 60-day DL (3/1)
03/30/16 P Ryan Cook Shoulder 60-day DL (3/12)
Guy's Pick: Take the Rangers
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