Tuesday, September 6, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Martin Perez vs. James Paxton
The Texas Rangers visit Safeco Field on Tuesday to play the Seattle Mariners. The probable starters are Martin Perez for the Rangers and James Paxton for the Mariners. The opening line for this matchup has Texas at +129 and Seattle at -139. The over/under was set at 8.5. The Rangers have a 68-61-8 over/under record and a 74-63-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 54% of the time. The Mariners are 67-69-0 against the run line and have a 69-62-5 over/under record. They cover the spread 49% of the time.
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The Rangers head into this matchup with a 82-55 record, including 35-33 on the road. Starting pitcher Martin Perez has a 9-10 record with an earned run average of 4.30 and a WHIP of 1.43. He has 87 strikeouts over his 169.2 innings pitched and he has given up 175 hits so far this season. He has allowed 9.3 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.51. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 4.75 and they have given up 447 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .266 against the bullpen while being struck out 349 times and walking 156 times this season. As a team, Texas has allowed 9.03 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.02 batters per nine. They are 20th in the league in team earned run average at 4.32. The Rangers pitchers have collectively given up 1,224 base hits and 586 earned runs. They have allowed 168 home runs this season and they allow 1.2 homers per nine innings as a staff. Texas as a pitching staff has walked 447 batters and struck out 952. They walk 3.3 men per 9 innings while striking out 7 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.37 and their FIP as a unit is 4.59.
As a team, Texas is batting .265, good for 7th in the league while putting together a .248 average away from home. The Rangers hold a .437 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .324 which is good for 15th in baseball. They rank 7th in baseball with 9.02 hits per game. Adrian Beltre comes into this game hitting .291 and his on-base percentage is at .350. He has 145 hits this season along with 77 runs scored and 91 runs batted in. He's struck out 58 times and has walked 42 times. Ian Desmond is hitting .292 and he has an on-base percentage of .340. He has totaled 158 hits so far while scoring 96 runs and he's driven in 81. He has walked 37 times and has struck out 140 times. The Rangers have 1,236 hits, including 213 doubles and 183 home runs. They've stolen 81 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 30 times. Texas has walked 367 times this season and they've struck out 1,025 times as a unit. They've left 866 men on base and have a team OPS of .761. They score 4.84 runs per contest and have scored a total of 663 runs so far this year.
Seattle comes into this matchup with a 37-30 home record and a 69-67 overall mark. With an earned run average of 3.83, James Paxton has a 4-5 record and a 1.36 WHIP. He has 82 strikeouts over the 91.2 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 105 hits. He has allowed 10.3 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.04. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 3.92 and they have given up 399 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .238 against the Mariners bullpen while being struck out 465 times and walking 153 times this season. As a team, Seattle has allowed 8.9 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.16 batters per nine. They are 16th in the league in team earned run average at 4.18. The Mariners pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,205 base knocks and 566 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 187 home runs this year and they give up 1.4 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Seattle as a staff has walked 387 hitters and struck out 1,105. They give up a walk 2.9 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.2 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.31 while their FIP as a staff is 4.40.
As a team, they are batting .258, good for 11th in the league while putting together a .256 average at home. The Mariners hold a .427 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .325 which is good for 14th in baseball. They rank 13th in baseball with 8.83 hits per contest. Robinson Cano comes into this matchup batting .304 and he has an OBP of .353. He has 167 hits this year along with 88 runs scored and 84 RBI. He's struck out 83 times and has walked on 37 occasions. Kyle Seager is hitting .290 and he has an OBP of .368. He has collected 144 hits so far while he's scored 76 runs and drove in 86. He has earned a walk 57 times and has punched out 83 times. The Mariners as a unit have 1,201 base hits, including 204 doubles and 184 homers. They have 42 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 27 times. Seattle as a team has walked 418 times this year and they have struck out 1,064 times. They've had 909 men left on base and have an OPS of .751. They score 4.61 runs per game and have totaled 627 runs so far this season.
Texas Rangers Betting Trends
The Texas Rangers are 68-61-8 against the over/under so far this season
The Texas Rangers are 74-63-0 against the run line so far this season
Seattle Mariners Betting Trends
The Seattle Mariners are 69-62-5 against the over/under so far this season
The Seattle Mariners are 67-69-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
08/27/16 P Jeremy Jeffress Suspension placed on restricted list
08/24/16 P Shawn Tolleson Back 60-day DL (8/23)
08/18/16 P Lucas Harrell Groin 15-day DL (8/17)
08/15/16 RF Shin-Soo Choo Forearm 15-day DL (8/15)
07/20/16 DH Prince Fielder Neck 15-day DL (7/19), out for season
06/26/16 P Colby Lewis Back 60-day DL (6/22)
05/28/16 P Tanner Scheppers Knee 60-day DL (3/25)
09/05/16 P James Paxton Finger probable for next scheduled start Tuesday vs. Texas Rangers
07/30/16 P Nathan Karns Back 60-day DL (7/30)
06/30/16 C Steve Clevenger Hand 60-day DL (6/29)
06/25/16 P Adrian Sampson Elbow 60-day DL (6/24)
04/04/16 P Charlie Furbush Bicep 60-day DL (3/25)
03/30/16 P Ryan Cook Shoulder 60-day DL (3/12)
Tony's Pick: Take the Rangers
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