Thursday, April 21, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Marco Estrada vs. Chris Tillman
The Toronto Blue Jays visit Oriole Park on Thursday to play the Baltimore Orioles. The probable starters are Marco Estrada for the Blue Jays and Chris Tillman for the Orioles. The opening line for this matchup has Toronto at -112 and Baltimore at +102. The over/under was set at 8.5. The Blue Jays have a 4-10-1 over/under record and a 8-7-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 53% of the time. The Orioles are 8-4-0 against the run line and have a 5-6-1 over/under record. They cover the spread 67% of the time.
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The Blue Jays head into this matchup with a 8-7 record, including 5-4 on the road. Starting pitcher Marco Estrada has a 1-1 record with an earned run average of 2.77 and a WHIP of 1.23. He has 11 strikeouts over his 13 innings pitched and he has given up 13 hits so far this season. He has allowed 9 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.06. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 4.00 and they have given up 33 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .237 against the bullpen while being struck out 39 times and walking 9 times this season. As a team, Toronto has allowed 7.9 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.69 batters per nine. They are 10th in the league in team earned run average at 3.50. The Blue Jays pitchers have collectively given up 115 base hits and 51 earned runs. They have allowed 13 home runs this season and they allow 0.9 homers per nine innings as a staff. Toronto as a pitching staff has walked 39 batters and struck out 112. They walk 2.7 men per 9 innings while striking out 7.7 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.18 and their FIP as a unit is 3.60.
As a team, Toronto is batting .231, good for 21st in the league while putting together a .230 average away from home. The Blue Jays hold a .373 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .310 which is good for 18th in baseball. They rank 22nd in baseball with 7.53 hits per game. Josh Donaldson comes into this game hitting .293 and his on-base percentage is at .379. He has 17 hits this season along with 14 runs scored and 13 runs batted in. He's struck out 17 times and has walked 7 times. Jose Bautista is hitting .300 and he has an on-base percentage of .453. He has totaled 15 hits so far while scoring 11 runs and he's driven in 11. He has walked 14 times and has struck out 15 times. The Blue Jays have 113 hits, including 22 doubles and 14 home runs. They've stolen 6 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 1 times. Toronto has walked 49 times this season and they've struck out 146 times as a unit. They've left 96 men on base and have a team OPS of .684. They score 4 runs per contest and have scored a total of 60 runs so far this year.
Baltimore comes into this matchup with a 5-1 home record and a 8-4 overall mark. With an earned run average of 5.11, Chris Tillman has a 1-1 record and a 1.30 WHIP. He has 11 strikeouts over the 12.1 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 13 hits. He has allowed 9.5 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.06. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 2.09 and they have given up 34 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .217 against the Orioles bullpen while being struck out 45 times and walking 16 times this season. As a team, Baltimore has allowed 8.66 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.4 batters per nine. They are 14th in the league in team earned run average at 3.86. The Orioles pitchers as a team have surrendered 101 base knocks and 45 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 7 home runs this year and they give up 0.6 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Baltimore as a staff has walked 36 hitters and struck out 98. They give up a walk 3.1 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.4 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.31 while their FIP as a staff is 3.20.
As a team, they are batting .285, good for 2nd in the league while putting together a .284 average at home. The Orioles hold a .531 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .347 which is good for 4th in baseball. They rank 3rd in baseball with 9.67 hits per contest. Chris Davis comes into this matchup batting .205 and he has an OBP of .352. He has 9 hits this year along with 13 runs scored and 10 RBI. He's struck out 16 times and has walked on 10 occasions. Manny Machado is hitting .392 and he has an OBP of .436. He has collected 20 hits so far while he's scored 12 runs and drove in 6. He has earned a walk 3 times and has punched out 9 times. The Orioles as a unit have 116 base hits, including 25 doubles and 25 homers. They have 2 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 1 time. Baltimore as a team has walked 38 times this year and they have struck out 96 times. They've had 76 men left on base and have an OPS of .877. They score 5.25 runs per game and have totaled 63 runs so far this season.
Toronto Blue Jays Betting Trends
The Toronto Blue Jays are 4-10-1 against the over/under so far this season
The Toronto Blue Jays are 8-7-0 against the run line so far this season
Baltimore Orioles Betting Trends
The Baltimore Orioles are 5-6-1 against the over/under so far this season
The Baltimore Orioles are 8-4-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
Toronto Blue Jays
04/10/16 P Franklin Morales Arm 15-day DL (4/7)
04/04/16 P Aaron Loup Elbow 15-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 2B Devon Travis Shoulder 15-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Bo Schultz Hip 15-day DL (3/25)
04/19/16 CF Adam Jones Stomach "?" Wednesday vs. Toronto Blue Jays
04/01/16 P Brian Matusz Back 15-day DL (3/25)
03/31/16 3B Jimmy Paredes Wrist 15-day DL (3/25)
03/30/16 P Kevin Gausman Shoulder 15-day DL (3/25)
Josh's Pick: Take the Blue Jays
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