Saturday, June 18, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: R.A. Dickey vs. Yovani Gallardo
The Toronto Blue Jays visit Oriole Park on Saturday to play the Baltimore Orioles. The probable starters are R.A. Dickey for the Blue Jays and Yovani Gallardo for the Orioles. The opening line for this matchup has Toronto at -118 and Baltimore at +108. The over/under was set at 9.5. The Blue Jays have a 27-38-4 over/under record and a 36-33-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 52% of the time. The Orioles are 37-28-0 against the run line and have a 32-30-3 over/under record. They cover the spread 57% of the time.
The Blue Jays head into this matchup with a 38-31 record, including 20-15 on the road. Starting pitcher R.A. Dickey has a 4-7 record with an earned run average of 4.16 and a WHIP of 1.32. He has 57 strikeouts over his 84.1 innings pitched and he has given up 80 hits so far this season. He has allowed 8.5 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.81. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 4.10 and they have given up 179 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .256 against the bullpen while being struck out 171 times and walking 60 times this season. As a team, Toronto has allowed 8.18 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.44 batters per nine. They are 7th in the league in team earned run average at 3.78. The Blue Jays pitchers have collectively given up 564 base hits and 261 earned runs. They have allowed 74 home runs this season and they allow 1.1 homers per nine innings as a staff. Toronto as a pitching staff has walked 210 batters and struck out 513. They walk 3 men per 9 innings while striking out 7.4 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.25 and their FIP as a unit is 4.15.
As a team, Toronto is batting .245, good for 19th in the league while putting together a .226 average away from home. The Blue Jays hold a .429 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .326 which is good for 10th in baseball. They rank 20th in baseball with 8.25 hits per game. Josh Donaldson comes into this game hitting .276 and his on-base percentage is at .389. He has 69 hits this season along with 57 runs scored and 43 runs batted in. He's struck out 54 times and has walked 45 times. Edwin Encarnacion is hitting .255 and he has an on-base percentage of .338. He has totaled 66 hits so far while scoring 38 runs and he's driven in 61. He has walked 30 times and has struck out 60 times. The Blue Jays have 568 hits, including 118 doubles and 96 home runs. They've stolen 24 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 9 times. Toronto has walked 256 times this season and they've struck out 562 times as a unit. They've left 464 men on base and have a team OPS of .754. They score 4.58 runs per contest and have scored a total of 316 runs so far this year.
Baltimore comes into this matchup with a 24-11 home record and a 38-27 overall mark. With an earned run average of 7.00, Yovani Gallardo has a 1-1 record and a 1.67 WHIP. He has 9 strikeouts over the 18 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 23 hits. He has allowed 11.5 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.03. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 2.97 and they have given up 207 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .248 against the Orioles bullpen while being struck out 197 times and walking 81 times this season. As a team, Baltimore has allowed 9.14 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.56 batters per nine. They are 16th in the league in team earned run average at 4.09. The Orioles pitchers as a team have surrendered 585 base knocks and 262 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 69 home runs this year and they give up 1.1 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Baltimore as a staff has walked 211 hitters and struck out 484. They give up a walk 3.3 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7.6 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.38 while their FIP as a staff is 4.21.
As a team, they are batting .259, good for 12th in the league while putting together a .260 average at home. The Orioles hold a .456 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .324 which is good for 13th in baseball. They rank 11th in baseball with 8.8 hits per contest. Manny Machado comes into this matchup batting .308 and he has an OBP of .373. He has 81 hits this year along with 49 runs scored and 41 RBI. He's struck out 53 times and has walked on 26 occasions. Mark Trumbo is hitting .283 and he has an OBP of .332. He has collected 73 hits so far while he's scored 38 runs and drove in 49. He has earned a walk 17 times and has punched out 76 times. The Orioles as a unit have 572 base hits, including 120 doubles and 103 homers. They have 12 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 7 times. Baltimore as a team has walked 204 times this year and they have struck out 559 times. They've had 428 men left on base and have an OPS of .780. They score 4.78 runs per game and have totaled 311 runs so far this season.
Toronto Blue Jays Betting Trends
The Toronto Blue Jays are 27-38-4 against the over/under so far this season
The Toronto Blue Jays are 36-33-0 against the run line so far this season
Baltimore Orioles Betting Trends
The Baltimore Orioles are 32-30-3 against the over/under so far this season
The Baltimore Orioles are 37-28-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
Toronto Blue Jays
06/17/16 LF Ezequiel Carrera Ankle "?" Friday vs. Baltimore Orioles
06/16/16 RF Jose Bautista Hip left last game, "?" Friday vs. Baltimore Orioles
05/28/16 SS Troy Tulowitzki Quad 15-day DL (5/27)
05/15/16 P Brett Cecil Tricep 15-day DL (5/15)
04/22/16 1B Chris Colabello Suspension expected to miss 80 games
04/10/16 P Franklin Morales Arm 60-day DL (4/7)
04/04/16 P Bo Schultz Hip 15-day DL (3/25)
06/15/16 P Yovani Gallardo Shoulder 15-day DL (4/23); expected to start Saturday vs. Toronto Blue Jays
06/14/16 P Vance Worley Groin 15-day DL (6/13)
06/04/16 P Darren O'Day Hamstring 15-day DL (6/3)
05/31/16 C Caleb Joseph Groin 15-day DL (5/30)
05/03/16 SS J.J. Hardy Foot 15-day DL (5/2)
Tony's Pick: Take the Blue Jays
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