Sunday, June 19, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Marcus Stroman vs. Chris Tillman
The Toronto Blue Jays head to Oriole Park on Sunday to take on the Baltimore Orioles. The probable pitchers are Marcus Stroman for the Blue Jays and Chris Tillman for the Orioles. The opening line for this game has Toronto at +109 and Baltimore at -119. The over/under is 9. The Blue Jays have a 28-38-4 over/under mark and a 37-33-0 run line record, meaning they cover 53% of the time. The Orioles are 37-29-0 against the run line and have a 33-30-3 over/under record. They cover the spread 56% of the time.
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The Blue Jays head into this game with a 39-31 record, and they are 21-15 on the road. Starting pitcher Marcus Stroman has a 6-2 record with an ERA of 4.76 and a WHIP of 1.33. He has 63 strikeouts during his 92.2 innings pitched and he has given up 96 hits so far this year. He has surrendered 9.3 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.86. The bullpen this season has an earned run average of 4.08 and they have allowed 180 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .254 against the pen while they've been struck out 175 times and walked 60 times this year. As a unit, Toronto has given up 8.18 base hits per nine innings while striking out 7.48 hitters per nine. They are 8th in the Majors in team earned run average at 3.77. The Blue Jays pitchers have collectively given up 572 base hits and 264 earned runs. They have allowed 75 home runs this season and they allow 1.1 homers per nine innings as a staff. Toronto as a pitching staff has walked 212 batters and struck out 523. They walk 3 men per 9 innings while striking out 7.5 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.25 and their FIP as a unit is 4.12.
As a team, Toronto is hitting .247, good for 18th in the league while putting together a .229 average on the road. The Blue Jays have a .435 team slugging percentage and an OBP of .327 which is good for 9th in the league. They rank 18th in baseball with 8.31 hits per contest. Josh Donaldson comes into this game hitting .280 and his on-base percentage is at .393. He has 71 hits this season along with 60 runs scored and 46 runs batted in. He's struck out 54 times and has walked 46 times. Edwin Encarnacion is hitting .260 and he has an on-base percentage of .346. He has totaled 68 hits so far while scoring 41 runs and he's driven in 61. He has walked 32 times and has struck out 60 times. The Blue Jays have 581 hits, including 119 doubles and 101 home runs. They've stolen 24 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 9 times. Toronto has walked 260 times this season and they've struck out 570 times as a unit. They've left 467 men on base and have a team OPS of .762. They score 4.7 runs per contest and have scored a total of 329 runs so far this year.
Baltimore comes into this game with a 24-12 home mark and a 38-28 overall record. With an ERA of 2.87, Chris Tillman has a 9-1 record and a 1.16 WHIP. He has 82 strikeouts over the 84.2 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 67 hits. He has allowed 7.1 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.9. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 3.10 and they have given up 214 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .251 against the Orioles bullpen while being struck out 202 times and walking 84 times this season. As a team, Baltimore has allowed 9.2 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.57 batters per nine. They are 17th in the league in team earned run average at 4.23. The Orioles pitchers as a team have surrendered 598 base knocks and 275 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 74 home runs this year and they give up 1.1 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Baltimore as a staff has walked 215 hitters and struck out 492. They give up a walk 3.3 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7.6 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.39 while their FIP as a staff is 4.29.
As a team, they are batting .259, good for 12th in the league while putting together a .260 average at home. The Orioles hold a .454 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .323 which is good for 14th in baseball. They rank 11th in baseball with 8.79 hits per contest. Manny Machado comes into this matchup batting .311 and he has an OBP of .375. He has 83 hits this year along with 49 runs scored and 42 RBI. He's struck out 53 times and has walked on 26 occasions. Mark Trumbo is hitting .282 and he has an OBP of .331. He has collected 74 hits so far while he's scored 38 runs and drove in 50. He has earned a walk 17 times and has punched out 77 times. The Orioles as a unit have 580 base hits, including 121 doubles and 104 homers. They have 12 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 7 times. Baltimore as a team has walked 206 times this year and they have struck out 569 times. They've had 434 men left on base and have an OPS of .777. They score 4.76 runs per game and have totaled 314 runs so far this season.
Toronto Blue Jays Betting Trends
The Toronto Blue Jays are 28-38-4 against the over/under so far this season
The Toronto Blue Jays are 37-33-0 against the run line so far this season
Baltimore Orioles Betting Trends
The Baltimore Orioles are 33-30-3 against the over/under so far this season
The Baltimore Orioles are 37-29-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
Toronto Blue Jays
06/17/16 RF Jose Bautista Toe 15-day DL (6/17)
05/28/16 SS Troy Tulowitzki Quad 15-day DL (5/27)
05/15/16 P Brett Cecil Tricep 15-day DL (5/15)
04/22/16 1B Chris Colabello Suspension expected to miss 80 games
04/10/16 P Franklin Morales Arm 60-day DL (4/7)
04/04/16 P Bo Schultz Hip 15-day DL (3/25)
06/18/16 SS J.J. Hardy Foot 15-day DL (5/2); expected to be activated Saturday vs. Toronto Blue Jays
06/15/16 P Yovani Gallardo Shoulder 15-day DL (4/23); expected to start Saturday vs. Toronto Blue Jays
06/14/16 P Vance Worley Groin 15-day DL (6/13)
06/04/16 P Darren O'Day Hamstring 15-day DL (6/3)
05/31/16 C Caleb Joseph Groin 15-day DL (5/30)
Tony's Pick: Take the Orioles
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