Monday, August 29, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Marco Estrada vs. Wade Miley
The Toronto Blue Jays visit Oriole Park on Monday to play the Baltimore Orioles. The probable starters are Marco Estrada for the Blue Jays and Wade Miley for the Orioles. The opening line for this matchup has Toronto at -118 and Baltimore at +108. The over/under was set at 9. The Blue Jays have a 52-71-6 over/under record and a 68-61-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 53% of the time. The Orioles are 65-64-0 against the run line and have a 59-67-3 over/under record. They cover the spread 50% of the time.
The Blue Jays head into this matchup with a 73-56 record, including 34-28 on the road. Starting pitcher Marco Estrada has a 7-6 record with an earned run average of 3.47 and a WHIP of 1.10. He has 127 strikeouts over his 137.1 innings pitched and he has given up 102 hits so far this season. He has allowed 6.7 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.33. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 3.93 and they have given up 355 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .250 against the bullpen while being struck out 362 times and walking 103 times this season. As a team, Toronto has allowed 8.32 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.05 batters per nine. They are 6th in the league in team earned run average at 3.81. The Blue Jays pitchers have collectively given up 1,081 base hits and 495 earned runs. They have allowed 147 home runs this season and they allow 1.1 homers per nine innings as a staff. Toronto as a pitching staff has walked 355 batters and struck out 1,046. They walk 2.7 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.1 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.23 and their FIP as a unit is 4.03.
As a team, Toronto is batting .250, good for 22nd in the league while putting together a .235 average away from home. The Blue Jays hold a .437 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .328 which is good for 8th in baseball. They rank 21st in baseball with 8.52 hits per game. Josh Donaldson comes into this game hitting .290 and his on-base percentage is at .403. He has 137 hits this season along with 102 runs scored and 87 runs batted in. He's struck out 94 times and has walked 84 times. Edwin Encarnacion is hitting .271 and he has an on-base percentage of .361. He has totaled 130 hits so far while scoring 82 runs and he's driven in 105. He has walked 65 times and has struck out 114 times. The Blue Jays have 1,099 hits, including 229 doubles and 186 home runs. They've stolen 40 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 19 times. Toronto has walked 483 times this season and they've struck out 1,096 times as a unit. They've left 877 men on base and have a team OPS of .765. They score 4.89 runs per contest and have scored a total of 631 runs so far this year.
Baltimore comes into this matchup with a 42-22 home record and a 70-59 overall mark. With an earned run average of 5.51, Wade Miley has a 8-10 record and a 1.43 WHIP. He has 101 strikeouts over the 134 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 152 hits. He has allowed 10.2 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.78. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 3.75 and they have given up 416 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .247 against the Orioles bullpen while being struck out 405 times and walking 179 times this season. As a team, Baltimore has allowed 9.17 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.7 batters per nine. They are 23rd in the league in team earned run average at 4.52. The Orioles pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,158 base knocks and 571 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 153 home runs this year and they give up 1.2 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Baltimore as a staff has walked 452 hitters and struck out 973. They give up a walk 3.6 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7.7 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.42 while their FIP as a staff is 4.48.
As a team, they are batting .262, good for 8th in the league while putting together a .270 average at home. The Orioles hold a .451 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .321 which is good for 16th in baseball. They rank 7th in baseball with 8.96 hits per contest. Adam Jones comes into this matchup batting .275 and he has an OBP of .316. He has 137 hits this year along with 74 runs scored and 74 RBI. He's struck out 91 times and has walked on 30 occasions. Manny Machado is hitting .306 and he has an OBP of .358. He has collected 155 hits so far while he's scored 90 runs and drove in 81. He has earned a walk 41 times and has punched out 94 times. The Orioles as a unit have 1,155 base hits, including 223 doubles and 202 homers. They have 15 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 10 times. Baltimore as a team has walked 365 times this year and they have struck out 1,062 times. They've had 842 men left on base and have an OPS of .772. They score 4.73 runs per game and have totaled 610 runs so far this season.
Toronto Blue Jays Betting Trends
The Toronto Blue Jays are 52-71-6 against the over/under so far this season
The Toronto Blue Jays are 68-61-0 against the run line so far this season
Baltimore Orioles Betting Trends
The Baltimore Orioles are 59-67-3 against the over/under so far this season
The Baltimore Orioles are 65-64-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
Toronto Blue Jays
08/26/16 P J.A. Happ Foot "?" for next scheduled start
08/25/16 P Aaron Sanchez Hamstring out indefinitely
06/27/16 P Gavin Floyd Shoulder 60-day DL (6/26)
08/27/16 CF Adam Jones Hamstring "?" Sunday vs. New York Yankees
08/24/16 P Chris Tillman Shoulder 15-day DL (8/21)
08/19/16 P Dylan Bundy Ankle "?" for next scheduled start
08/13/16 P Darren O'Day Shoulder 15-day DL (8/12)
07/22/16 RF Joey Rickard Thumb 15-day DL (7/21)
06/21/16 P Brian Duensing Elbow 15-day DL (6/20)
Guy's Pick: Take the Blue Jays
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