Saturday, October 1, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: J.A. Happ vs. Eduardo Rodriguez
The Toronto Blue Jays head to Fenway Park on Saturday to take on the Boston Red Sox. The probable pitchers are J.A. Happ for the Blue Jays and Eduardo Rodriguez for the Red Sox. The Blue Jays have a 63-90-6 over/under mark and a 78-81-0 run line record, meaning they cover 49% of the time. The Red Sox are 81-78-0 against the run line and have a 77-75-7 over/under record. They cover the spread 51% of the time.
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The Blue Jays head into this game with a 87-72 record, and they are 41-37 on the road. Starting pitcher J.A. Happ has a 20-4 record with an ERA of 3.20 and a WHIP of 1.16. He has 162 strikeouts during his 188.2 innings pitched and he has given up 164 hits so far this year. He has surrendered 7.8 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.91. The bullpen this season has an earned run average of 4.08 and they have allowed 443 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .249 against the pen while they've been struck out 465 times and walked 134 times this year. As a unit, Toronto has given up 8.29 base hits per nine innings while striking out 8.14 hitters per nine. They are 6th in the Majors in team earned run average at 3.79. The Blue Jays pitchers have collectively given up 1,321 base hits and 604 earned runs. They have allowed 181 home runs this season and they allow 1.1 homers per nine innings as a staff. Toronto as a pitching staff has walked 450 batters and struck out 1,296. They walk 2.8 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.1 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.24 and their FIP as a unit is 4.04.
As a team, Toronto is hitting .248, good for 23rd in the league while putting together a .237 average on the road. The Blue Jays have a .427 team slugging percentage and an OBP of .329 which is good for 6th in the league. They rank 24th in baseball with 8.4 hits per contest. Josh Donaldson comes into this game hitting .285 and his on-base percentage is at .406. He has 161 hits this season along with 122 runs scored and 98 runs batted in. He's struck out 116 times and has walked 108 times. Edwin Encarnacion is hitting .266 and he has an on-base percentage of .358. He has totaled 157 hits so far while scoring 98 runs and he's driven in 127. He has walked 84 times and has struck out 136 times. The Blue Jays have 1,335 hits, including 272 doubles and 219 home runs. They've stolen 53 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 24 times. Toronto has walked 615 times this season and they've struck out 1,336 times as a unit. They've left 1,092 men on base and have a team OPS of .757. They score 4.72 runs per contest and have scored a total of 750 runs so far this year.
Boston comes into this game with a 46-32 home mark and a 92-67 overall record. With an ERA of 4.68, Eduardo Rodriguez has a 3-7 record and a 1.28 WHIP. He has 91 strikeouts over the 102 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 96 hits. He has allowed 8.5 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.52. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 3.61 and they have given up 403 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .231 against the Red Sox bullpen while being struck out 500 times and walking 186 times this season. As a team, Boston has allowed 8.4 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.51 batters per nine. They are 9th in the league in team earned run average at 4.02. The Red Sox pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,318 base knocks and 631 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 174 home runs this year and they give up 1.1 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Boston as a staff has walked 473 hitters and struck out 1,336. They give up a walk 3 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.5 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.27 while their FIP as a staff is 4.00.
As a team, they are batting .283, good for 1st in the league while putting together a .303 average at home. The Red Sox hold a .464 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .350 which is good for 1st in baseball. They rank 1st in baseball with 9.93 hits per contest. Xander Bogaerts comes into this matchup batting .294 and he has an OBP of .355. He has 189 hits this year along with 114 runs scored and 89 RBI. He's struck out 120 times and has walked on 56 occasions. Mookie Betts is hitting .320 and he has an OBP of .365. He has collected 211 hits so far while he's scored 119 runs and drove in 112. He has earned a walk 49 times and has punched out 80 times. The Red Sox as a unit have 1,579 base hits, including 340 doubles and 206 homers. They have 82 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 24 times. Boston as a team has walked 547 times this year and they have struck out 1,142 times. They've had 1,141 men left on base and have an OPS of .813. They score 5.47 runs per game and have totaled 869 runs so far this season.
Toronto Blue Jays Betting Trends
The Toronto Blue Jays are 63-90-6 against the over/under so far this season
The Toronto Blue Jays are 78-81-0 against the run line so far this season
Boston Red Sox Betting Trends
The Boston Red Sox are 77-75-7 against the over/under so far this season
The Boston Red Sox are 81-78-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
Toronto Blue Jays
09/27/16 P Joaquin Benoit Calf out indefinitely
06/27/16 P Gavin Floyd Shoulder 60-day DL (6/26)
Boston Red Sox
09/29/16 P Drew Pomeranz Forearm "?" next start
09/07/16 P Steven Wright Shoulder out indefinitely
06/17/16 2B Josh Rutledge Knee 60-day DL (6/15)
06/07/16 P Carson Smith Elbow 60-day DL (5/15)
06/06/16 C Blake Swihart Ankle 60-day DL (6/5)
05/03/16 3B Pablo Sandoval Shoulder 60-day DL (4/11); out for season
04/04/16 P Brandon Workman Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
Josh's Pick: Take the Red Sox
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