Monday, April 18, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: J.A. Happ vs. Clay Buchholz
The Toronto Blue Jays visit Fenway Park on Monday to play the Boston Red Sox. The probable starters are J.A. Happ for the Blue Jays and Clay Buchholz for the Red Sox. The opening line for this matchup has Toronto at +107 and Boston at -116. The over/under was set at 9. The Blue Jays have a 4-7-1 over/under record and a 6-6-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 50% of the time. The Red Sox are 7-3-0 against the run line and have a 6-4-0 over/under record. They cover the spread 70% of the time.
The Blue Jays head into this matchup with a 5-7 record, including 2-4 on the road. Starting pitcher J.A. Happ has a 1-0 record with an earned run average of 2.25 and a WHIP of 1.50. He has 8 strikeouts over his 12 innings pitched and he has given up 14 hits so far this season. He has allowed 10.5 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.14. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 3.60 and they have given up 27 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .235 against the bullpen while being struck out 33 times and walking 8 times this season. As a team, Toronto has allowed 8.39 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.96 batters per nine. They are 10th in the league in team earned run average at 3.63. The Blue Jays pitchers have collectively given up 97 base hits and 42 earned runs. They have allowed 10 home runs this season and they allow 0.9 homers per nine innings as a staff. Toronto as a pitching staff has walked 32 batters and struck out 92. They walk 2.8 men per 9 innings while striking out 8 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.24 and their FIP as a unit is 3.63.
As a team, Toronto is batting .214, good for 27th in the league while putting together a .198 average away from home. The Blue Jays hold a .375 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .288 which is good for 25th in baseball. They rank 26th in baseball with 6.92 hits per game. Josh Donaldson comes into this game hitting .313 and his on-base percentage is at .353. He has 15 hits this season along with 12 runs scored and 12 runs batted in. He's struck out 16 times and has walked 3 times. Jose Bautista is hitting .297 and he has an on-base percentage of .480. He has totaled 11 hits so far while scoring 8 runs and he's driven in 8. He has walked 13 times and has struck out 12 times. The Blue Jays have 83 hits, including 17 doubles and 13 home runs. They've stolen 5 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 1 time. Toronto has walked 35 times this season and they've struck out 124 times as a unit. They've left 70 men on base and have a team OPS of .662. They score 3.92 runs per contest and have scored a total of 47 runs so far this year.
Boston comes into this matchup with a 3-2 home record and a 6-4 overall mark. With an earned run average of 10.00, Clay Buchholz has a 0-1 record and a 1.89 WHIP. He has 9 strikeouts over the 9 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 11 hits. He has allowed 11 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 7.8. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 2.91 and they have given up 20 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .172 against the Red Sox bullpen while being struck out 38 times and walking 12 times this season. As a team, Boston has allowed 7.77 hits per nine innings while striking out 10.64 batters per nine. They are 24th in the league in team earned run average at 4.81. The Red Sox pitchers as a team have surrendered 76 base knocks and 47 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 14 home runs this year and they give up 1.4 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Boston as a staff has walked 35 hitters and struck out 104. They give up a walk 3.6 times per 9 innings while they strike out 10.6 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.26 while their FIP as a staff is 4.21.
As a team, they are batting .281, good for 6th in the league while putting together a .287 average at home. The Red Sox hold a .443 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .348 which is good for 6th in baseball. They rank 6th in baseball with 9.7 hits per contest. David Ortiz comes into this matchup batting .333 and he has an OBP of .450. He has 11 hits this year along with 5 runs scored and 10 RBI. He's struck out 4 times and has walked on 7 occasions. Xander Bogaerts is hitting .262 and he has an OBP of .311. He has collected 11 hits so far while he's scored 9 runs and drove in 7. He has earned a walk 3 times and has punched out 9 times. The Red Sox as a unit have 97 base hits, including 25 doubles and 9 homers. They have 8 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 1 time. Boston as a team has walked 35 times this year and they have struck out 76 times. They've had 71 men left on base and have an OPS of .792. They score 5.3 runs per game and have totaled 53 runs so far this season.
Toronto Blue Jays Betting Trends
The Toronto Blue Jays are 4-7-1 against the over/under so far this season
The Toronto Blue Jays are 6-6-0 against the run line so far this season
Boston Red Sox Betting Trends
The Boston Red Sox are 6-4-0 against the over/under so far this season
The Boston Red Sox are 7-3-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
Toronto Blue Jays
04/10/16 P Franklin Morales Arm 15-day DL (4/7)
04/04/16 P Aaron Loup Elbow 15-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 2B Devon Travis Shoulder 15-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Bo Schultz Hip 15-day DL (3/25)
Boston Red Sox
04/17/16 2B Brock Holt Rest is not expected to be in the starting lineup Sunday vs. Toronto Blue Jays
04/17/16 2B Dustin Pedroia Rest is not expected to be in the starting lineup Sunday vs. Toronto Blue Jays
04/13/16 3B Pablo Sandoval Shoulder 15-day DL (4/11)
04/04/16 P Brandon Workman Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Carson Smith Elbow 15-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Eduardo Rodrigue Knee 15-day DL (4/2)
Tony's Pick: Take the Blue Jays
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