Saturday, June 4, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Marcus Stroman vs. Steven Wright
The Toronto Blue Jays head to Fenway Park on Saturday to take on the Boston Red Sox. The probable pitchers are Marcus Stroman for the Blue Jays and Steven Wright for the Red Sox. The opening line for this game has Toronto at +120 and Boston at -130. The over/under is 9. The Blue Jays have a 19-33-3 over/under mark and a 29-26-0 run line record, meaning they cover 53% of the time. The Red Sox are 32-22-0 against the run line and have a 30-20-4 over/under record. They cover the spread 59% of the time.
The Blue Jays head into this game with a 29-26 record, and they are 15-12 on the road. Starting pitcher Marcus Stroman has a 5-1 record with an ERA of 4.46 and a WHIP of 1.25. He has 51 strikeouts during his 74.2 innings pitched and he has given up 73 hits so far this year. He has surrendered 8.8 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.69. The bullpen this season has an earned run average of 3.74 and they have allowed 139 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .252 against the pen while they've been struck out 132 times and walked 43 times this year. As a unit, Toronto has given up 8.08 base hits per nine innings while striking out 7.32 hitters per nine. They are 7th in the Majors in team earned run average at 3.58. The Blue Jays pitchers have collectively given up 445 base hits and 197 earned runs. They have allowed 54 home runs this season and they allow 1.1 homers per nine innings as a staff. Toronto as a pitching staff has walked 162 batters and struck out 403. They walk 2.9 men per 9 innings while striking out 7.3 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.23 and their FIP as a unit is 4.00.
As a team, Toronto is hitting .241, good for 21st in the league while putting together a .227 average on the road. The Blue Jays have a .409 team slugging percentage and an OBP of .318 which is good for 17th in the league. They rank 20th in baseball with 8.11 hits per contest. Josh Donaldson comes into this game hitting .257 and his on-base percentage is at .357. He has 53 hits this season along with 41 runs scored and 30 runs batted in. He's struck out 45 times and has walked 30 times. Edwin Encarnacion is hitting .245 and he has an on-base percentage of .316. He has totaled 52 hits so far while scoring 23 runs and he's driven in 42. He has walked 20 times and has struck out 51 times. The Blue Jays have 446 hits, including 95 doubles and 69 home runs. They've stolen 18 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 6 times. Toronto has walked 188 times this season and they've struck out 464 times as a unit. They've left 367 men on base and have a team OPS of .727. They score 4.22 runs per contest and have scored a total of 232 runs so far this year.
Boston comes into this game with a 18-10 home mark and a 32-22 overall record. With an ERA of 2.45, Steven Wright has a 5-4 record and a 1.09 WHIP. He has 61 strikeouts over the 69.2 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 50 hits. He has allowed 6.5 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.19. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 3.77 and they have given up 147 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .233 against the Red Sox bullpen while being struck out 187 times and walking 73 times this season. As a team, Boston has allowed 8.41 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.78 batters per nine. They are 22nd in the league in team earned run average at 4.44. The Red Sox pitchers as a team have surrendered 451 base knocks and 238 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 58 home runs this year and they give up 1.1 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Boston as a staff has walked 189 hitters and struck out 471. They give up a walk 3.5 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.8 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.33 while their FIP as a staff is 4.09.
As a team, they are batting .296, good for 1st in the league while putting together a .308 average at home. The Red Sox hold a .494 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .360 which is good for 1st in baseball. They rank 1st in baseball with 10.63 hits per contest. Xander Bogaerts comes into this matchup batting .348 and he has an OBP of .397. He has 79 hits this year along with 43 runs scored and 33 RBI. He's struck out 40 times and has walked on 18 occasions. Dustin Pedroia is hitting .318 and he has an OBP of .376. He has collected 69 hits so far while he's scored 39 runs and drove in 26. He has earned a walk 20 times and has punched out 33 times. The Red Sox as a unit have 574 base hits, including 137 doubles and 71 homers. They have 35 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 5 times. Boston as a team has walked 184 times this year and they have struck out 403 times. They've had 396 men left on base and have an OPS of .854. They score 6 runs per game and have totaled 324 runs so far this season.
Toronto Blue Jays Betting Trends
The Toronto Blue Jays are 19-33-3 against the over/under so far this season
The Toronto Blue Jays are 29-26-0 against the run line so far this season
Boston Red Sox Betting Trends
The Boston Red Sox are 30-20-4 against the over/under so far this season
The Boston Red Sox are 32-22-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
Toronto Blue Jays
05/28/16 SS Troy Tulowitzki Quad 15-day DL (5/27)
05/15/16 P Brett Cecil Tricep 15-day DL (5/15)
04/22/16 1B Chris Colabello Suspension expected to miss 80 games
04/10/16 P Franklin Morales Arm 15-day DL (4/7)
04/04/16 P Bo Schultz Hip 15-day DL (3/25)
Boston Red Sox
05/31/16 CF Jackie Bradley Jr. Personal expected to miss series vs. Baltimore Orioles
05/20/16 LF Brock Holt Concussion 15-day DL (5/19)
05/20/16 P Carson Smith Elbow 15-day DL (5/15)
05/03/16 3B Pablo Sandoval Shoulder 60-day DL (4/11); out for season
04/04/16 P Brandon Workman Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
Tony's Pick: Take the Red Sox
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