Sunday, June 5, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Marco Estrada vs. Eduardo Rodriguez
The Toronto Blue Jays visit Fenway Park on Sunday to play the Boston Red Sox. The probable starters are Marco Estrada for the Blue Jays and Eduardo Rodriguez for the Red Sox. The opening line for this matchup has Toronto at +113 and Boston at -123. The over/under was set at 9.5. The Blue Jays have a 19-34-3 over/under record and a 30-26-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 54% of the time. The Red Sox are 32-23-0 against the run line and have a 30-21-4 over/under record. They cover the spread 58% of the time.
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The Blue Jays head into this matchup with a 30-26 record, including 16-12 on the road. Starting pitcher Marco Estrada has a 3-2 record with an earned run average of 2.43 and a WHIP of 1.02. He has 58 strikeouts over his 66.2 innings pitched and he has given up 42 hits so far this season. He has allowed 5.7 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.72. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 3.74 and they have given up 142 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .253 against the bullpen while being struck out 135 times and walking 44 times this season. As a team, Toronto has allowed 8.03 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.31 batters per nine. They are 7th in the league in team earned run average at 3.53. The Blue Jays pitchers have collectively given up 450 base hits and 198 earned runs. They have allowed 54 home runs this season and they allow 1.1 homers per nine innings as a staff. Toronto as a pitching staff has walked 168 batters and struck out 410. They walk 3 men per 9 innings while striking out 7.3 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.23 and their FIP as a unit is 3.99.
As a team, Toronto is batting .240, good for 21st in the league while putting together a .227 average away from home. The Blue Jays hold a .409 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .318 which is good for 18th in baseball. They rank 21st in baseball with 8.09 hits per game. Josh Donaldson comes into this game hitting .254 and his on-base percentage is at .358. He has 53 hits this season along with 42 runs scored and 30 runs batted in. He's struck out 46 times and has walked 32 times. Edwin Encarnacion is hitting .250 and he has an on-base percentage of .320. He has totaled 54 hits so far while scoring 24 runs and he's driven in 44. He has walked 20 times and has struck out 52 times. The Blue Jays have 453 hits, including 95 doubles and 71 home runs. They've stolen 18 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 6 times. Toronto has walked 193 times this season and they've struck out 472 times as a unit. They've left 373 men on base and have a team OPS of .727. They score 4.23 runs per contest and have scored a total of 237 runs so far this year.
Boston comes into this matchup with a 18-11 home record and a 32-23 overall mark. With an earned run average of 3.00, Eduardo Rodriguez has a 1-0 record and a 1.00 WHIP. He has 3 strikeouts over the 6 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 6 hits. He has allowed 9 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 2.12. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 3.83 and they have given up 148 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .232 against the Red Sox bullpen while being struck out 190 times and walking 74 times this season. As a team, Boston has allowed 8.38 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.77 batters per nine. They are 22nd in the league in team earned run average at 4.43. The Red Sox pitchers as a team have surrendered 458 base knocks and 242 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 60 home runs this year and they give up 1.1 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Boston as a staff has walked 194 hitters and struck out 479. They give up a walk 3.6 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.8 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.33 while their FIP as a staff is 4.12.
As a team, they are batting .294, good for 1st in the league while putting together a .303 average at home. The Red Sox hold a .490 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .359 which is good for 1st in baseball. They rank 1st in baseball with 10.53 hits per contest. Xander Bogaerts comes into this matchup batting .343 and he has an OBP of .397. He has 79 hits this year along with 44 runs scored and 33 RBI. He's struck out 42 times and has walked on 20 occasions. Dustin Pedroia is hitting .315 and he has an OBP of .372. He has collected 70 hits so far while he's scored 39 runs and drove in 26. He has earned a walk 20 times and has punched out 33 times. The Red Sox as a unit have 579 base hits, including 140 doubles and 71 homers. They have 35 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 5 times. Boston as a team has walked 190 times this year and they have struck out 410 times. They've had 406 men left on base and have an OPS of .849. They score 5.93 runs per game and have totaled 326 runs so far this season.
Toronto Blue Jays Betting Trends
The Toronto Blue Jays are 19-34-3 against the over/under so far this season
The Toronto Blue Jays are 30-26-0 against the run line so far this season
Boston Red Sox Betting Trends
The Boston Red Sox are 30-21-4 against the over/under so far this season
The Boston Red Sox are 32-23-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
Toronto Blue Jays
05/28/16 SS Troy Tulowitzki Quad 15-day DL (5/27)
05/15/16 P Brett Cecil Tricep 15-day DL (5/15)
04/22/16 1B Chris Colabello Suspension expected to miss 80 games
04/10/16 P Franklin Morales Arm 15-day DL (4/7)
04/04/16 P Bo Schultz Hip 15-day DL (3/25)
Boston Red Sox
05/20/16 LF Brock Holt Concussion 15-day DL (5/19)
05/20/16 P Carson Smith Elbow 15-day DL (5/15)
05/03/16 3B Pablo Sandoval Shoulder 60-day DL (4/11); out for season
04/04/16 P Brandon Workman Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
Guy's Pick: Take the Blue Jays
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