Saturday, August 20, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Aaron Sanchez vs. Josh Tomlin
The Toronto Blue Jays visit Progressive Field on Saturday to play the Cleveland Indians. The probable starters are Aaron Sanchez for the Blue Jays and Josh Tomlin for the Indians. The opening line for this matchup has Toronto at -127 and Cleveland at +117. The over/under was set at 8.5. The Blue Jays have a 48-68-5 over/under record and a 63-58-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 52% of the time. The Indians are 62-57-0 against the run line and have a 60-50-9 over/under record. They cover the spread 52% of the time.
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The Blue Jays head into this matchup with a 69-52 record, including 33-26 on the road. Starting pitcher Aaron Sanchez has a 12-2 record with an earned run average of 2.84 and a WHIP of 1.16. He has 127 strikeouts over his 152.1 innings pitched and he has given up 131 hits so far this season. He has allowed 7.7 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.3. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 3.85 and they have given up 326 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .246 against the bullpen while being struck out 340 times and walking 95 times this season. As a team, Toronto has allowed 8.22 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.02 batters per nine. They are 5th in the league in team earned run average at 3.74. The Blue Jays pitchers have collectively given up 1,004 base hits and 456 earned runs. They have allowed 138 home runs this season and they allow 1.1 homers per nine innings as a staff. Toronto as a pitching staff has walked 332 batters and struck out 979. They walk 2.7 men per 9 innings while striking out 8 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.22 and their FIP as a unit is 4.03.
As a team, Toronto is batting .248, good for 22nd in the league while putting together a .234 average away from home. The Blue Jays hold a .433 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .327 which is good for 9th in baseball. They rank 21st in baseball with 8.45 hits per game. Edwin Encarnacion comes into this game hitting .269 and his on-base percentage is at .356. He has 121 hits this season along with 76 runs scored and 100 runs batted in. He's struck out 108 times and has walked 59 times. Josh Donaldson is hitting .289 and he has an on-base percentage of .399. He has totaled 130 hits so far while scoring 96 runs and he's driven in 80. He has walked 77 times and has struck out 92 times. The Blue Jays have 1,023 hits, including 209 doubles and 174 home runs. They've stolen 38 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 17 times. Toronto has walked 451 times this season and they've struck out 1,036 times as a unit. They've left 819 men on base and have a team OPS of .760. They score 4.84 runs per contest and have scored a total of 586 runs so far this year.
Cleveland comes into this matchup with a 37-22 home record and a 69-50 overall mark. With an earned run average of 4.14, Josh Tomlin has a 11-6 record and a 1.18 WHIP. He has 96 strikeouts over the 137 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 144 hits. He has allowed 9.5 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.94. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 3.62 and they have given up 322 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .236 against the Indians bullpen while being struck out 344 times and walking 140 times this season. As a team, Cleveland has allowed 8.21 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.4 batters per nine. They are 7th in the league in team earned run average at 3.84. The Indians pitchers as a team have surrendered 981 base knocks and 459 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 141 home runs this year and they give up 1.2 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Cleveland as a staff has walked 349 hitters and struck out 1,003. They give up a walk 2.9 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.4 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.24 while their FIP as a staff is 4.03.
As a team, they are batting .267, good for 4th in the league while putting together a .297 average at home. The Indians hold a .444 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .329 which is good for 6th in baseball. They rank 4th in baseball with 9.24 hits per contest. Francisco Lindor comes into this matchup batting .311 and he has an OBP of .359. He has 144 hits this year along with 81 runs scored and 63 RBI. He's struck out 67 times and has walked on 38 occasions. Jason Kipnis is hitting .293 and he has an OBP of .352. He has collected 134 hits so far while he's scored 72 runs and drove in 67. He has earned a walk 42 times and has punched out 104 times. The Indians as a unit have 1,100 base hits, including 227 doubles and 154 homers. They have 102 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 23 times. Cleveland as a team has walked 375 times this year and they have struck out 939 times. They've had 779 men left on base and have an OPS of .773. They score 5.08 runs per game and have totaled 605 runs so far this season.
Toronto Blue Jays Betting Trends
The Toronto Blue Jays are 48-68-5 against the over/under so far this season
The Toronto Blue Jays are 63-58-0 against the run line so far this season
Cleveland Indians Betting Trends
The Cleveland Indians are 60-50-9 against the over/under so far this season
The Cleveland Indians are 62-57-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
Toronto Blue Jays
08/18/16 3B Josh Donaldson Thumb injured last game, "?" Friday vs. Cleveland Indians
08/11/16 RF Jose Bautista Knee 15-day DL (8/10)
08/09/16 CF Kevin Pillar Thumb 15-day DL (8/7)
06/27/16 P Gavin Floyd Shoulder 60-day DL (6/26)
08/17/16 P Josh Tomlin Personal expected to miss 3-5 days
07/19/16 C Yan Gomes Shoulder 15-day DL (7/18)
07/18/16 P Tommy Hunter Back 15-day DL (7/10)
07/07/16 P Zach McAllister Hip 15-day DL (7/6)
06/01/16 LF Marlon Byrd Suspension out for season
05/14/16 LF Michael Brantley Shoulder 60-day DL (5/10); out for season
Guy's Pick: Take the Blue Jays
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