Wednesday, August 3, 2016
Minute Maid Park
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Probable Pitchers: Marco Estrada vs. Collin McHugh
The Toronto Blue Jays head to Minute Maid Park on Wednesday to take on the Houston Astros. The probable pitchers are Marco Estrada for the Blue Jays and Collin McHugh for the Astros. The opening line for this game has Toronto at +110 and Houston at -120. The over/under is 8.5. The Blue Jays have a 43-58-5 over/under mark and a 54-52-0 run line record, meaning they cover 51% of the time. The Astros are 47-58-0 against the run line and have a 46-53-6 over/under record. They cover the spread 45% of the time.
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The Blue Jays head into this game with a 59-47 record, and they are 27-23 on the road. Starting pitcher Marco Estrada has a 6-4 record with an ERA of 3.02 and a WHIP of 1.01. He has 108 strikeouts during his 116.1 innings pitched and he has given up 76 hits so far this year. He has surrendered 5.9 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.98. The bullpen this season has an earned run average of 4.06 and they have allowed 287 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .249 against the pen while they've been struck out 290 times and walked 85 times this year. As a unit, Toronto has given up 8.17 base hits per nine innings while striking out 7.9 hitters per nine. They are 7th in the Majors in team earned run average at 3.80. The Blue Jays pitchers have collectively given up 877 base hits and 408 earned runs. They have allowed 125 home runs this season and they allow 1.2 homers per nine innings as a staff. Toronto as a pitching staff has walked 297 batters and struck out 848. They walk 2.8 men per 9 innings while striking out 7.9 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.21 and their FIP as a unit is 4.11.
As a team, Toronto is hitting .248, good for 21st in the league while putting together a .235 average on the road. The Blue Jays have a .433 team slugging percentage and an OBP of .329 which is good for 8th in the league. They rank 19th in baseball with 8.48 hits per contest. Edwin Encarnacion comes into this game hitting .265 and his on-base percentage is at .355. He has 104 hits this season along with 65 runs scored and 89 runs batted in. He's struck out 95 times and has walked 53 times. Josh Donaldson is hitting .297 and he has an on-base percentage of .409. He has totaled 117 hits so far while scoring 87 runs and he's driven in 74. He has walked 70 times and has struck out 77 times. The Blue Jays have 899 hits, including 189 doubles and 150 home runs. They've stolen 33 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 15 times. Toronto has walked 409 times this season and they've struck out 890 times as a unit. They've left 723 men on base and have a team OPS of .763. They score 4.9 runs per contest and have scored a total of 519 runs so far this year.
Houston comes into this game with a 33-21 home mark and a 56-49 overall record. With an ERA of 4.75, Collin McHugh has a 7-7 record and a 1.50 WHIP. He has 111 strikeouts over the 115.2 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 139 hits. He has allowed 10.8 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.75. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 3.12 and they have given up 297 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .226 against the Astros bullpen while being struck out 381 times and walking 82 times this season. As a team, Houston has allowed 8.82 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.47 batters per nine. They are 8th in the league in team earned run average at 3.84. The Astros pitchers as a team have surrendered 939 base knocks and 408 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 106 home runs this year and they give up 1.1 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Houston as a staff has walked 291 hitters and struck out 903. They give up a walk 2.7 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.5 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.28 while their FIP as a staff is 3.68.
As a team, they are batting .243, good for 24th in the league while putting together a .238 average at home. The Astros hold a .417 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .321 which is good for 17th in baseball. They rank 23rd in baseball with 8.32 hits per contest. Carlos Correa comes into this matchup batting .266 and he has an OBP of .364. He has 102 hits this year along with 52 runs scored and 68 RBI. He's struck out 97 times and has walked on 55 occasions. Jose Altuve is hitting .356 and he has an OBP of .424. He has collected 147 hits so far while he's scored 79 runs and drove in 63. He has earned a walk 46 times and has punched out 45 times. The Astros as a unit have 874 base hits, including 183 doubles and 134 homers. They have 79 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 30 times. Houston as a team has walked 386 times this year and they have struck out 971 times. They've had 725 men left on base and have an OPS of .738. They score 4.48 runs per game and have totaled 470 runs so far this season.
Toronto Blue Jays Betting Trends
The Toronto Blue Jays are 43-58-5 against the over/under so far this season
The Toronto Blue Jays are 54-52-0 against the run line so far this season
Houston Astros Betting Trends
The Houston Astros are 46-53-6 against the over/under so far this season
The Houston Astros are 47-58-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
Toronto Blue Jays
08/02/16 RF Ezequiel Carrera Achilles 15-day DL
08/02/16 SS Troy Tulowitzki Thumb is downgraded to doubtful Tuesday vs. Houston Astros
08/01/16 3B Josh Donaldson Hamstring "?" Tuesday vs. Houston Astros
06/27/16 P Gavin Floyd Shoulder 60-day DL (6/26)
07/29/16 3B Luis Valbuena Hamstring 15-day DL (7/27)
Guy's Pick: Take the Astros
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