Friday, May 20, 2016
For Updated Odds on This Game Click Here
Probable Pitchers: Aaron Sanchez vs. Tyler Duffey
The Toronto Blue Jays visit Target Field on Friday to play the Minnesota Twins. The probable starters are Aaron Sanchez for the Blue Jays and Tyler Duffey for the Twins. The opening line for this matchup has Toronto at -130 and Minnesota at +120. The over/under was set at 8.5. The Blue Jays have a 15-24-3 over/under record and a 21-21-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 50% of the time. The Twins are 15-24-0 against the run line and have a 20-16-3 over/under record. They cover the spread 39% of the time.
The Blue Jays head into this matchup with a 19-23 record, including 10-10 on the road. Starting pitcher Aaron Sanchez has a 3-1 record with an earned run average of 3.29 and a WHIP of 1.23. He has 45 strikeouts over his 52 innings pitched and he has given up 43 hits so far this season. He has allowed 7.4 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.63. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 3.79 and they have given up 113 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .259 against the bullpen while being struck out 101 times and walking 37 times this season. As a team, Toronto has allowed 8.53 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.34 batters per nine. They are 9th in the league in team earned run average at 3.73. The Blue Jays pitchers have collectively given up 357 base hits and 156 earned runs. They have allowed 43 home runs this season and they allow 1.1 homers per nine innings as a staff. Toronto as a pitching staff has walked 127 batters and struck out 307. They walk 3 men per 9 innings while striking out 7.3 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.29 and their FIP as a unit is 4.06.
As a team, Toronto is batting .234, good for 29th in the league while putting together a .227 average away from home. The Blue Jays hold a .395 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .316 which is good for 19th in baseball. They rank 26th in baseball with 7.79 hits per game. Josh Donaldson comes into this game hitting .253 and his on-base percentage is at .355. He has 40 hits this season along with 34 runs scored and 21 runs batted in. He's struck out 37 times and has walked 23 times. Kevin Pillar is hitting .256 and he has an on-base percentage of .290. He has totaled 41 hits so far while scoring 15 runs and he's driven in 15. He has walked 4 times and has struck out 23 times. The Blue Jays have 327 hits, including 70 doubles and 49 home runs. They've stolen 14 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 5 times. Toronto has walked 154 times this season and they've struck out 368 times as a unit. They've left 281 men on base and have a team OPS of .711. They score 4 runs per contest and have scored a total of 168 runs so far this year.
Minnesota comes into this matchup with a 6-10 home record and a 10-29 overall mark. With an earned run average of 1.85, Tyler Duffey has a 1-2 record and a 1.11 WHIP. He has 23 strikeouts over the 24.1 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 22 hits. He has allowed 8.1 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.01. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 4.85 and they have given up 157 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .283 against the Twins bullpen while being struck out 134 times and walking 53 times this season. As a team, Minnesota has allowed 10.05 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.07 batters per nine. They are 29th in the league in team earned run average at 4.98. The Twins pitchers as a team have surrendered 381 base knocks and 189 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 53 home runs this year and they give up 1.4 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Minnesota as a staff has walked 120 hitters and struck out 306. They give up a walk 3.2 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.1 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.47 while their FIP as a staff is 4.45.
As a team, they are batting .237, good for 21st in the league while putting together a .251 average at home. The Twins hold a .379 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .304 which is good for 24th in baseball. They rank 19th in baseball with 8.13 hits per contest. Joe Mauer comes into this matchup batting .266 and he has an OBP of .383. He has 37 hits this year along with 11 runs scored and 10 RBI. He's struck out 25 times and has walked on 26 occasions. Eduardo Nunez is hitting .340 and he has an OBP of .379. He has collected 36 hits so far while he's scored 15 runs and drove in 14. He has earned a walk 5 times and has punched out 20 times. The Twins as a unit have 317 base hits, including 65 doubles and 38 homers. They have 26 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 7 times. Minnesota as a team has walked 120 times this year and they have struck out 350 times. They've had 280 men left on base and have an OPS of .683. They score 3.62 runs per game and have totaled 141 runs so far this season.
Toronto Blue Jays Betting Trends
The Toronto Blue Jays are 15-24-3 against the over/under so far this season
The Toronto Blue Jays are 21-21-0 against the run line so far this season
Minnesota Twins Betting Trends
The Minnesota Twins are 20-16-3 against the over/under so far this season
The Minnesota Twins are 15-24-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
Toronto Blue Jays
05/15/16 P Brett Cecil Tricep 15-day DL (5/15)
04/22/16 1B Chris Colabello Suspension expected to miss 80 games
04/10/16 P Franklin Morales Arm 15-day DL (4/7)
04/04/16 P Aaron Loup Elbow 15-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 2B Devon Travis Shoulder 15-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Bo Schultz Hip 15-day DL (3/25)
05/18/16 P Phil Hughes Shoulder "?" for next scheduled start
05/07/16 SS Eduardo Escobar Groin 15-day DL (5/7)
04/27/16 P Kyle Gibson Shoulder 15-day DL (4/23)
04/13/16 P Glen Perkins Shoulder 15-day DL (4/11)
Guy's Pick: Take the Twins
Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here
Read more articles by Guy Bruhn
Get all of Today's MLB Picks
Get all of Today's Guaranteed Expert MLB Picks