Sunday, May 22, 2016
For Updated Odds on This Game Click Here
Probable Pitchers: Marcus Stroman vs. Phil Hughes
The Toronto Blue Jays visit Target Field on Sunday to play the Minnesota Twins. The probable starters are Marcus Stroman for the Blue Jays and Phil Hughes for the Twins. The opening line for this matchup has Toronto at -155 and Minnesota at +145. The over/under was set at 8.5. The Blue Jays have a 16-26-3 over/under record and a 22-23-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 49% of the time. The Twins are 17-25-0 against the run line and have a 21-18-3 over/under record. They cover the spread 41% of the time.
The Blue Jays head into this matchup with a 21-24 record, including 12-11 on the road. Starting pitcher Marcus Stroman has a 4-1 record with an earned run average of 4.23 and a WHIP of 1.23. He has 43 strikeouts over his 61.2 innings pitched and he has given up 59 hits so far this season. He has allowed 8.6 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.41. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 3.83 and they have given up 117 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .256 against the bullpen while being struck out 106 times and walking 37 times this season. As a team, Toronto has allowed 8.42 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.42 batters per nine. They are 6th in the league in team earned run average at 3.63. The Blue Jays pitchers have collectively given up 371 base hits and 160 earned runs. They have allowed 44 home runs this season and they allow 1.1 homers per nine innings as a staff. Toronto as a pitching staff has walked 128 batters and struck out 327. They walk 2.9 men per 9 innings while striking out 7.4 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.26 and their FIP as a unit is 3.95.
As a team, Toronto is batting .237, good for 22nd in the league while putting together a .233 average away from home. The Blue Jays hold a .402 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .316 which is good for 17th in baseball. They rank 22nd in baseball with 7.95 hits per game. Josh Donaldson comes into this game hitting .251 and his on-base percentage is at .352. He has 42 hits this season along with 36 runs scored and 23 runs batted in. He's struck out 40 times and has walked 24 times. Edwin Encarnacion is hitting .244 and he has an on-base percentage of .311. He has totaled 42 hits so far while scoring 19 runs and he's driven in 32. He has walked 16 times and has struck out 43 times. The Blue Jays have 350 hits, including 74 doubles and 54 home runs. They've stolen 14 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 5 times. Toronto has walked 158 times this season and they've struck out 382 times as a unit. They've left 295 men on base and have a team OPS of .718. They score 4.09 runs per contest and have scored a total of 180 runs so far this year.
Minnesota comes into this matchup with a 7-12 home record and a 11-31 overall mark. With an earned run average of 5.70, Phil Hughes has a 1-6 record and a 1.29 WHIP. He has 27 strikeouts over the 42.2 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 47 hits. He has allowed 9.9 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.52. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 4.85 and they have given up 170 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .286 against the Twins bullpen while being struck out 143 times and walking 55 times this season. As a team, Minnesota has allowed 10.06 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.97 batters per nine. They are 29th in the league in team earned run average at 5.01. The Twins pitchers as a team have surrendered 404 base knocks and 201 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 58 home runs this year and they give up 1.4 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Minnesota as a staff has walked 124 hitters and struck out 320. They give up a walk 3.1 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.46 while their FIP as a staff is 4.52.
As a team, they are batting .235, good for 23rd in the league while putting together a .245 average at home. The Twins hold a .376 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .299 which is good for 25th in baseball. They rank 20th in baseball with 8.07 hits per contest. Joe Mauer comes into this matchup batting .265 and he has an OBP of .377. He has 39 hits this year along with 11 runs scored and 11 RBI. He's struck out 26 times and has walked on 26 occasions. Eduardo Nunez is hitting .325 and he has an OBP of .363. He has collected 37 hits so far while he's scored 15 runs and drove in 14. He has earned a walk 5 times and has punched out 24 times. The Twins as a unit have 331 base hits, including 68 doubles and 39 homers. They have 29 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 8 times. Minnesota as a team has walked 121 times this year and they have struck out 370 times. They've had 288 men left on base and have an OPS of .675. They score 3.56 runs per game and have totaled 146 runs so far this season.
Toronto Blue Jays Betting Trends
The Toronto Blue Jays are 16-26-3 against the over/under so far this season
The Toronto Blue Jays are 22-23-0 against the run line so far this season
Minnesota Twins Betting Trends
The Minnesota Twins are 21-18-3 against the over/under so far this season
The Minnesota Twins are 17-25-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
Toronto Blue Jays
05/15/16 P Brett Cecil Tricep 15-day DL (5/15)
04/22/16 1B Chris Colabello Suspension expected to miss 80 games
04/10/16 P Franklin Morales Arm 15-day DL (4/7)
04/04/16 P Aaron Loup Elbow 15-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 2B Devon Travis Shoulder 15-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Bo Schultz Hip 15-day DL (3/25)
05/07/16 SS Eduardo Escobar Groin 15-day DL (5/7)
04/27/16 P Kyle Gibson Shoulder 15-day DL (4/23)
04/13/16 P Glen Perkins Shoulder 15-day DL (4/11)
Guy's Pick: Take the Twins
Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here
Read more articles by Guy Bruhn
Get all of Today's Free MLB Picks
Get all of Today's Expert MLB Picks