Wednesday, May 25, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Marco Estrada vs. Ivan Nova
The Toronto Blue Jays visit Yankee Stadium on Wednesday to play the New York Yankees. The probable starters are Marco Estrada for the Blue Jays and Ivan Nova for the Yankees. The opening line for this matchup has Toronto at -107 and New York at -103. The over/under was set at 8.5. The Blue Jays have a 16-27-3 over/under record and a 23-23-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 50% of the time. The Yankees are 21-22-0 against the run line and have a 19-20-4 over/under record. They cover the spread 49% of the time.
The Blue Jays head into this matchup with a 22-24 record, including 13-11 on the road. Starting pitcher Marco Estrada has a 1-2 record with an earned run average of 2.61 and a WHIP of 1.05. He has 50 strikeouts over his 51.2 innings pitched and he has given up 35 hits so far this season. He has allowed 6.1 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.23. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 3.79 and they have given up 117 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .254 against the bullpen while being struck out 108 times and walking 37 times this season. As a team, Toronto has allowed 8.22 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.35 batters per nine. They are 7th in the league in team earned run average at 3.61. The Blue Jays pitchers have collectively given up 378 base hits and 166 earned runs. They have allowed 45 home runs this season and they allow 1.1 homers per nine innings as a staff. Toronto as a pitching staff has walked 133 batters and struck out 338. They walk 2.9 men per 9 innings while striking out 7.4 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.24 and their FIP as a unit is 3.91.
As a team, Toronto is batting .236, good for 24th in the league while putting together a .232 average away from home. The Blue Jays hold a .404 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .315 which is good for 18th in baseball. They rank 23rd in baseball with 7.93 hits per game. Josh Donaldson comes into this game hitting .250 and his on-base percentage is at .348. He has 43 hits this season along with 37 runs scored and 24 runs batted in. He's struck out 40 times and has walked 24 times. Edwin Encarnacion is hitting .240 and he has an on-base percentage of .308. He has totaled 43 hits so far while scoring 19 runs and he's driven in 32. He has walked 17 times and has struck out 45 times. The Blue Jays have 365 hits, including 78 doubles and 58 home runs. They've stolen 14 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 5 times. Toronto has walked 163 times this season and they've struck out 394 times as a unit. They've left 307 men on base and have a team OPS of .719. They score 4.04 runs per contest and have scored a total of 186 runs so far this year.
New York comes into this matchup with a 12-10 home record and a 21-22 overall mark. With an earned run average of 3.26, Ivan Nova has a 3-1 record and a 1.09 WHIP. He has 15 strikeouts over the 30.1 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 30 hits. He has allowed 8.9 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.28. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 3.27 and they have given up 105 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .212 against the Yankees bullpen while being struck out 157 times and walking 35 times this season. As a team, New York has allowed 8.83 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.97 batters per nine. They are 20th in the league in team earned run average at 4.19. The Yankees pitchers as a team have surrendered 371 base knocks and 176 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 53 home runs this year and they give up 1.3 home runs per nine innings as a staff. New York as a staff has walked 99 hitters and struck out 377. They give up a walk 2.4 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.24 while their FIP as a staff is 3.82.
As a team, they are batting .241, good for 20th in the league while putting together a .248 average at home. The Yankees hold a .382 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .308 which is good for 22nd in baseball. They rank 21st in baseball with 7.98 hits per contest. Starlin Castro comes into this matchup batting .276 and he has an OBP of .310. He has 45 hits this year along with 13 runs scored and 18 RBI. He's struck out 29 times and has walked on 7 occasions. Jacoby Ellsbury is hitting .275 and he has an OBP of .345. He has collected 36 hits so far while he's scored 18 runs and drove in 14. He has earned a walk 12 times and has punched out 21 times. The Yankees as a unit have 343 base hits, including 63 doubles and 42 homers. They have 26 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 7 times. New York as a team has walked 131 times this year and they have struck out 302 times. They've had 284 men left on base and have an OPS of .690. They score 3.91 runs per game and have totaled 168 runs so far this season.
Toronto Blue Jays Betting Trends
The Toronto Blue Jays are 16-27-3 against the over/under so far this season
The Toronto Blue Jays are 23-23-0 against the run line so far this season
New York Yankees Betting Trends
The New York Yankees are 19-20-4 against the over/under so far this season
The New York Yankees are 21-22-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
Toronto Blue Jays
05/24/16 3B Josh Donaldson Rest is not expected to be in the starting lineup Tuesday vs. New York Yankees
05/15/16 P Brett Cecil Tricep 15-day DL (5/15)
04/22/16 1B Chris Colabello Suspension expected to miss 80 games
04/10/16 P Franklin Morales Arm 15-day DL (4/7)
04/04/16 P Aaron Loup Elbow 15-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 2B Devon Travis Shoulder 15-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Bo Schultz Hip 15-day DL (3/25)
New York Yankees
05/14/16 P Luis Severino Tricep 15-day DL (5/14)
05/04/16 DH Alex Rodriguez Hamstring 15-day DL (5/3)
04/03/16 RF Mason Williams Shoulder 60-day DL (3/25)
03/31/16 P Bryan Mitchell Toe 60-day DL (3/31)
03/31/16 1B Gregory Bird Shoulder 60-day DL (3/25); out for season
Guy's Pick: Take the Blue Jays
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