Tuesday, August 16, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Marco Estrada vs. Michael Pineda
The Toronto Blue Jays visit Yankee Stadium on Tuesday to play the New York Yankees. The probable starters are Marco Estrada for the Blue Jays and Michael Pineda for the Yankees. The opening line for this matchup has Toronto at -125 and New York at +115. The over/under was set at 8.5. The Blue Jays have a 46-67-5 over/under record and a 61-57-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 52% of the time. The Yankees are 56-61-0 against the run line and have a 51-57-9 over/under record. They cover the spread 48% of the time.
The Blue Jays head into this matchup with a 67-51 record, including 31-25 on the road. Starting pitcher Marco Estrada has a 7-5 record with an earned run average of 2.95 and a WHIP of 1.04. He has 121 strikeouts over his 128.1 innings pitched and he has given up 87 hits so far this season. He has allowed 6.1 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.92. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 3.94 and they have given up 317 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .247 against the bullpen while being struck out 327 times and walking 92 times this season. As a team, Toronto has allowed 8.21 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.96 batters per nine. They are 6th in the league in team earned run average at 3.73. The Blue Jays pitchers have collectively given up 979 base hits and 445 earned runs. They have allowed 132 home runs this season and they allow 1.1 homers per nine innings as a staff. Toronto as a pitching staff has walked 324 batters and struck out 949. They walk 2.7 men per 9 innings while striking out 8 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.22 and their FIP as a unit is 4.01.
As a team, Toronto is batting .247, good for 23rd in the league while putting together a .232 average away from home. The Blue Jays hold a .433 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .328 which is good for 11th in baseball. They rank 22nd in baseball with 8.42 hits per game. Edwin Encarnacion comes into this game hitting .271 and his on-base percentage is at .360. He has 118 hits this season along with 74 runs scored and 97 runs batted in. He's struck out 105 times and has walked 59 times. Josh Donaldson is hitting .292 and he has an on-base percentage of .401. He has totaled 128 hits so far while scoring 93 runs and he's driven in 79. He has walked 75 times and has struck out 88 times. The Blue Jays have 994 hits, including 203 doubles and 169 home runs. They've stolen 38 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 17 times. Toronto has walked 445 times this season and they've struck out 999 times as a unit. They've left 803 men on base and have a team OPS of .760. They score 4.81 runs per contest and have scored a total of 567 runs so far this year.
New York comes into this matchup with a 34-25 home record and a 60-57 overall mark. With an earned run average of 5.07, Michael Pineda has a 6-10 record and a 1.36 WHIP. He has 152 strikeouts over the 131.1 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 140 hits. He has allowed 9.6 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.89. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 3.32 and they have given up 286 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .213 against the Yankees bullpen while being struck out 426 times and walking 113 times this season. As a team, New York has allowed 8.63 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.93 batters per nine. They are 20th in the league in team earned run average at 4.27. The Yankees pitchers as a team have surrendered 988 base knocks and 489 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 152 home runs this year and they give up 1.3 home runs per nine innings as a staff. New York as a staff has walked 305 hitters and struck out 1,022. They give up a walk 2.7 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.9 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.26 while their FIP as a staff is 4.08.
As a team, they are batting .250, good for 19th in the league while putting together a .250 average at home. The Yankees hold a .397 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .311 which is good for 23rd in baseball. They rank 23rd in baseball with 8.38 hits per contest. Didi Gregorius comes into this matchup batting .288 and he has an OBP of .317. He has 115 hits this year along with 50 runs scored and 52 RBI. He's struck out 55 times and has walked on 14 occasions. Brett Gardner is hitting .263 and he has an OBP of .352. He has collected 104 hits so far while he's scored 61 runs and drove in 29. He has earned a walk 50 times and has punched out 86 times. The Yankees as a unit have 981 base hits, including 172 doubles and 123 homers. They have 53 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 16 times. New York as a team has walked 332 times this year and they have struck out 836 times. They've had 769 men left on base and have an OPS of .708. They score 4.16 runs per game and have totaled 487 runs so far this season.
Toronto Blue Jays Betting Trends
The Toronto Blue Jays are 46-67-5 against the over/under so far this season
The Toronto Blue Jays are 61-57-0 against the run line so far this season
New York Yankees Betting Trends
The New York Yankees are 51-57-9 against the over/under so far this season
The New York Yankees are 56-61-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
Toronto Blue Jays
08/11/16 RF Jose Bautista Knee 15-day DL (8/10)
08/09/16 CF Kevin Pillar Thumb 15-day DL (8/7)
08/02/16 RF Ezequiel Carrera Achilles 15-day DL (8/1)
06/27/16 P Gavin Floyd Shoulder 60-day DL (6/26)
New York Yankees
08/14/16 LF Brett Gardner Lower Body "?" Monday vs. Toronto Blue Jays
08/13/16 P Nathan Eovaldi Elbow 15-day DL (8/11)
05/31/16 LF Dustin Ackley Shoulder 60-day DL (5/29), out for season
03/31/16 P Bryan Mitchell Toe 60-day DL (3/31)
03/31/16 1B Gregory Bird Shoulder 60-day DL (3/25); out for season
Tony's Pick: Take the Blue Jays
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