Monday, September 5, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: R.A. Dickey vs. Masahiro Tanaka
The Toronto Blue Jays visit Yankee Stadium on Monday to play the New York Yankees. The probable starters are R.A. Dickey for the Blue Jays and Masahiro Tanaka for the Yankees. The opening line for this matchup has Toronto at +120 and New York at -130. The over/under was set at 8. The Blue Jays have a 55-74-6 over/under record and a 71-64-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 53% of the time. The Yankees are 64-70-0 against the run line and have a 59-66-9 over/under record. They cover the spread 48% of the time.
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The Blue Jays head into this matchup with a 76-59 record, including 36-31 on the road. Starting pitcher R.A. Dickey has a 9-13 record with an earned run average of 4.43 and a WHIP of 1.35. He has 116 strikeouts over his 160.1 innings pitched and he has given up 155 hits so far this season. He has allowed 8.7 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 5.14. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 4.01 and they have given up 372 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .252 against the bullpen while being struck out 381 times and walking 108 times this season. As a team, Toronto has allowed 8.34 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.03 batters per nine. They are 7th in the league in team earned run average at 3.84. The Blue Jays pitchers have collectively given up 1,131 base hits and 520 earned runs. They have allowed 156 home runs this season and they allow 1.2 homers per nine innings as a staff. Toronto as a pitching staff has walked 373 batters and struck out 1,088. They walk 2.8 men per 9 innings while striking out 8 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.23 and their FIP as a unit is 4.07.
As a team, Toronto is batting .249, good for 22nd in the league while putting together a .233 average away from home. The Blue Jays hold a .437 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .328 which is good for 8th in baseball. They rank 22nd in baseball with 8.5 hits per game. Edwin Encarnacion comes into this game hitting .265 and his on-base percentage is at .359. He has 132 hits this season along with 84 runs scored and 108 runs batted in. He's struck out 116 times and has walked 71 times. Josh Donaldson is hitting .297 and he has an on-base percentage of .407. He has totaled 147 hits so far while scoring 108 runs and he's driven in 92. He has walked 87 times and has struck out 96 times. The Blue Jays have 1,147 hits, including 237 doubles and 196 home runs. They've stolen 42 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 19 times. Toronto has walked 505 times this season and they've struck out 1,142 times as a unit. They've left 909 men on base and have a team OPS of .765. They score 4.9 runs per contest and have scored a total of 661 runs so far this year.
New York comes into this matchup with a 37-28 home record and a 69-65 overall mark. With an earned run average of 3.12, Masahiro Tanaka has a 11-4 record and a 1.06 WHIP. He has 146 strikeouts over the 173 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 156 hits. He has allowed 8.1 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.26. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 3.49 and they have given up 336 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .216 against the Yankees bullpen while being struck out 483 times and walking 136 times this season. As a team, New York has allowed 8.58 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.94 batters per nine. They are 19th in the league in team earned run average at 4.23. The Yankees pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,128 base knocks and 556 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 177 home runs this year and they give up 1.3 home runs per nine innings as a staff. New York as a staff has walked 345 hitters and struck out 1,176. They give up a walk 2.6 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.9 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.25 while their FIP as a staff is 4.10.
As a team, they are batting .252, good for 19th in the league while putting together a .257 average at home. The Yankees hold a .403 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .313 which is good for 24th in baseball. They rank 19th in baseball with 8.55 hits per contest. Didi Gregorius comes into this matchup batting .282 and he has an OBP of .310. He has 133 hits this year along with 60 runs scored and 61 RBI. He's struck out 69 times and has walked on 15 occasions. Brett Gardner is hitting .258 and he has an OBP of .348. He has collected 115 hits so far while he's scored 65 runs and drove in 34. He has earned a walk 58 times and has punched out 92 times. The Yankees as a unit have 1,146 base hits, including 204 doubles and 148 homers. They have 61 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 16 times. New York as a team has walked 382 times this year and they have struck out 974 times. They've had 905 men left on base and have an OPS of .716. They score 4.23 runs per game and have totaled 567 runs so far this season.
Toronto Blue Jays Betting Trends
The Toronto Blue Jays are 55-74-6 against the over/under so far this season
The Toronto Blue Jays are 71-64-0 against the run line so far this season
New York Yankees Betting Trends
The New York Yankees are 59-66-9 against the over/under so far this season
The New York Yankees are 64-70-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
Toronto Blue Jays
06/27/16 P Gavin Floyd Shoulder 60-day DL (6/26)
New York Yankees
09/03/16 P Chad Green Elbow out indefinitely
09/01/16 RF Aaron Hicks Hamstring out indefinitely
08/13/16 P Nathan Eovaldi Elbow 15-day DL (8/11)
05/31/16 LF Dustin Ackley Shoulder 60-day DL (5/29), out for season
03/31/16 P Bryan Mitchell Toe 60-day DL (3/31)
03/31/16 1B Gregory Bird Shoulder 60-day DL (3/25); out for season
Josh's Pick: Take the Blue Jays
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