Saturday, July 16, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Marco Estrada vs. Sonny Gray
The Toronto Blue Jays visit O.co Coliseum on Saturday to play the Oakland Athletics. The probable starters are Marco Estrada for the Blue Jays and Sonny Gray for the Athletics. The opening line for this matchup has Toronto at +118 and Oakland at -128. The over/under was set at 8. The Blue Jays have a 35-52-4 over/under record and a 48-43-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 53% of the time. The Athletics are 47-42-0 against the run line and have a 43-43-3 over/under record. They cover the spread 53% of the time.
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The Blue Jays head into this matchup with a 51-40 record, including 24-20 on the road. Starting pitcher Marco Estrada has a 5-3 record with an earned run average of 2.93 and a WHIP of 0.99. He has 99 strikeouts over his 104.1 innings pitched and he has given up 64 hits so far this season. He has allowed 5.5 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.14. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 4.05 and they have given up 244 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .252 against the bullpen while being struck out 243 times and walking 70 times this season. As a team, Toronto has allowed 8.27 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.78 batters per nine. They are 7th in the league in team earned run average at 3.76. The Blue Jays pitchers have collectively given up 757 base hits and 344 earned runs. They have allowed 104 home runs this season and they allow 1.1 homers per nine innings as a staff. Toronto as a pitching staff has walked 255 batters and struck out 712. They walk 2.8 men per 9 innings while striking out 7.8 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.23 and their FIP as a unit is 4.12.
As a team, Toronto is batting .253, good for 16th in the league while putting together a .236 average away from home. The Blue Jays hold a .440 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .334 which is good for 7th in baseball. They rank 17th in baseball with 8.64 hits per game. Josh Donaldson comes into this game hitting .304 and his on-base percentage is at .418. He has 102 hits this season along with 80 runs scored and 63 runs batted in. He's struck out 68 times and has walked 62 times. Edwin Encarnacion is hitting .267 and he has an on-base percentage of .358. He has totaled 89 hits so far while scoring 57 runs and he's driven in 80. He has walked 45 times and has struck out 76 times. The Blue Jays have 786 hits, including 160 doubles and 131 home runs. They've stolen 31 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 14 times. Toronto has walked 347 times this season and they've struck out 760 times as a unit. They've left 631 men on base and have a team OPS of .774. They score 4.91 runs per contest and have scored a total of 447 runs so far this year.
Oakland comes into this matchup with a 17-26 home record and a 38-51 overall mark. With an earned run average of 5.16, Sonny Gray has a 3-8 record and a 1.47 WHIP. He has 72 strikeouts over the 90.2 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 99 hits. He has allowed 9.8 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.5. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 4.30 and they have given up 303 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .254 against the Athletics bullpen while being struck out 288 times and walking 98 times this season. As a team, Oakland has allowed 9.5 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.67 batters per nine. They are 26th in the league in team earned run average at 4.72. The Athletics pitchers as a team have surrendered 830 base knocks and 413 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 105 home runs this year and they give up 1.2 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Oakland as a staff has walked 281 hitters and struck out 670. They give up a walk 3.2 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7.7 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.41 while their FIP as a staff is 4.40.
As a team, they are batting .251, good for 21st in the league while putting together a .241 average at home. The Athletics hold a .397 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .304 which is good for 26th in baseball. They rank 18th in baseball with 8.55 hits per contest. Jed Lowrie comes into this matchup batting .283 and he has an OBP of .336. He has 77 hits this year along with 25 runs scored and 25 RBI. He's struck out 48 times and has walked on 22 occasions. Danny Valencia is hitting .304 and he has an OBP of .356. He has collected 77 hits so far while he's scored 40 runs and drove in 33. He has earned a walk 19 times and has punched out 58 times. The Athletics as a unit have 761 base hits, including 142 doubles and 90 homers. They have 36 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 13 times. Oakland as a team has walked 222 times this year and they have struck out 596 times. They've had 562 men left on base and have an OPS of .701. They score 4.11 runs per game and have totaled 366 runs so far this season.
Toronto Blue Jays Betting Trends
The Toronto Blue Jays are 35-52-4 against the over/under so far this season
The Toronto Blue Jays are 48-43-0 against the run line so far this season
Oakland Athletics Betting Trends
The Oakland Athletics are 43-43-3 against the over/under so far this season
The Oakland Athletics are 47-42-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
Toronto Blue Jays
07/11/16 DH Edwin Encarnacion Suspension Served probable Friday vs. Oakland Athletics
07/07/16 P Marco Estrada Back 15-day DL (7/3)
07/02/16 2B Ryan Goins Forearm 15-day DL (7/2)
06/27/16 P Gavin Floyd Shoulder 15-day DL (6/26)
06/17/16 RF Jose Bautista Toe 15-day DL (6/17)
04/22/16 1B Chris Colabello Suspension expected to miss 80 games
04/10/16 P Franklin Morales Shoulder 60-day DL (4/7)
07/14/16 P Rich Hill Hand has been scratched from next schedule start Friday vs. Toronto Blue Jays
07/04/16 P Fernando Rodriguez Shoulder 15-day DL (7/4)
07/03/16 C Josh Phegley Knee 15-day DL (7/2)
07/01/16 P Sean Doolittle Shoulder 15-day DL (6/26)
05/11/16 P Chris Bassitt Elbow 60-day DL (4/28); out for season
05/11/16 LF Mark Canha Back 60-day DL (5/9), out for season
04/10/16 P Henderson Alvarez Shoulder 60-day DL (4/6)
04/05/16 P Felix Doubront Elbow 60-day DL (4/4); out for season
04/03/16 2B Eric Sogard Shoulder 60-day DL (3/25)
04/01/16 CF Sam Fuld Shoulder 60-day DL (3/25)
03/31/16 P Jarrod Parker Elbow 60-day DL (3/13), out for season
03/31/16 P R.J. Alvarez Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
Tony's Pick: Take the Blue Jays
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