Monday, September 19, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Marco Estrada vs. Taijuan Walker
The Toronto Blue Jays head to Safeco Field on Monday to take on the Seattle Mariners. The probable pitchers are Marco Estrada for the Blue Jays and Taijuan Walker for the Mariners. The opening line for this game has Toronto at +105 and Seattle at -115. The over/under is 8.5. The Blue Jays have a 61-81-6 over/under mark and a 74-74-0 run line record, meaning they cover 50% of the time. The Mariners are 73-75-0 against the run line and have a 74-68-6 over/under record. They cover the spread 49% of the time.
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The Blue Jays head into this game with a 81-67 record, and they are 39-35 on the road. Starting pitcher Marco Estrada has a 8-9 record with an ERA of 3.78 and a WHIP of 1.15. He has 146 strikeouts during his 157 innings pitched and he has given up 123 hits so far this year. He has surrendered 7.1 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.29. The bullpen this season has an earned run average of 4.07 and they have allowed 416 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .250 against the pen while they've been struck out 432 times and walked 124 times this year. As a unit, Toronto has given up 8.39 base hits per nine innings while striking out 8.08 hitters per nine. They are 7th in the Majors in team earned run average at 3.90. The Blue Jays pitchers have collectively given up 1,242 base hits and 578 earned runs. They have allowed 175 home runs this season and they allow 1.2 homers per nine innings as a staff. Toronto as a pitching staff has walked 417 batters and struck out 1,196. They walk 2.8 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.1 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.25 and their FIP as a unit is 4.11.
As a team, Toronto is hitting .249, good for 22nd in the league while putting together a .237 average on the road. The Blue Jays have a .431 team slugging percentage and an OBP of .328 which is good for 7th in the league. They rank 24th in baseball with 8.45 hits per contest. Josh Donaldson comes into this game hitting .287 and his on-base percentage is at .405. He has 151 hits this season along with 114 runs scored and 93 runs batted in. He's struck out 105 times and has walked 99 times. Edwin Encarnacion is hitting .265 and he has an on-base percentage of .354. He has totaled 146 hits so far while scoring 93 runs and he's driven in 118. He has walked 75 times and has struck out 128 times. The Blue Jays have 1,251 hits, including 255 doubles and 208 home runs. They've stolen 46 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 21 times. Toronto has walked 559 times this season and they've struck out 1,247 times as a unit. They've left 1,008 men on base and have a team OPS of .759. They score 4.78 runs per contest and have scored a total of 708 runs so far this year.
Seattle comes into this game with a 40-33 home mark and a 78-70 overall record. With an ERA of 4.28, Taijuan Walker has a 6-10 record and a 1.18 WHIP. He has 103 strikeouts over the 117.2 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 113 hits. He has allowed 8.6 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.91. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 3.78 and they have given up 421 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .233 against the Mariners bullpen while being struck out 495 times and walking 165 times this season. As a team, Seattle has allowed 8.77 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.06 batters per nine. They are 12th in the league in team earned run average at 4.06. The Mariners pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,293 base knocks and 599 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 196 home runs this year and they give up 1.3 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Seattle as a staff has walked 420 hitters and struck out 1,189. They give up a walk 2.8 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.1 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.29 while their FIP as a staff is 4.34.
As a team, they are batting .259, good for 10th in the league while putting together a .258 average at home. The Mariners hold a .431 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .326 which is good for 9th in baseball. They rank 9th in baseball with 8.91 hits per contest. Kyle Seager comes into this matchup batting .287 and he has an OBP of .366. He has 156 hits this year along with 84 runs scored and 93 RBI. He's struck out 94 times and has walked on 62 occasions. Robinson Cano is hitting .294 and he has an OBP of .346. He has collected 176 hits so far while he's scored 95 runs and drove in 87. He has earned a walk 42 times and has punched out 89 times. The Mariners as a unit have 1,318 base hits, including 228 doubles and 204 homers. They have 47 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 28 times. Seattle as a team has walked 458 times this year and they have struck out 1,159 times. They've had 988 men left on base and have an OPS of .758. They score 4.74 runs per game and have totaled 701 runs so far this season.
Toronto Blue Jays Betting Trends
The Toronto Blue Jays are 61-81-6 against the over/under so far this season
The Toronto Blue Jays are 74-74-0 against the run line so far this season
Seattle Mariners Betting Trends
The Seattle Mariners are 74-68-6 against the over/under so far this season
The Seattle Mariners are 73-75-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
Toronto Blue Jays
06/27/16 P Gavin Floyd Shoulder 60-day DL (6/26)
09/13/16 1B Adam Lind Finger out indefinitely
07/30/16 P Nathan Karns Back 60-day DL (7/30)
06/30/16 C Steve Clevenger Hand 60-day DL (6/29)
06/25/16 P Adrian Sampson Elbow 60-day DL (6/24)
04/04/16 P Charlie Furbush Bicep 60-day DL (3/25)
03/30/16 P Ryan Cook Shoulder 60-day DL (3/12)
Tony's Pick: Take the Mariners
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