Wednesday, September 21, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Aaron Sanchez vs. Felix Hernandez
The Toronto Blue Jays visit Safeco Field on Wednesday to play the Seattle Mariners. The probable starters are Aaron Sanchez for the Blue Jays and Felix Hernandez for the Mariners. The opening line for this matchup has Toronto at +100 and Seattle at -110. The over/under was set at 8. The Blue Jays have a 61-83-6 over/under record and a 74-76-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 49% of the time. The Mariners are 75-75-0 against the run line and have a 75-69-6 over/under record. They cover the spread 50% of the time.
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The Blue Jays head into this matchup with a 82-68 record, including 40-36 on the road. Starting pitcher Aaron Sanchez has a 13-2 record with an earned run average of 3.17 and a WHIP of 1.19. He has 140 strikeouts over his 173 innings pitched and he has given up 150 hits so far this season. He has allowed 7.8 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.59. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 4.12 and they have given up 421 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .250 against the bullpen while being struck out 437 times and walking 128 times this season. As a team, Toronto has allowed 8.37 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.08 batters per nine. They are 7th in the league in team earned run average at 3.89. The Blue Jays pitchers have collectively given up 1,255 base hits and 584 earned runs. They have allowed 176 home runs this season and they allow 1.2 homers per nine innings as a staff. Toronto as a pitching staff has walked 426 batters and struck out 1,212. They walk 2.8 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.1 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.25 and their FIP as a unit is 4.10.
As a team, Toronto is batting .248, good for 22nd in the league while putting together a .236 average away from home. The Blue Jays hold a .429 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .328 which is good for 8th in baseball. They rank 24th in baseball with 8.42 hits per game. Edwin Encarnacion comes into this game hitting .266 and his on-base percentage is at .354. He has 149 hits this season along with 94 runs scored and 120 runs batted in. He's struck out 131 times and has walked 75 times. Josh Donaldson is hitting .283 and he has an on-base percentage of .401. He has totaled 151 hits so far while scoring 114 runs and he's driven in 93. He has walked 100 times and has struck out 109 times. The Blue Jays have 1,263 hits, including 258 doubles and 209 home runs. They've stolen 50 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 21 times. Toronto has walked 569 times this season and they've struck out 1,271 times as a unit. They've left 1,024 men on base and have a team OPS of .757. They score 4.74 runs per contest and have scored a total of 711 runs so far this year.
Seattle comes into this matchup with a 41-34 home record and a 79-71 overall mark. With an earned run average of 3.79, Felix Hernandez has a 11-6 record and a 1.32 WHIP. He has 112 strikeouts over the 137.2 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 121 hits. He has allowed 7.9 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.71. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 3.75 and they have given up 426 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .233 against the Mariners bullpen while being struck out 501 times and walking 167 times this season. As a team, Seattle has allowed 8.74 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.09 batters per nine. They are 11th in the league in team earned run average at 4.05. The Mariners pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,306 base knocks and 605 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 199 home runs this year and they give up 1.3 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Seattle as a staff has walked 427 hitters and struck out 1,209. They give up a walk 2.9 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.1 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.29 while their FIP as a staff is 4.33.
As a team, they are batting .259, good for 10th in the league while putting together a .257 average at home. The Mariners hold a .431 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .326 which is good for 9th in baseball. They rank 9th in baseball with 8.89 hits per contest. Robinson Cano comes into this matchup batting .293 and he has an OBP of .344. He has 177 hits this year along with 95 runs scored and 87 RBI. He's struck out 90 times and has walked on 43 occasions. Kyle Seager is hitting .286 and he has an OBP of .367. He has collected 157 hits so far while he's scored 84 runs and drove in 95. He has earned a walk 63 times and has punched out 94 times. The Mariners as a unit have 1,333 base hits, including 231 doubles and 207 homers. They have 47 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 28 times. Seattle as a team has walked 466 times this year and they have struck out 1,175 times. They've had 1,001 men left on base and have an OPS of .757. They score 4.73 runs per game and have totaled 710 runs so far this season.
Toronto Blue Jays Betting Trends
The Toronto Blue Jays are 61-83-6 against the over/under so far this season
The Toronto Blue Jays are 74-76-0 against the run line so far this season
Seattle Mariners Betting Trends
The Seattle Mariners are 75-69-6 against the over/under so far this season
The Seattle Mariners are 75-75-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
Toronto Blue Jays
06/27/16 P Gavin Floyd Shoulder 60-day DL (6/26)
07/30/16 P Nathan Karns Back 60-day DL (7/30)
06/30/16 C Steve Clevenger Hand 60-day DL (6/29)
06/25/16 P Adrian Sampson Elbow 60-day DL (6/24)
04/04/16 P Charlie Furbush Bicep 60-day DL (3/25)
03/30/16 P Ryan Cook Shoulder 60-day DL (3/12)
Tony's Pick: Take the Blue Jays
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