Sunday, September 4, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: J.A. Happ vs. Chris Archer
The Toronto Blue Jays head to Tropicana Field on Sunday to take on the Tampa Bay Rays. The probable pitchers are J.A. Happ for the Blue Jays and Chris Archer for the Rays. The opening line for this game has Toronto at -118 and Tampa Bay at +108. The over/under is 7.5. The Blue Jays have a 54-74-6 over/under mark and a 71-63-0 run line record, meaning they cover 53% of the time. The Rays are 60-73-0 against the run line and have a 64-62-7 over/under record. They cover the spread 45% of the time.
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The Blue Jays head into this game with a 76-58 record, and they are 36-30 on the road. Starting pitcher J.A. Happ has a 17-4 record with an ERA of 3.23 and a WHIP of 1.15. He has 142 strikeouts during his 161.2 innings pitched and he has given up 139 hits so far this year. He has surrendered 7.7 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.95. The bullpen this season has an earned run average of 4.00 and they have allowed 366 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .250 against the pen while they've been struck out 377 times and walked 107 times this year. As a unit, Toronto has given up 8.3 base hits per nine innings while striking out 8 hitters per nine. They are 6th in the Majors in team earned run average at 3.81. The Blue Jays pitchers have collectively given up 1,118 base hits and 513 earned runs. They have allowed 155 home runs this season and they allow 1.2 homers per nine innings as a staff. Toronto as a pitching staff has walked 370 batters and struck out 1,078. They walk 2.7 men per 9 innings while striking out 8 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.23 and their FIP as a unit is 4.07.
As a team, Toronto is hitting .250, good for 21st in the league while putting together a .234 average on the road. The Blue Jays have a .438 team slugging percentage and an OBP of .328 which is good for 7th in the league. They rank 21st in baseball with 8.51 hits per contest. Edwin Encarnacion comes into this game hitting .265 and his on-base percentage is at .358. He has 131 hits this season along with 84 runs scored and 107 runs batted in. He's struck out 116 times and has walked 70 times. Josh Donaldson is hitting .297 and he has an on-base percentage of .408. He has totaled 146 hits so far while scoring 108 runs and he's driven in 92. He has walked 86 times and has struck out 95 times. The Blue Jays have 1,141 hits, including 237 doubles and 196 home runs. They've stolen 41 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 19 times. Toronto has walked 499 times this season and they've struck out 1,134 times as a unit. They've left 902 men on base and have a team OPS of .767. They score 4.9 runs per contest and have scored a total of 656 runs so far this year.
Tampa Bay comes into this game with a 33-37 home mark and a 57-76 overall record. With an ERA of 4.10, Chris Archer has a 8-17 record and a 1.27 WHIP. He has 202 strikeouts over the 169 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 154 hits. He has allowed 8.2 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.72. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 4.14 and they have given up 398 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .256 against the Rays bullpen while being struck out 377 times and walking 147 times this season. As a team, Tampa Bay has allowed 8.76 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.73 batters per nine. They are 14th in the league in team earned run average at 4.14. The Rays pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,142 base knocks and 539 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 170 home runs this year and they give up 1.3 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Tampa Bay as a staff has walked 396 hitters and struck out 1,137. They give up a walk 3 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.7 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.31 while their FIP as a staff is 4.18.
As a team, they are batting .243, good for 26th in the league while putting together a .234 average at home. The Rays hold a .429 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .310 which is good for 27th in baseball. They rank 26th in baseball with 8.21 hits per contest. Logan Forsythe comes into this matchup batting .276 and he has an OBP of .345. He has 110 hits this year along with 63 runs scored and 46 RBI. He's struck out 94 times and has walked on 37 occasions. Evan Longoria is hitting .282 and he has an OBP of .332. He has collected 146 hits so far while he's scored 69 runs and drove in 83. He has earned a walk 39 times and has punched out 121 times. The Rays as a unit have 1,092 base hits, including 238 doubles and 179 homers. They have 48 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 32 times. Tampa Bay as a team has walked 387 times this year and they have struck out 1,198 times. They've had 871 men left on base and have an OPS of .739. They score 4.23 runs per game and have totaled 563 runs so far this season.
Toronto Blue Jays Betting Trends
The Toronto Blue Jays are 54-74-6 against the over/under so far this season
The Toronto Blue Jays are 71-63-0 against the run line so far this season
Tampa Bay Rays Betting Trends
The Tampa Bay Rays are 64-62-7 against the over/under so far this season
The Tampa Bay Rays are 60-73-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
Toronto Blue Jays
06/27/16 P Gavin Floyd Shoulder 60-day DL (6/26)
Tampa Bay Rays
09/03/16 P Blake Snell Foot is upgraded to expected to start Saturday vs. Toronto Blue Jays
08/07/16 LF Desmond Jennings Knee 15-day DL (8/3); out for season
08/07/16 P Enny Romero Back 15-day DL (8/4)
Guy's Pick: Take the Rays
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