Monday, August 22, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Stephen Strasburg vs. Dylan Bundy
The Washington Nationals visit Oriole Park on Monday to play the Baltimore Orioles. The probable starters are Stephen Strasburg for the Nationals and Dylan Bundy for the Orioles. The opening line for this matchup has Washington at -118 and Baltimore at +108. The over/under was set at 8.5. The Nationals have a 60-55-7 over/under record and a 63-59-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 52% of the time. The Orioles are 63-59-0 against the run line and have a 56-63-3 over/under record. They cover the spread 52% of the time.
The Nationals head into this matchup with a 73-49 record, including 37-26 on the road. Starting pitcher Stephen Strasburg has a 15-4 record with an earned run average of 3.59 and a WHIP of 1.11. He has 179 strikeouts over his 145.1 innings pitched and he has given up 117 hits so far this season. He has allowed 7.2 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 2.98. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 3.18 and they have given up 306 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .232 against the bullpen while being struck out 355 times and walking 119 times this season. As a team, Washington has allowed 7.75 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.14 batters per nine. They are 2nd in the league in team earned run average at 3.38. The Nationals pitchers have collectively given up 952 base hits and 415 earned runs. They have allowed 113 home runs this season and they allow 0.9 homers per nine innings as a staff. Washington as a pitching staff has walked 351 batters and struck out 1,123. They walk 2.9 men per 9 innings while striking out 9.1 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.18 and their FIP as a unit is 3.50.
As a team, Washington is batting .256, good for 16th in the league while putting together a .261 average away from home. The Nationals hold a .433 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .328 which is good for 7th in baseball. They rank 17th in baseball with 8.71 hits per game. Daniel Murphy comes into this game hitting .348 and his on-base percentage is at .391. He has 150 hits this season along with 74 runs scored and 88 runs batted in. He's struck out 48 times and has walked 28 times. Wilson Ramos is hitting .324 and he has an on-base percentage of .371. He has totaled 122 hits so far while scoring 53 runs and he's driven in 67. He has walked 30 times and has struck out 54 times. The Nationals have 1,063 hits, including 205 doubles and 162 home runs. They've stolen 83 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 29 times. Washington has walked 426 times this season and they've struck out 923 times as a unit. They've left 843 men on base and have a team OPS of .761. They score 4.87 runs per contest and have scored a total of 594 runs so far this year.
Baltimore comes into this matchup with a 40-21 home record and a 67-55 overall mark. With an earned run average of 3.36, Dylan Bundy has a 6-4 record and a 1.29 WHIP. He has 70 strikeouts over the 75 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 75 hits. He has allowed 9 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.23. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 3.41 and they have given up 372 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .237 against the Orioles bullpen while being struck out 381 times and walking 172 times this season. As a team, Baltimore has allowed 8.97 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.72 batters per nine. They are 21st in the league in team earned run average at 4.39. The Orioles pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,073 base knocks and 525 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 141 home runs this year and they give up 1.2 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Baltimore as a staff has walked 431 hitters and struck out 924. They give up a walk 3.6 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7.7 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.40 while their FIP as a staff is 4.43.
As a team, they are batting .263, good for 9th in the league while putting together a .271 average at home. The Orioles hold a .451 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .322 which is good for 17th in baseball. They rank 9th in baseball with 9 hits per contest. Manny Machado comes into this matchup batting .303 and he has an OBP of .359. He has 144 hits this year along with 84 runs scored and 74 RBI. He's struck out 88 times and has walked on 41 occasions. Adam Jones is hitting .274 and he has an OBP of .317. He has collected 130 hits so far while he's scored 72 runs and drove in 72. He has earned a walk 30 times and has punched out 88 times. The Orioles as a unit have 1,097 base hits, including 209 doubles and 190 homers. They have 14 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 9 times. Baltimore as a team has walked 349 times this year and they have struck out 1,005 times. They've had 800 men left on base and have an OPS of .773. They score 4.72 runs per game and have totaled 576 runs so far this season.
Washington Nationals Betting Trends
The Washington Nationals are 60-55-7 against the over/under so far this season
The Washington Nationals are 63-59-0 against the run line so far this season
Baltimore Orioles Betting Trends
The Baltimore Orioles are 56-63-3 against the over/under so far this season
The Baltimore Orioles are 63-59-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
08/18/16 P Sammy Solis Shoulder 15-day DL (8/16)
07/27/16 2B Stephen Drew Vertigo 15-day DL (7/24)
07/03/16 P Joe Ross Shoulder 15-day DL (7/3)
03/31/16 P Aaron Barrett Elbow 60-day DL (4/1)
08/21/16 C Matt Wieters Personal doubtful Sunday vs. Houston Astros
08/19/16 P Dylan Bundy Ankle "?" for next scheduled start
08/13/16 P Darren O'Day Shoulder 15-day DL (8/12)
07/22/16 RF Joey Rickard Thumb 15-day DL (7/21)
07/01/16 P T.J. McFarland Knee 15-day DL (6/29)
06/21/16 P Brian Duensing Elbow 15-day DL (6/20)
Guy's Pick: Take the Nationals
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