Tuesday, April 19, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Stephen Strasburg vs. Adam Conley
The Washington Nationals visit Marlins Park on Tuesday to play the Miami Marlins. The probable starters are Stephen Strasburg for the Nationals and Adam Conley for the Marlins. The opening line for this matchup has Washington at -143 and Miami at +133. The over/under was set at 7.5. The Nationals have a 5-5-1 over/under record and a 7-4-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 64% of the time. The Marlins are 5-5-0 against the run line and have a 7-3-0 over/under record. They cover the spread 50% of the time.
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The Nationals head into this matchup with a 9-2 record, including 4-1 on the road. Starting pitcher Stephen Strasburg has a 2-0 record with an earned run average of 1.98 and a WHIP of 1.10. He has 11 strikeouts over his 13.2 innings pitched and he has given up 10 hits so far this season. He has allowed 6.6 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 2.59. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 2.54 and they have given up 22 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .214 against the bullpen while being struck out 28 times and walking 8 times this season. As a team, Washington has allowed 6.62 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.87 batters per nine. They are 1st in the league in team earned run average at 2.06. The Nationals pitchers have collectively given up 74 base hits and 23 earned runs. They have allowed 6 home runs this season and they allow 0.5 homers per nine innings as a staff. Washington as a pitching staff has walked 32 batters and struck out 88. They walk 2.9 men per 9 innings while striking out 7.9 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.05 and their FIP as a unit is 3.15.
As a team, Washington is batting .256, good for 10th in the league while putting together a .264 average away from home. The Nationals hold a .431 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .328 which is good for 10th in baseball. They rank 11th in baseball with 8.55 hits per game. Bryce Harper comes into this game hitting .359 and his on-base percentage is at .458. He has 14 hits this season along with 10 runs scored and 15 runs batted in. He's struck out 4 times and has walked 8 times. Yunel Escobar is hitting .327 and he has an on-base percentage of .411. He has totaled 16 hits so far while scoring 6 runs and he's driven in 5. He has walked 7 times and has struck out 3 times. The Nationals have 94 hits, including 21 doubles and 13 home runs. They've stolen 6 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 2 times. Washington has walked 41 times this season and they've struck out 92 times as a unit. They've left 75 men on base and have a team OPS of .758. They score 4.64 runs per contest and have scored a total of 51 runs so far this year.
Miami comes into this matchup with a 0-5 home record and a 3-7 overall mark. With an earned run average of 3.86, Adam Conley has a 0-0 record and a 1.29 WHIP. He has 11 strikeouts over the 7 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 6 hits. He has allowed 7.7 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 1.25. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 3.24 and they have given up 35 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .229 against the Marlins bullpen while being struck out 37 times and walking 19 times this season. As a team, Miami has allowed 8.6 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.8 batters per nine. They are 22nd in the league in team earned run average at 4.45. The Marlins pitchers as a team have surrendered 87 base knocks and 45 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 6 home runs this year and they give up 0.6 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Miami as a staff has walked 42 hitters and struck out 89. They give up a walk 4.2 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.8 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.42 while their FIP as a staff is 3.49.
As a team, they are batting .274, good for 6th in the league while putting together a .258 average at home. The Marlins hold a .399 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .342 which is good for 5th in baseball. They rank 6th in baseball with 9.8 hits per contest. Dee Gordon comes into this matchup batting .300 and he has an OBP of .314. He has 15 hits this year along with 7 runs scored and 4 RBI. He's struck out 8 times and has walked on 1 occasions. Giancarlo Stanton is hitting .205 and he has an OBP of .319. He has collected 8 hits so far while he's scored 5 runs and drove in 8. He has earned a walk 6 times and has punched out 15 times. The Marlins as a unit have 98 base hits, including 21 doubles and 6 homers. They have 6 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 3 times. Miami as a team has walked 38 times this year and they have struck out 87 times. They've had 85 men left on base and have an OPS of .741. They score 4.3 runs per game and have totaled 43 runs so far this season.
Washington Nationals Betting Trends
The Washington Nationals are 5-5-1 against the over/under so far this season
The Washington Nationals are 7-4-0 against the run line so far this season
Miami Marlins Betting Trends
The Miami Marlins are 7-3-0 against the over/under so far this season
The Miami Marlins are 5-5-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
04/07/16 LF Ben Revere Oblique 15-day DL (4/5)
03/31/16 P Aaron Barrett Elbow 60-day DL (4/1)
04/04/16 P Raudel Lazo Shoulder 15-day DL (3/25)
04/03/16 P Carter Capps Arm 60-day DL; out for season
04/03/16 P Mike Dunn Forearm 15-day DL (3/25)
Josh's Pick: Take the Nationals
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