Saturday, May 21, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Joe Ross vs. Jose Fernandez
The Washington Nationals visit Marlins Park on Saturday to play the Miami Marlins. The probable starters are Joe Ross for the Nationals and Jose Fernandez for the Marlins. The opening line for this matchup has Washington at +144 and Miami at -154. The over/under was set at 7. The Nationals have a 17-19-5 over/under record and a 21-20-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 51% of the time. The Marlins are 21-19-0 against the run line and have a 21-18-1 over/under record. They cover the spread 53% of the time.
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The Nationals head into this matchup with a 25-16 record, including 13-9 on the road. Starting pitcher Joe Ross has a 3-3 record with an earned run average of 2.63 and a WHIP of 1.17. He has 30 strikeouts over his 41 innings pitched and he has given up 35 hits so far this season. He has allowed 7.7 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.37. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 2.70 and they have given up 91 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .216 against the bullpen while being struck out 119 times and walking 38 times this season. As a team, Washington has allowed 7.37 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.27 batters per nine. They are 2nd in the league in team earned run average at 2.86. The Nationals pitchers have collectively given up 307 base hits and 119 earned runs. They have allowed 33 home runs this season and they allow 0.8 homers per nine innings as a staff. Washington as a pitching staff has walked 118 batters and struck out 386. They walk 2.8 men per 9 innings while striking out 9.3 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.13 and their FIP as a unit is 3.24.
As a team, Washington is batting .242, good for 20th in the league while putting together a .243 average away from home. The Nationals hold a .401 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .323 which is good for 12th in baseball. They rank 19th in baseball with 8.17 hits per game. Bryce Harper comes into this game hitting .254 and his on-base percentage is at .450. He has 31 hits this season along with 26 runs scored and 29 runs batted in. He's struck out 33 times and has walked 45 times. Daniel Murphy is hitting .397 and he has an on-base percentage of .429. He has totaled 60 hits so far while scoring 24 runs and he's driven in 27. He has walked 9 times and has struck out 17 times. The Nationals have 335 hits, including 65 doubles and 48 home runs. They've stolen 22 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 9 times. Washington has walked 159 times this season and they've struck out 331 times as a unit. They've left 299 men on base and have a team OPS of .725. They score 4.32 runs per contest and have scored a total of 177 runs so far this year.
Miami comes into this matchup with a 8-10 home record and a 21-19 overall mark. With an earned run average of 3.21, Jose Fernandez has a 5-2 record and a 1.26 WHIP. He has 69 strikeouts over the 47.2 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 37 hits. He has allowed 7 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 2.59. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 3.63 and they have given up 122 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .243 against the Marlins bullpen while being struck out 124 times and walking 59 times this season. As a team, Miami has allowed 8.44 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.19 batters per nine. They are 16th in the league in team earned run average at 3.92. The Marlins pitchers as a team have surrendered 332 base knocks and 154 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 29 home runs this year and they give up 0.7 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Miami as a staff has walked 161 hitters and struck out 322. They give up a walk 4.1 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.2 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.39 while their FIP as a staff is 3.83.
As a team, they are batting .272, good for 4th in the league while putting together a .261 average at home. The Marlins hold a .419 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .333 which is good for 6th in baseball. They rank 6th in baseball with 9.32 hits per contest. Giancarlo Stanton comes into this matchup batting .221 and he has an OBP of .335. He has 30 hits this year along with 20 runs scored and 25 RBI. He's struck out 52 times and has walked on 23 occasions. Christian Yelich is hitting .322 and he has an OBP of .424. He has collected 46 hits so far while he's scored 24 runs and drove in 20. He has earned a walk 24 times and has punched out 29 times. The Marlins as a unit have 373 base hits, including 70 doubles and 37 homers. They have 13 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 7 times. Miami as a team has walked 121 times this year and they have struck out 308 times. They've had 302 men left on base and have an OPS of .752. They score 4.05 runs per game and have totaled 162 runs so far this season.
Washington Nationals Betting Trends
The Washington Nationals are 17-19-5 against the over/under so far this season
The Washington Nationals are 21-20-0 against the run line so far this season
Miami Marlins Betting Trends
The Miami Marlins are 21-18-1 against the over/under so far this season
The Miami Marlins are 21-19-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
04/28/16 P Matt Belisle Calf 15-day DL (4/27)
03/31/16 P Aaron Barrett Elbow 60-day DL (4/1)
05/15/16 P Kendry Flores Shoulder 15-day DL (5/15)
04/29/16 2B Dee Gordon Suspension expected to miss 80 games
04/20/16 P Edwin Jackson Tricep 15-day DL (4/18)
04/04/16 P Raudel Lazo Shoulder 15-day DL (3/25)
04/03/16 P Carter Capps Arm 60-day DL; out for season
04/03/16 P Mike Dunn Forearm 15-day DL (3/25)
Guy's Pick: Take the Nationals
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