Wednesday, September 21, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Max Scherzer vs. Tom Koehler
The Washington Nationals visit Marlins Park on Wednesday to play the Miami Marlins. The probable starters are Max Scherzer for the Nationals and Tom Koehler for the Marlins. The opening line for this matchup has Washington at -179 and Miami at +169. The over/under was set at 7. The Nationals have a 69-73-8 over/under record and a 75-75-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 50% of the time. The Marlins are 72-78-0 against the run line and have a 74-71-5 over/under record. They cover the spread 48% of the time.
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The Nationals head into this matchup with a 88-62 record, including 42-34 on the road. Starting pitcher Max Scherzer has a 17-7 record with an earned run average of 2.78 and a WHIP of 0.93. He has 259 strikeouts over his 210.2 innings pitched and he has given up 146 hits so far this season. He has allowed 6.2 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.08. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 3.30 and they have given up 389 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .231 against the bullpen while being struck out 444 times and walking 149 times this season. As a team, Washington has allowed 7.81 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.09 batters per nine. They are 2nd in the league in team earned run average at 3.44. The Nationals pitchers have collectively given up 1,175 base hits and 518 earned runs. They have allowed 140 home runs this season and they allow 0.9 homers per nine innings as a staff. Washington as a pitching staff has walked 427 batters and struck out 1,368. They walk 2.8 men per 9 innings while striking out 9.1 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.18 and their FIP as a unit is 3.53.
As a team, Washington is batting .256, good for 15th in the league while putting together a .258 average away from home. The Nationals hold a .427 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .325 which is good for 10th in baseball. They rank 17th in baseball with 8.7 hits per game. Daniel Murphy comes into this game hitting .348 and his on-base percentage is at .391. He has 184 hits this season along with 88 runs scored and 104 runs batted in. He's struck out 57 times and has walked 35 times. Wilson Ramos is hitting .304 and he has an on-base percentage of .353. He has totaled 140 hits so far while scoring 55 runs and he's driven in 78. He has walked 35 times and has struck out 72 times. The Nationals have 1,305 hits, including 251 doubles and 191 home runs. They've stolen 110 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 35 times. Washington has walked 495 times this season and they've struck out 1,141 times as a unit. They've left 1,029 men on base and have a team OPS of .753. They score 4.7 runs per contest and have scored a total of 705 runs so far this year.
Miami comes into this matchup with a 37-35 home record and a 75-75 overall mark. With an earned run average of 3.96, Tom Koehler has a 9-11 record and a 1.42 WHIP. He has 138 strikeouts over the 166 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 165 hits. He has allowed 8.9 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.33. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 3.58 and they have given up 444 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .231 against the Marlins bullpen while being struck out 520 times and walking 238 times this season. As a team, Miami has allowed 8.49 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.64 batters per nine. They are 8th in the league in team earned run average at 3.98. The Marlins pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,262 base knocks and 592 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 139 home runs this year and they give up 0.9 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Miami as a staff has walked 549 hitters and struck out 1,284. They give up a walk 3.7 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.6 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.35 while their FIP as a staff is 3.93.
As a team, they are batting .266, good for 3rd in the league while putting together a .255 average at home. The Marlins hold a .397 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .324 which is good for 13th in baseball. They rank 4th in baseball with 9.19 hits per contest. Martin Prado comes into this matchup batting .311 and he has an OBP of .366. He has 176 hits this year along with 68 runs scored and 70 RBI. He's struck out 65 times and has walked on 48 occasions. Christian Yelich is hitting .299 and he has an OBP of .375. He has collected 162 hits so far while he's scored 73 runs and drove in 94. He has earned a walk 64 times and has punched out 133 times. The Marlins as a unit have 1,378 base hits, including 249 doubles and 118 homers. They have 61 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 24 times. Miami as a team has walked 411 times this year and they have struck out 1,133 times. They've had 1,096 men left on base and have an OPS of .720. They score 4.1 runs per game and have totaled 615 runs so far this season.
Washington Nationals Betting Trends
The Washington Nationals are 69-73-8 against the over/under so far this season
The Washington Nationals are 75-75-0 against the run line so far this season
Miami Marlins Betting Trends
The Miami Marlins are 74-71-5 against the over/under so far this season
The Miami Marlins are 72-78-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
09/19/16 2B Daniel Murphy Leg "?" Tuesday vs. Miami Marlins
09/12/16 P Mat Latos Hamstring "?" for next scheduled start
09/09/16 P Stephen Strasburg Elbow out indefinitely
08/18/16 P Sammy Solis Shoulder 15-day DL (8/16)
03/31/16 P Aaron Barrett Elbow 60-day DL (4/1)
08/14/16 P Adam Conley Finger 15-day DL (8/14)
07/01/16 P Bryan Morris Back 60-day DL (5/25)
05/15/16 P Kendry Flores Shoulder 15-day DL (5/15)
04/04/16 P Raudel Lazo Shoulder 15-day DL (3/25)
Tony's Pick: Take the Nationals
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