Saturday, June 25, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Gio Gonzalez vs. Matt Garza
The Washington Nationals head to Miller Park on Saturday to take on the Milwaukee Brewers. The probable pitchers are Gio Gonzalez for the Nationals and Matt Garza for the Brewers. The opening line for this game has Washington at -133 and Milwaukee at +123. The over/under is 9. The Nationals have a 36-31-6 over/under mark and a 38-35-0 run line record, meaning they cover 52% of the time. The Brewers are 35-37-0 against the run line and have a 36-32-4 over/under record. They cover the spread 49% of the time.
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The Nationals head into this game with a 43-30 record, and they are 23-18 on the road. Starting pitcher Gio Gonzalez has a 3-6 record with an ERA of 4.25 and a WHIP of 1.33. He has 83 strikeouts during his 82.2 innings pitched and he has given up 83 hits so far this year. He has surrendered 9 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.5. The bullpen this season has an earned run average of 3.29 and they have allowed 159 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .221 against the pen while they've been struck out 208 times and walked 69 times this year. As a unit, Washington has given up 7.58 base hits per nine innings while striking out 9.51 hitters per nine. They are 4th in the Majors in team earned run average at 3.33. The Nationals pitchers have collectively given up 553 base hits and 243 earned runs. They have allowed 71 home runs this season and they allow 1.1 homers per nine innings as a staff. Washington as a pitching staff has walked 202 batters and struck out 694. They walk 2.8 men per 9 innings while striking out 9.5 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.15 and their FIP as a unit is 3.44.
As a team, Washington is hitting .252, good for 16th in the league while putting together a .254 average on the road. The Nationals have a .426 team slugging percentage and an OBP of .322 which is good for 15th in the league. They rank 16th in baseball with 8.52 hits per contest. Bryce Harper comes into this game hitting .252 and his on-base percentage is at .397. He has 58 hits this season along with 42 runs scored and 43 runs batted in. He's struck out 51 times and has walked 57 times. Daniel Murphy is hitting .347 and he has an on-base percentage of .390. He has totaled 93 hits so far while scoring 40 runs and he's driven in 46. He has walked 16 times and has struck out 30 times. The Nationals have 622 hits, including 116 doubles and 99 home runs. They've stolen 40 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 20 times. Washington has walked 247 times this season and they've struck out 566 times as a unit. They've left 495 men on base and have a team OPS of .748. They score 4.53 runs per contest and have scored a total of 331 runs so far this year.
Milwaukee comes into this game with a 19-17 home mark and a 32-40 overall record. With an ERA of 0.90, Matt Garza has a 0-0 record and a 1.40 WHIP. He has 7 strikeouts over the 10 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 13 hits. He has allowed 11.7 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 2.32. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 4.20 and they have given up 252 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .264 against the Brewers bullpen while being struck out 226 times and walking 106 times this season. As a team, Milwaukee has allowed 9.35 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.46 batters per nine. They are 24th in the league in team earned run average at 4.53. The Brewers pitchers as a team have surrendered 664 base knocks and 322 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 94 home runs this year and they give up 1.3 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Milwaukee as a staff has walked 246 hitters and struck out 530. They give up a walk 3.5 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7.5 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.42 while their FIP as a staff is 4.69.
As a team, they are batting .248, good for 18th in the league while putting together a .255 average at home. The Brewers hold a .397 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .326 which is good for 12th in baseball. They rank 24th in baseball with 8.17 hits per contest. Ryan Braun comes into this matchup batting .320 and he has an OBP of .378. He has 74 hits this year along with 30 runs scored and 38 RBI. He's struck out 42 times and has walked on 21 occasions. Jonathan Lucroy is hitting .305 and he has an OBP of .363. He has collected 74 hits so far while he's scored 36 runs and drove in 35. He has earned a walk 23 times and has punched out 48 times. The Brewers as a unit have 588 base hits, including 114 doubles and 76 homers. They have 63 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 24 times. Milwaukee as a team has walked 273 times this year and they have struck out 684 times. They've had 496 men left on base and have an OPS of .723. They score 4.04 runs per game and have totaled 291 runs so far this season.
Washington Nationals Betting Trends
The Washington Nationals are 36-31-6 against the over/under so far this season
The Washington Nationals are 38-35-0 against the run line so far this season
Milwaukee Brewers Betting Trends
The Milwaukee Brewers are 36-32-4 against the over/under so far this season
The Milwaukee Brewers are 35-37-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
06/20/16 P Stephen Strasburg Back "?" for next scheduled start Sunday vs. Milwaukee Brewers
06/14/16 P Jonathan Papelbon Side 15-day DL (6/13)
03/31/16 P Aaron Barrett Elbow 60-day DL (4/1)
06/23/16 P Jeremy Jeffress Eye "?" Friday vs. Washington Nationals
06/22/16 3B Hernan Perez Personal out indefinitely
06/10/16 RF Domingo Santana Elbow 15-day DL (6/8)
05/27/16 P Chris Capuano Elbow 15-day DL (4/2)
04/04/16 LF Rymer Liriano Facial 60-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Zach Jones Shoulder 60-day DL (3/31)
04/02/16 P Yhonathan Barrios Shoulder 60-day DL (3/25)
04/01/16 P Sean Nolin Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
Tony's Pick: Take the Brewers
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