Sunday, June 26, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Stephen Strasburg vs. Jimmy Nelson
The Washington Nationals visit Miller Park on Sunday to play the Milwaukee Brewers. The probable starters are Stephen Strasburg for the Nationals and Jimmy Nelson for the Brewers. The opening line for this matchup has Washington at -172 and Milwaukee at +162. The over/under was set at 8. The Nationals have a 37-31-6 over/under record and a 38-36-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 51% of the time. The Brewers are 36-37-0 against the run line and have a 37-32-4 over/under record. They cover the spread 49% of the time.
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The Nationals head into this matchup with a 43-31 record, including 23-19 on the road. Starting pitcher Stephen Strasburg has a 10-0 record with an earned run average of 2.90 and a WHIP of 1.07. He has 118 strikeouts over his 93 innings pitched and he has given up 75 hits so far this season. He has allowed 7.3 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 2.83. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 3.26 and they have given up 159 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .219 against the bullpen while being struck out 211 times and walking 69 times this season. As a team, Washington has allowed 7.55 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.57 batters per nine. They are 3rd in the league in team earned run average at 3.36. The Nationals pitchers have collectively given up 558 base hits and 248 earned runs. They have allowed 73 home runs this season and they allow 1.1 homers per nine innings as a staff. Washington as a pitching staff has walked 205 batters and struck out 707. They walk 2.8 men per 9 innings while striking out 9.6 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.15 and their FIP as a unit is 3.46.
As a team, Washington is batting .251, good for 16th in the league while putting together a .253 average away from home. The Nationals hold a .424 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .323 which is good for 15th in baseball. They rank 17th in baseball with 8.53 hits per game. Bryce Harper comes into this game hitting .252 and his on-base percentage is at .397. He has 59 hits this season along with 43 runs scored and 43 runs batted in. He's struck out 52 times and has walked 58 times. Daniel Murphy is hitting .349 and he has an on-base percentage of .393. He has totaled 95 hits so far while scoring 41 runs and he's driven in 48. He has walked 16 times and has struck out 31 times. The Nationals have 631 hits, including 119 doubles and 99 home runs. They've stolen 40 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 20 times. Washington has walked 249 times this season and they've struck out 582 times as a unit. They've left 506 men on base and have a team OPS of .747. They score 4.51 runs per contest and have scored a total of 334 runs so far this year.
Milwaukee comes into this matchup with a 20-17 home record and a 33-40 overall mark. With an earned run average of 3.80, Jimmy Nelson has a 5-6 record and a 1.36 WHIP. He has 69 strikeouts over the 90 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 85 hits. He has allowed 8.5 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.87. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 4.14 and they have given up 254 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .262 against the Brewers bullpen while being struck out 233 times and walking 107 times this season. As a team, Milwaukee has allowed 9.34 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.58 batters per nine. They are 24th in the league in team earned run average at 4.51. The Brewers pitchers as a team have surrendered 673 base knocks and 325 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 94 home runs this year and they give up 1.3 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Milwaukee as a staff has walked 248 hitters and struck out 546. They give up a walk 3.4 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7.6 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.42 while their FIP as a staff is 4.65.
As a team, they are batting .247, good for 19th in the league while putting together a .253 average at home. The Brewers hold a .397 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .325 which is good for 14th in baseball. They rank 24th in baseball with 8.12 hits per contest. Ryan Braun comes into this matchup batting .320 and he has an OBP of .378. He has 74 hits this year along with 30 runs scored and 38 RBI. He's struck out 42 times and has walked on 21 occasions. Jonathan Lucroy is hitting .301 and he has an OBP of .361. He has collected 74 hits so far while he's scored 37 runs and drove in 35. He has earned a walk 24 times and has punched out 48 times. The Brewers as a unit have 593 base hits, including 114 doubles and 78 homers. They have 63 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 24 times. Milwaukee as a team has walked 276 times this year and they have struck out 697 times. They've had 499 men left on base and have an OPS of .722. They score 4.05 runs per game and have totaled 296 runs so far this season.
Washington Nationals Betting Trends
The Washington Nationals are 37-31-6 against the over/under so far this season
The Washington Nationals are 38-36-0 against the run line so far this season
Milwaukee Brewers Betting Trends
The Milwaukee Brewers are 37-32-4 against the over/under so far this season
The Milwaukee Brewers are 36-37-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
06/20/16 P Stephen Strasburg Back is upgraded to expected to start Sunday vs. Milwaukee Brewers
06/14/16 P Jonathan Papelbon Side 15-day DL (6/13)
03/31/16 P Aaron Barrett Elbow 60-day DL (4/1)
06/22/16 3B Hernan Perez Personal out indefinitely
06/10/16 RF Domingo Santana Elbow 15-day DL (6/8)
05/27/16 P Chris Capuano Elbow 15-day DL (4/2)
04/04/16 LF Rymer Liriano Facial 60-day DL (3/25)
04/04/16 P Zach Jones Shoulder 60-day DL (3/31)
04/02/16 P Yhonathan Barrios Shoulder 60-day DL (3/25)
04/01/16 P Sean Nolin Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
Josh's Pick: Take the Nationals
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