Sunday, July 10, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Gio Gonzalez vs. Steven Matz
The Washington Nationals head to Citi Field on Sunday to take on the New York Mets. The probable pitchers are Gio Gonzalez for the Nationals and Steven Matz for the Mets. The opening line for this game has Washington at +103 and New York at -113. The over/under is 7.5. The Nationals have a 44-38-6 over/under mark and a 45-43-0 run line record, meaning they cover 51% of the time. The Mets are 36-50-0 against the run line and have a 39-45-2 over/under record. They cover the spread 42% of the time.
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The Nationals head into this game with a 52-36 record, and they are 25-21 on the road. Starting pitcher Gio Gonzalez has a 4-8 record with an ERA of 4.79 and a WHIP of 1.40. He has 101 strikeouts during his 97.2 innings pitched and he has given up 102 hits so far this year. He has surrendered 9.4 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.86. The bullpen this season has an earned run average of 3.17 and they have allowed 207 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .226 against the pen while they've been struck out 259 times and walked 80 times this year. As a unit, Washington has given up 7.73 base hits per nine innings while striking out 9.45 hitters per nine. They are 2nd in the Majors in team earned run average at 3.34. The Nationals pitchers have collectively given up 683 base hits and 295 earned runs. They have allowed 85 home runs this season and they allow 1.1 homers per nine innings as a staff. Washington as a pitching staff has walked 246 batters and struck out 835. They walk 2.8 men per 9 innings while striking out 9.5 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.17 and their FIP as a unit is 3.50.
As a team, Washington is hitting .253, good for 15th in the league while putting together a .252 average on the road. The Nationals have a .432 team slugging percentage and an OBP of .327 which is good for 13th in the league. They rank 19th in baseball with 8.56 hits per contest. Bryce Harper comes into this game hitting .258 and his on-base percentage is at .398. He has 73 hits this season along with 49 runs scored and 52 runs batted in. He's struck out 58 times and has walked 67 times. Daniel Murphy is hitting .345 and he has an on-base percentage of .382. He has totaled 113 hits so far while scoring 51 runs and he's driven in 60. He has walked 17 times and has struck out 37 times. The Nationals have 753 hits, including 141 doubles and 122 home runs. They've stolen 50 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 24 times. Washington has walked 313 times this season and they've struck out 673 times as a unit. They've left 603 men on base and have a team OPS of .759. They score 4.69 runs per contest and have scored a total of 413 runs so far this year.
New York comes into this game with a 26-18 home mark and a 47-39 overall record. With an ERA of 3.34, Steven Matz has a 7-4 record and a 1.21 WHIP. He has 85 strikeouts over the 89 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 89 hits. He has allowed 9 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.29. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 3.26 and they have given up 225 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .224 against the Mets bullpen while being struck out 280 times and walking 100 times this season. As a team, New York has allowed 8.61 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.68 batters per nine. They are 3rd in the league in team earned run average at 3.39. The Mets pitchers as a team have surrendered 731 base knocks and 286 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 78 home runs this year and they give up 0.9 home runs per nine innings as a staff. New York as a staff has walked 215 hitters and struck out 738. They give up a walk 2.5 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.7 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.24 while their FIP as a staff is 3.48.
As a team, they are batting .239, good for 28th in the league while putting together a .236 average at home. The Mets hold a .418 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .312 which is good for 23rd in baseball. They rank 30th in baseball with 7.95 hits per contest. Asdrubal Cabrera comes into this matchup batting .265 and he has an OBP of .324. He has 82 hits this year along with 37 runs scored and 29 RBI. He's struck out 65 times and has walked on 21 occasions. Yoenis Cespedes is hitting .302 and he has an OBP of .372. He has collected 87 hits so far while he's scored 47 runs and drove in 52. He has earned a walk 31 times and has punched out 77 times. The Mets as a unit have 684 base hits, including 131 doubles and 120 homers. They have 18 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 10 times. New York as a team has walked 276 times this year and they have struck out 737 times. They've had 590 men left on base and have an OPS of .730. They score 3.86 runs per game and have totaled 332 runs so far this season.
Washington Nationals Betting Trends
The Washington Nationals are 44-38-6 against the over/under so far this season
The Washington Nationals are 45-43-0 against the run line so far this season
New York Mets Betting Trends
The New York Mets are 39-45-2 against the over/under so far this season
The New York Mets are 36-50-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
07/08/16 1B Ryan Zimmerman Ribs 15-day DL (7/7)
07/03/16 P Joe Ross Shoulder 15-day DL (7/3)
03/31/16 P Aaron Barrett Elbow 60-day DL (4/1)
New York Mets
07/09/16 CF Yoenis Cespedes Quad is downgraded to expected to miss Saturday & Sunday vs. Washington Nationals
07/08/16 P Noah Syndergaard Arm left last start, "?" next start
07/06/16 P Matt Harvey Shoulder 15-day DL (7/6), out for season
06/22/16 P Jim Henderson Bicep 15-day DL (6/19)
06/03/16 3B David Wright Neck 60-day DL (5/30), out for season
05/24/16 1B Lucas Duda Back 15-day DL (5/21)
04/04/16 P Zack Wheeler Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
Josh's Pick: Take the Mets
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