Thursday, July 7, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Joe Ross vs. Bartolo Colon
The Washington Nationals visit Citi Field on Thursday to play the New York Mets. The probable starters are Joe Ross for the Nationals and Bartolo Colon for the Mets. The opening line for this matchup has Washington at +110 and New York at -120. The over/under was set at 8. The Nationals have a 42-37-6 over/under record and a 43-42-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 51% of the time. The Mets are 34-49-0 against the run line and have a 38-43-2 over/under record. They cover the spread 41% of the time.
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The Nationals head into this matchup with a 50-35 record, including 24-20 on the road. Starting pitcher Joe Ross has a 7-4 record with an earned run average of 3.49 and a WHIP of 1.26. He has 79 strikeouts over his 95.1 innings pitched and he has given up 94 hits so far this season. He has allowed 8.9 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.58. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 3.10 and they have given up 196 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .223 against the bullpen while being struck out 248 times and walking 75 times this season. As a team, Washington has allowed 7.68 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.42 batters per nine. They are 2nd in the league in team earned run average at 3.29. The Nationals pitchers have collectively given up 656 base hits and 281 earned runs. They have allowed 80 home runs this season and they allow 0.9 homers per nine innings as a staff. Washington as a pitching staff has walked 233 batters and struck out 805. They walk 2.7 men per 9 innings while striking out 9.4 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.16 and their FIP as a unit is 3.44.
As a team, Washington is batting .252, good for 17th in the league while putting together a .252 average away from home. The Nationals hold a .427 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .327 which is good for 12th in baseball. They rank 17th in baseball with 8.55 hits per game. Bryce Harper comes into this game hitting .258 and his on-base percentage is at .402. He has 70 hits this season along with 47 runs scored and 48 runs batted in. He's struck out 55 times and has walked 66 times. Daniel Murphy is hitting .349 and he has an on-base percentage of .388. He has totaled 110 hits so far while scoring 49 runs and he's driven in 56. He has walked 17 times and has struck out 35 times. The Nationals have 727 hits, including 136 doubles and 114 home runs. They've stolen 50 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 24 times. Washington has walked 304 times this season and they've struck out 649 times as a unit. They've left 587 men on base and have a team OPS of .754. They score 4.66 runs per contest and have scored a total of 396 runs so far this year.
New York comes into this matchup with a 24-17 home record and a 45-38 overall mark. With an earned run average of 2.87, Bartolo Colon has a 7-4 record and a 1.17 WHIP. He has 63 strikeouts over the 94 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 93 hits. He has allowed 8.9 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.79. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 3.36 and they have given up 222 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .229 against the Mets bullpen while being struck out 266 times and walking 96 times this season. As a team, New York has allowed 8.64 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.65 batters per nine. They are 3rd in the league in team earned run average at 3.36. The Mets pitchers as a team have surrendered 708 base knocks and 274 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 71 home runs this year and they give up 0.9 home runs per nine innings as a staff. New York as a staff has walked 206 hitters and struck out 710. They give up a walk 2.5 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.7 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.24 while their FIP as a staff is 3.40.
As a team, they are batting .239, good for 27th in the league while putting together a .235 average at home. The Mets hold a .413 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .311 which is good for 24th in baseball. They rank 30th in baseball with 7.94 hits per contest. Asdrubal Cabrera comes into this matchup batting .262 and he has an OBP of .321. He has 79 hits this year along with 34 runs scored and 27 RBI. He's struck out 63 times and has walked on 20 occasions. Yoenis Cespedes is hitting .304 and he has an OBP of .371. He has collected 85 hits so far while he's scored 46 runs and drove in 51. He has earned a walk 29 times and has punched out 74 times. The Mets as a unit have 659 base hits, including 124 doubles and 113 homers. They have 16 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 9 times. New York as a team has walked 262 times this year and they have struck out 711 times. They've had 567 men left on base and have an OPS of .724. They score 3.83 runs per game and have totaled 318 runs so far this season.
Washington Nationals Betting Trends
The Washington Nationals are 42-37-6 against the over/under so far this season
The Washington Nationals are 43-42-0 against the run line so far this season
New York Mets Betting Trends
The New York Mets are 38-43-2 against the over/under so far this season
The New York Mets are 34-49-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
07/03/16 P Joe Ross Shoulder 15-day DL (7/3)
03/31/16 P Aaron Barrett Elbow 60-day DL (4/1)
New York Mets
06/22/16 P Jim Henderson Bicep 15-day DL (6/19)
06/03/16 3B David Wright Neck 60-day DL (5/30), out for season
05/24/16 1B Lucas Duda Back 15-day DL (5/21)
04/04/16 P Zack Wheeler Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
Josh's Pick: Take the Nationals
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