Saturday, July 9, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Max Scherzer vs. Logan Verrett
The Washington Nationals visit Citi Field on Saturday to play the New York Mets. The probable starters are Max Scherzer for the Nationals and Logan Verrett for the Mets. The opening line for this matchup has Washington at -185 and New York at +175. The over/under was set at 7.5. The Nationals have a 44-37-6 over/under record and a 44-43-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 51% of the time. The Mets are 36-49-0 against the run line and have a 39-44-2 over/under record. They cover the spread 42% of the time.
The Nationals head into this matchup with a 51-36 record, including 24-21 on the road. Starting pitcher Max Scherzer has a 9-6 record with an earned run average of 3.21 and a WHIP of 0.97. He has 155 strikeouts over his 120.2 innings pitched and he has given up 85 hits so far this season. He has allowed 6.3 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.71. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 3.20 and they have given up 205 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .226 against the bullpen while being struck out 258 times and walking 80 times this season. As a team, Washington has allowed 7.77 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.45 batters per nine. They are 2nd in the league in team earned run average at 3.37. The Nationals pitchers have collectively given up 679 base hits and 294 earned runs. They have allowed 84 home runs this season and they allow 1.1 homers per nine innings as a staff. Washington as a pitching staff has walked 243 batters and struck out 825. They walk 2.8 men per 9 innings while striking out 9.4 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.17 and their FIP as a unit is 3.50.
As a team, Washington is batting .254, good for 15th in the league while putting together a .254 average away from home. The Nationals hold a .433 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .328 which is good for 12th in baseball. They rank 16th in baseball with 8.61 hits per game. Bryce Harper comes into this game hitting .261 and his on-base percentage is at .400. He has 73 hits this season along with 49 runs scored and 52 runs batted in. He's struck out 57 times and has walked 66 times. Daniel Murphy is hitting .346 and he has an on-base percentage of .384. He has totaled 112 hits so far while scoring 51 runs and he's driven in 59. He has walked 17 times and has struck out 35 times. The Nationals have 749 hits, including 140 doubles and 121 home runs. They've stolen 50 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 24 times. Washington has walked 308 times this season and they've struck out 662 times as a unit. They've left 598 men on base and have a team OPS of .761. They score 4.71 runs per contest and have scored a total of 410 runs so far this year.
New York comes into this matchup with a 26-17 home record and a 47-38 overall mark. With an earned run average of 4.01, Logan Verrett has a 3-5 record and a 1.50 WHIP. He has 34 strikeouts over the 49.1 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 52 hits. He has allowed 9.5 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 5.57. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 3.31 and they have given up 225 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .227 against the Mets bullpen while being struck out 274 times and walking 98 times this season. As a team, New York has allowed 8.66 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.65 batters per nine. They are 3rd in the league in team earned run average at 3.39. The Mets pitchers as a team have surrendered 727 base knocks and 283 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 77 home runs this year and they give up 0.9 home runs per nine innings as a staff. New York as a staff has walked 210 hitters and struck out 727. They give up a walk 2.5 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.7 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.24 while their FIP as a staff is 3.47.
As a team, they are batting .241, good for 27th in the league while putting together a .238 average at home. The Mets hold a .419 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .313 which is good for 22nd in baseball. They rank 28th in baseball with 8 hits per contest. Asdrubal Cabrera comes into this matchup batting .266 and he has an OBP of .325. He has 81 hits this year along with 36 runs scored and 28 RBI. He's struck out 64 times and has walked on 21 occasions. Yoenis Cespedes is hitting .303 and he has an OBP of .373. He has collected 87 hits so far while he's scored 47 runs and drove in 52. He has earned a walk 31 times and has punched out 76 times. The Mets as a unit have 680 base hits, including 130 doubles and 119 homers. They have 18 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 10 times. New York as a team has walked 273 times this year and they have struck out 727 times. They've had 585 men left on base and have an OPS of .732. They score 3.89 runs per game and have totaled 331 runs so far this season.
Washington Nationals Betting Trends
The Washington Nationals are 44-37-6 against the over/under so far this season
The Washington Nationals are 44-43-0 against the run line so far this season
New York Mets Betting Trends
The New York Mets are 39-44-2 against the over/under so far this season
The New York Mets are 36-49-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
07/08/16 1B Ryan Zimmerman Undisclosed "?" Friday vs. New York Mets
07/03/16 P Joe Ross Shoulder 15-day DL (7/3)
03/31/16 P Aaron Barrett Elbow 60-day DL (4/1)
New York Mets
07/06/16 P Matt Harvey Shoulder 15-day DL (7/6)
06/22/16 P Jim Henderson Bicep 15-day DL (6/19)
06/03/16 3B David Wright Neck 60-day DL (5/30), out for season
05/24/16 1B Lucas Duda Back 15-day DL (5/21)
04/04/16 P Zack Wheeler Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
Josh's Pick: Take the Nationals
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