Saturday, September 3, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Tanner Roark vs. Robert Gsellman
The Washington Nationals head to Citi Field on Saturday to take on the New York Mets. The probable pitchers are Tanner Roark for the Nationals and Robert Gsellman for the Mets. The opening line for this game has Washington at -138 and New York at +128. The over/under is 8. The Nationals have a 64-62-7 over/under mark and a 67-66-0 run line record, meaning they cover 50% of the time. The Mets are 61-73-0 against the run line and have a 63-68-3 over/under record. They cover the spread 46% of the time.
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The Nationals head into this game with a 78-55 record, and they are 40-29 on the road. Starting pitcher Tanner Roark has a 14-7 record with an ERA of 2.87 and a WHIP of 1.17. He has 139 strikeouts during his 175.1 innings pitched and he has given up 150 hits so far this year. He has surrendered 7.7 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.74. The bullpen this season has an earned run average of 3.33 and they have allowed 339 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .234 against the pen while they've been struck out 388 times and walked 130 times this year. As a unit, Washington has given up 7.73 base hits per nine innings while striking out 9.1 hitters per nine. They are 2nd in the Majors in team earned run average at 3.44. The Nationals pitchers have collectively given up 1,035 base hits and 460 earned runs. They have allowed 128 home runs this season and they allow 1.1 homers per nine innings as a staff. Washington as a pitching staff has walked 382 batters and struck out 1,219. They walk 2.9 men per 9 innings while striking out 9.1 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.18 and their FIP as a unit is 3.57.
As a team, Washington is hitting .255, good for 17th in the league while putting together a .258 average on the road. The Nationals have a .431 team slugging percentage and an OBP of .326 which is good for 11th in the league. They rank 17th in baseball with 8.73 hits per contest. Daniel Murphy comes into this game hitting .341 and his on-base percentage is at .384. He has 162 hits this season along with 81 runs scored and 98 runs batted in. He's struck out 51 times and has walked 31 times. Wilson Ramos is hitting .312 and he has an on-base percentage of .360. He has totaled 129 hits so far while scoring 54 runs and he's driven in 71. He has walked 31 times and has struck out 61 times. The Nationals have 1,161 hits, including 222 doubles and 176 home runs. They've stolen 92 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 31 times. Washington has walked 453 times this season and they've struck out 1,013 times as a unit. They've left 916 men on base and have a team OPS of .758. They score 4.81 runs per contest and have scored a total of 640 runs so far this year.
New York comes into this game with a 36-32 home mark and a 69-65 overall record. With an ERA of 3.72, Robert Gsellman has a 1-1 record and a 1.35 WHIP. He has 7 strikeouts over the 9.2 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 9 hits. He has allowed 8.4 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.25. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 3.69 and they have given up 366 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .231 against the Mets bullpen while being struck out 440 times and walking 155 times this season. As a team, New York has allowed 8.7 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.62 batters per nine. They are 3rd in the league in team earned run average at 3.65. The Mets pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,151 base knocks and 481 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 126 home runs this year and they give up 1.1 home runs per nine innings as a staff. New York as a staff has walked 357 hitters and struck out 1,142. They give up a walk 2.7 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.6 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.27 while their FIP as a staff is 3.58.
As a team, they are batting .243, good for 28th in the league while putting together a .236 average at home. The Mets hold a .414 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .311 which is good for 25th in baseball. They rank 27th in baseball with 8.13 hits per contest. Asdrubal Cabrera comes into this matchup batting .272 and he has an OBP of .322. He has 113 hits this year along with 49 runs scored and 46 RBI. He's struck out 89 times and has walked on 25 occasions. Yoenis Cespedes is hitting .297 and he has an OBP of .369. He has collected 112 hits so far while he's scored 57 runs and drove in 68. He has earned a walk 41 times and has punched out 93 times. The Mets as a unit have 1,090 base hits, including 196 doubles and 180 homers. They have 32 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 16 times. New York as a team has walked 410 times this year and they have struck out 1,090 times. They've had 910 men left on base and have an OPS of .725. They score 3.93 runs per game and have totaled 527 runs so far this season.
Washington Nationals Betting Trends
The Washington Nationals are 64-62-7 against the over/under so far this season
The Washington Nationals are 67-66-0 against the run line so far this season
New York Mets Betting Trends
The New York Mets are 63-68-3 against the over/under so far this season
The New York Mets are 61-73-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
08/23/16 P Stephen Strasburg Elbow 15-day DL (8/21)
08/18/16 P Sammy Solis Shoulder 15-day DL (8/16)
07/27/16 2B Stephen Drew Vertigo 15-day DL (7/24)
07/03/16 P Joe Ross Shoulder 15-day DL (7/3)
03/31/16 P Aaron Barrett Elbow 60-day DL (4/1)
New York Mets
09/02/16 LF Yoenis Cespedes Quad probable Friday vs. Washington Nationals
08/31/16 2B Neil Walker Back out for season
08/27/16 RF Justin Ruggiano Shoulder 60-day DL (8/27)
08/23/16 P Steven Matz Shoulder 15-day DL (8/15)
08/23/16 P Jon Niese Knee 15-day DL (8/24)
07/31/16 CF Juan Lagares Thumb 15-day DL (7/29)
07/06/16 P Matt Harvey Shoulder 60-day DL (7/6), out for season
06/03/16 3B David Wright Neck 60-day DL (5/30), out for season
05/24/16 1B Lucas Duda Back 60-day DL (5/21)
04/04/16 P Zack Wheeler Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
Josh's Pick: Take the Mets
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