Sunday, September 4, 2016
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Probable Pitchers: Max Scherzer vs. Seth Lugo
The Washington Nationals visit Citi Field on Sunday to play the New York Mets. The probable starters are Max Scherzer for the Nationals and Seth Lugo for the Mets. The opening line for this matchup has Washington at +157 and New York at -167. The over/under was set at 8. The Nationals have a 64-63-7 over/under record and a 68-66-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 51% of the time. The Mets are 61-74-0 against the run line and have a 63-69-3 over/under record. They cover the spread 45% of the time.
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The Nationals head into this matchup with a 79-55 record, including 41-29 on the road. Starting pitcher Max Scherzer has a 15-7 record with an earned run average of 2.89 and a WHIP of 0.91. He has 238 strikeouts over his 190 innings pitched and he has given up 128 hits so far this season. He has allowed 6.1 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.2. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 3.30 and they have given up 340 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .233 against the bullpen while being struck out 393 times and walking 131 times this season. As a team, Washington has allowed 7.7 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.11 batters per nine. They are 2nd in the league in team earned run average at 3.42. The Nationals pitchers have collectively given up 1,039 base hits and 461 earned runs. They have allowed 129 home runs this season and they allow 1 homers per nine innings as a staff. Washington as a pitching staff has walked 385 batters and struck out 1,229. They walk 2.9 men per 9 innings while striking out 9.1 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.17 and their FIP as a unit is 3.57.
As a team, Washington is batting .255, good for 17th in the league while putting together a .257 average away from home. The Nationals hold a .430 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .326 which is good for 11th in baseball. They rank 17th in baseball with 8.72 hits per game. Daniel Murphy comes into this game hitting .341 and his on-base percentage is at .385. He has 163 hits this season along with 82 runs scored and 98 runs batted in. He's struck out 52 times and has walked 32 times. Wilson Ramos is hitting .314 and he has an on-base percentage of .361. He has totaled 131 hits so far while scoring 54 runs and he's driven in 72. He has walked 31 times and has struck out 62 times. The Nationals have 1,169 hits, including 224 doubles and 176 home runs. They've stolen 96 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 31 times. Washington has walked 454 times this season and they've struck out 1,020 times as a unit. They've left 921 men on base and have a team OPS of .756. They score 4.81 runs per contest and have scored a total of 644 runs so far this year.
New York comes into this matchup with a 36-33 home record and a 69-66 overall mark. With an earned run average of 2.60, Seth Lugo has a 2-2 record and a 1.01 WHIP. He has 28 strikeouts over the 34.2 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 24 hits. He has allowed 6.2 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.12. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 3.72 and they have given up 371 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .232 against the Mets bullpen while being struck out 443 times and walking 155 times this season. As a team, New York has allowed 8.69 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.61 batters per nine. They are 3rd in the league in team earned run average at 3.65. The Mets pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,159 base knocks and 485 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 126 home runs this year and they give up 0.9 home runs per nine innings as a staff. New York as a staff has walked 358 hitters and struck out 1,149. They give up a walk 2.7 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.6 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.26 while their FIP as a staff is 3.57.
As a team, they are batting .242, good for 28th in the league while putting together a .234 average at home. The Mets hold a .413 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .311 which is good for 26th in baseball. They rank 27th in baseball with 8.1 hits per contest. Asdrubal Cabrera comes into this matchup batting .274 and he has an OBP of .326. He has 115 hits this year along with 50 runs scored and 47 RBI. He's struck out 90 times and has walked on 26 occasions. Yoenis Cespedes is hitting .294 and he has an OBP of .365. He has collected 112 hits so far while he's scored 57 runs and drove in 68. He has earned a walk 41 times and has punched out 93 times. The Mets as a unit have 1,094 base hits, including 196 doubles and 181 homers. They have 32 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 16 times. New York as a team has walked 413 times this year and they have struck out 1,100 times. They've had 917 men left on base and have an OPS of .723. They score 3.91 runs per game and have totaled 528 runs so far this season.
Washington Nationals Betting Trends
The Washington Nationals are 64-63-7 against the over/under so far this season
The Washington Nationals are 68-66-0 against the run line so far this season
New York Mets Betting Trends
The New York Mets are 63-69-3 against the over/under so far this season
The New York Mets are 61-74-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
09/03/16 P Joe Ross Shoulder 60-day DL (7/3)
08/23/16 P Stephen Strasburg Elbow 15-day DL (8/21)
08/18/16 P Sammy Solis Shoulder 15-day DL (8/16)
07/27/16 2B Stephen Drew Vertigo 15-day DL (7/24)
03/31/16 P Aaron Barrett Elbow 60-day DL (4/1)
New York Mets
09/03/16 P Jacob deGrom Forearm doubtful for next start
08/31/16 2B Neil Walker Back out for season
08/27/16 RF Justin Ruggiano Shoulder 60-day DL (8/27)
08/23/16 P Steven Matz Shoulder 15-day DL (8/15)
08/23/16 P Jon Niese Knee 15-day DL (8/24)
07/31/16 CF Juan Lagares Thumb 15-day DL (7/29)
07/06/16 P Matt Harvey Shoulder 60-day DL (7/6), out for season
06/03/16 3B David Wright Neck 60-day DL (5/30), out for season
05/24/16 1B Lucas Duda Back 60-day DL (5/21)
04/04/16 P Zack Wheeler Elbow 60-day DL (3/25)
Tony's Pick: Take the Nationals
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