Wednesday, August 31, 2016
Citizens Bank Park
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Probable Pitchers: Gio Gonzalez vs. Adam Morgan
The Washington Nationals visit Citizens Bank Park on Wednesday to play the Philadelphia Phillies. The probable starters are Gio Gonzalez for the Nationals and Adam Morgan for the Phillies. The opening line for this matchup has Washington at -180 and Philadelphia at +170. The over/under was set at 9. The Nationals have a 64-60-7 over/under record and a 67-64-0 run line mark, meaning they cover 51% of the time. The Phillies are 66-65-0 against the run line and have a 66-61-4 over/under record. They cover the spread 50% of the time.
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The Nationals head into this matchup with a 76-55 record, including 38-29 on the road. Starting pitcher Gio Gonzalez has a 9-9 record with an earned run average of 4.25 and a WHIP of 1.31. He has 142 strikeouts over his 148.1 innings pitched and he has given up 143 hits so far this season. He has allowed 8.7 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.81. The bullpen this year has an earned run average of 3.36 and they have given up 339 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .236 against the bullpen while being struck out 385 times and walking 128 times this season. As a team, Washington has allowed 7.81 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.11 batters per nine. They are 2nd in the league in team earned run average at 3.47. The Nationals pitchers have collectively given up 1,030 base hits and 457 earned runs. They have allowed 126 home runs this season and they allow 1.1 homers per nine innings as a staff. Washington as a pitching staff has walked 378 batters and struck out 1,201. They walk 2.9 men per 9 innings while striking out 9.1 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.19 and their FIP as a unit is 3.57.
As a team, Washington is batting .256, good for 16th in the league while putting together a .259 average away from home. The Nationals hold a .433 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .328 which is good for 9th in baseball. They rank 17th in baseball with 8.76 hits per game. Wilson Ramos comes into this game hitting .314 and his on-base percentage is at .362. He has 127 hits this season along with 54 runs scored and 69 runs batted in. He's struck out 60 times and has walked 31 times. Daniel Murphy is hitting .345 and he has an on-base percentage of .388. He has totaled 161 hits so far while scoring 80 runs and he's driven in 98. He has walked 31 times and has struck out 50 times. The Nationals have 1,148 hits, including 219 doubles and 175 home runs. They've stolen 91 bases while they've been thrown out stealing 31 times. Washington has walked 449 times this season and they've struck out 998 times as a unit. They've left 905 men on base and have a team OPS of .761. They score 4.85 runs per contest and have scored a total of 635 runs so far this year.
Philadelphia comes into this matchup with a 30-34 home record and a 60-71 overall mark. With an earned run average of 6.50, Adam Morgan has a 1-8 record and a 1.61 WHIP. He has 67 strikeouts over the 80.1 innings he's pitched during which he has given up 108 hits. He has allowed 12.1 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 5.61. So far this season the bullpen has an earned run average of 4.47 and they have given up 431 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .258 against the Phillies bullpen while being struck out 412 times and walking 156 times this season. As a team, Philadelphia has allowed 9.27 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.3 batters per nine. They are 25th in the league in team earned run average at 4.58. The Phillies pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,195 base knocks and 590 earned runs so far this season. They have given up 177 home runs this year and they give up 1.4 home runs per nine innings as a staff. Philadelphia as a staff has walked 360 hitters and struck out 1,070. They give up a walk 2.8 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.3 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.34 while their FIP as a staff is 4.31.
As a team, they are batting .240, good for 29th in the league while putting together a .227 average at home. The Phillies hold a .387 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .297 which is good for 30th in baseball. They rank 29th in baseball with 8.04 hits per contest. Cesar Hernandez comes into this matchup batting .292 and he has an OBP of .353. He has 126 hits this year along with 51 runs scored and 34 RBI. He's struck out 91 times and has walked on 42 occasions. Odubel Herrera is hitting .283 and he has an OBP of .361. He has collected 135 hits so far while he's scored 67 runs and drove in 42. He has earned a walk 56 times and has punched out 106 times. The Phillies as a unit have 1,053 base hits, including 189 doubles and 132 homers. They have 72 stolen bases while they've been thrown out 34 times. Philadelphia as a team has walked 329 times this year and they have struck out 1,066 times. They've had 827 men left on base and have an OPS of .685. They score 3.73 runs per game and have totaled 489 runs so far this season.
Washington Nationals Betting Trends
The Washington Nationals are 64-60-7 against the over/under so far this season
The Washington Nationals are 67-64-0 against the run line so far this season
Philadelphia Phillies Betting Trends
The Philadelphia Phillies are 66-61-4 against the over/under so far this season
The Philadelphia Phillies are 66-65-0 against the run line so far this season
Injuries to Watch
08/23/16 P Stephen Strasburg Elbow 15-day DL (8/21)
08/18/16 P Sammy Solis Shoulder 15-day DL (8/16)
07/27/16 2B Stephen Drew Vertigo 15-day DL (7/24)
07/03/16 P Joe Ross Shoulder 15-day DL (7/3)
03/31/16 P Aaron Barrett Elbow 60-day DL (4/1)
08/17/16 P Aaron Nola Elbow 60-day DL (7/29); out for season
08/09/16 P Zach Eflin Knee 60-day DL (8/9); out for season
07/26/16 2B Andres Blanco Finger 15-day DL (7/25)
05/01/16 P Dalier Hinojosa Hand 15-day DL (4/29)
04/24/16 P Charlie Morton Hamstring 60-day DL (4/24); out for season
03/31/16 P Matt Harrison Back 60-day DL (4/2)
Guy's Pick: Take the Nationals
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